PartⅢ 阅读理解
Climate
change has been blamed for killer hurricanes, sea level rise,
anddrought, but a new report suggests the effects of climate change
might hit theworld’s caffeine supply. Up to 70 percent of the world’s
coffee supply could bethreatened over the next 68 years, according to a
new study by researchers atEngland’s Royal Botanic Gardens.
Nearly
100 percent of the world’s Arabica coffee growing regions couldbecome
unsuitable for the plant by 2080, according to the study, published inPLOSONE.
Beans from Arabica coffee plants account for about 70 percent of
theworld’s coffee, but the plant has to be grown under strict weather
conditions:They thrive at temperatures between 64 and 70 degrees
Celsius, and are highlysusceptible(易受影响的)to frost or temperatures higher than 73 degreesCelsius.
With temperatures estimated to increase by between 1.8 and 4 degreesCelsius by the end of the century, thefragile(脆弱的)plant
might become increasingly expensive and difficult to grow,especially in
places such as Ethiopia and Kenya. In that worst-case scenario,nearly
all of the world’s native Arabica coffee would die out. Under
moreconservative estimates, about 65 percent of the regions that used to
grow thecoffee would become unsuitable for it. The evidence from coffee
farmers, fromnumerous coffee growing regions around the world, is that
they are alreadysuffering from the influences of increased warming.
Some
commercial farmers would likely be able to move their operations
toother areas or would be able to overcome climate change with
artificial coolingtechniques, but wild Arabica is generally considered
to be much more suitablefor making high-quality coffee.
If
Arabica becomes impossible to raise in its native areas, it couldwreak
havoc on the economies of the mainly third-world countries in which
itgrows. Coffee is the world’s most popular drink and is the second
most-tradedcommodity in the world, behind oil.
“Our modeling shows a profoundly negative trend for the futuredistribution ofindigenous(本土的).
Arabica coffee under the influence of accelerated global
climatechange,” the study says. “Production is likely to decrease
significantly incertain areas, and especially in locations that are
presently marginallysuitable for coffee production.”
Q: Whatcan we learn about Arabica coffee plants fromthe second paragraph?