gumbel matlab,MATLAB绘制copula图形

% Code to generate iso-probability contour plots of bivariate

% distributions, all with N(0,1) marginal distributions and connected via various copulas

%

%  Andrew Patton

%

%  21 august 2006

% Written for the following paper:

%

% Patton, A.J., 2006, Copula-Based Models for Financial Time Series.

% To be published in T.G. Andersen, R.A. Davis, J.-P. Kreiss and T. Mikosch (eds.),

% "Handbook of Financial Time Series", Springer Verlag.

%

% http://fmg.lse.ac.uk/~patton

T = 100;  % takes only around 15 seconds when T=100 on a single-processor 2.6GHz machine

% i cannot see a difference in the printed graph based on T=100 vs T=500,

% though it is a lot smaller and faster to load. so just use T=100;

tic;

xx = (-2:4/(T-1):2)';

uu = normcdf(xx);

v = (0.02:0.03:0.2);

% 1. Normal copula

rho = 0.5;

zz = nines(T,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = bivnormpdf(xx,xx(ii),[0,0],theta2rho(rho));

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,1),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'r-'),...

title('Normal copula, \rho = 0.5');

figure(102);subplot(3,2,1),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('Normal copula, \rho = 0.5');

hold on;subplot(3,2,1),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

% 2. Student's t copula

rho = 0.5;

nu = 3;

zz = normpdf(xx)*ones(1,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = zz(:,ii).*normpdf(xx(ii)).*tcopula_pdf(uu,uu(ii),rho,nu);

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,2),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'m-'),...

title('Student''s t copula, \rho = 0.5, \nu = 3'),...

figure(102);subplot(3,2,2),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('Student''s t copula, \rho = 0.5, \nu = 3'),...

hold on;subplot(3,2,2),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

% 3. Clayton copula

kappa = 1;

zz = normpdf(xx)*ones(1,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = zz(:,ii).*normpdf(xx(ii)).*clayton_pdf(uu,uu(ii),kappa);

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,3),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'Color',[0 0.7 0]),...

title('Clayton copula, \kappa = 1');

figure(102);subplot(3,2,3),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('Clayton copula, \kappa = 1');

hold on;subplot(3,2,3),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

% 4. Gumbel copula

kappa = 1.5;

zz = normpdf(xx)*ones(1,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = zz(:,ii).*normpdf(xx(ii)).*gumbel_pdf(uu,uu(ii),kappa);

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,4),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'Color',[1 0.4 0]),...

title('Gumbel copula, \kappa = 1.5');

figure(102);subplot(3,2,4),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('Gumbel copula, \kappa = 1.5');

hold on;subplot(3,2,4),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

% 5. SJC copula

tauU = 0.45;

tauL = 0.2;

zz = normpdf(xx)*ones(1,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = zz(:,ii).*normpdf(xx(ii)).*sym_jc_pdf(uu,uu(ii),tauU,tauL);

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,5),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'Color',[0.5 0.5 0.5 ]),...

title('SJC copula, \tau^U = 0.45, \tau^L = 0.2');

figure(102);subplot(3,2,5),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('SJC copula, \tau^U = 0.45, \tau^L = 0.2');

hold on;subplot(3,2,5),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

% 6. Mixture of normals copula

rho1 = 0.95;

rho2 = 0.05;

zz = nines(T,T);  % this the the part of the pdf from the X variable

tic;

for ii=1:T;

zz(:,ii) = 0.5*bivnormpdf(xx,xx(ii),[0,0],theta2rho(rho1)) + 0.5*bivnormpdf(xx,xx(ii),[0,0],theta2rho(rho2));

end

toc

figure(101);subplot(3,2,6),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'Color',[0 0 1 ]),...

title('Mixed normal copula, \rho_1 = 0.95, \rho_2 = 0.05');

figure(102);subplot(3,2,6),contour(xx,xx,zz,v,'k-'),...

title('Mixed normal copula, \rho_1 = 0.95, \rho_2 = 0.05');

hold on;subplot(3,2,6),plot([-2,2],[0,0],'k--',[0,0],[-2,2],'k--');hold off;

### 回答1: 我可以尝试给您介绍一下用Matlab编写Gumbel Copula函数来进行时间序列预测的步骤。首先,需要收集现有的数据,并用Matlab对其进行分析,以确定影响时间序列的因素。其次,需要使用Gumbel Copula函数来模拟时间序列,以便更好地预测未来可能发生的情况。最后,在收集所有预测数据后,可以将其转换为可视化图形,以帮助更好地理解和分析数据。 ### 回答2: 使用Gumbel copula函数进行时间序列预测的一个基本框架如下: 1. 导入数据:首先,你需要将需要预测的时间序列数据导入到MATLAB中。可以使用MATLAB的数据导入工具或者手动创建一个时间序列数据。 2. 定义Gumbel copula函数:使用MATLABcopulafit函数对时间序列数据进行拟合,并得到Gumbel copula函数的参数。 3. 生成随机样本:使用Gumbel copula函数的参数,可以使用MATLABcopularnd函数生成一个具有相同相关性结构的随机样本。 4. 建立时间序列预测模型:将生成的随机样本作为输入数据,建立时间序列预测模型。可以选择使用MATLAB的自带函数或者自行编写预测模型。 5. 预测时间序列:使用建立的预测模型对未来的时间序列进行预测。可以在MATLAB中使用模型的预测函数进行预测。 6. 分析和评估:对预测结果进行分析和评估。可以使用MATLAB的绘图工具和评估函数进行可视化和评估。 需要注意的是,以上只是一个基本的框架,具体的编程和实验过程可能需要根据具体的时间序列数据和预测模型进行调整和修改。此外,还可以根据需要添加其他步骤和处理方法来进一步优化和改进预测模型。
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