signature=adf486db039720b79898a52ba9ab777e,Predicting observables from Weibull model based on genera...

摘要：

The objective of this paper is to develop a methodology to construct and compute in a Bayesian setting, point and interval predictions based on general progressive Type-II censored data from Weibull model. Prediction bounds for the future observations (2-sample prediction) based on this type of censored will be derived. Bayesian predictions are obtained based on a continuous–discrete joint prior for the unknown two parameters. We have examined point predictions under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions. As application, the total duration time in a life test and the failure time of a k-out-of- m system may be predicted. An illustrative example consisting of various types of real data from an accelerated test on insulating fluid reported by Nelson (1982) [17] is presented. Finally, some numerical results using simulation study concerning different sample sizes, and different progressive censoring schemes were reported. A study of 10 000 randomly generated future samples from the same distribution shows that the actual prediction levels are satisfactory.

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