signature=04f17c89353edf90bc30e141d9ea4aa2,Impacts of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Electri...

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Doctoral Dissertations University of Tennessee, Knoxville Trace: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange Graduate School 8-2014 Impacts of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Electrical Grid Melissa Ree Allen University of Tennessee - Knoxville, mallen24@vols.utk.edu Recommended Citation Allen, Melissa Ree, "Impacts of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Electrical Grid. " PhD diss., University of Tennessee, 2014. http://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_graddiss/2799 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at Trace: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. It has been accepted for inclusion in Doctoral Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Trace: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. For more information, please contact trace@utk.edu. To the Graduate Council: I am submitting herewith a dissertation written by Melissa Ree Allen entitled "Impacts of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Electrical Grid." I have examined the final electronic copy of this dissertation for form and content and recommend that it be accepted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, with a major in Energy Science and Engineering. Joshua S. Fu, Major Professor We have read this dissertation and recommend its acceptance: Steven J. Fernandez, Hamparsum Bozdogan, Katherine J. Evans, John B. Drake, Thomas J. Wilbanks Accepted for the Council: Carolyn R. Hodges Vice Provost and Dean of the Graduate School (Original signatures are on file with official student records.) Impacts of Climate Change on the Evolution of the Electrical Grid A Dissertation Presented for the Doctor of Philosophy Degree The University of Tennessee, Knoxville Melissa Ree Allen August 2014 Copyright © 2014 by Melissa Ree Allen All rights reserved. ii iii Acknowledgements I gratefully acknowledge the valuable instruction, encouragement and advocacy of my major professor and mentor, Dr. Joshua Fu, and his guidance throughout the Energy Science and Engineering Doctor of Philosophy degree at the University of Tennessee. I thank also my Oak Ridge National Laboratory mentor, Dr. Steve Fernandez, for his cultivation of ideas, provision of tools and data and strong scientific, financial and moral support. I've particularly learned from his ability to turn any scientific or social observation into a memorable expression short enough to fit on a bumper sticker. To Dr. Hamparsum Bozdogan, I give thanks for my introduction to information complexity criteria and to the fundamentals of statistical reasoning from which I am encouraged to seek new development and application. I am grateful to Dr. Thomas Wilbanks for his intuition for characterization of the timely scientific questions of our studies, for his keen leadership in their various branches of investigation and for his confidence in my contribution to them. My gratitude goes also to Dr. John Drake, whose thorough explanation of atmospheric circulation and climate modelling has deepened my understanding, challenged me computationally and increased my awe of earth system processes; and to Dr. Kate Evans for her scientific, mathematical and personal insight, her life example and role model. I appreciate the high academic expectation and scientific vision communicated, and the positive learning environment facilitated across the University and the Laboratory by Bredesen Center Director, Dr. Lee Riedinger; Assistant Director, Dr. Mike Simpson and ORNL Graduate Education and University Partnerships Director Dr. Ian Anderson; and the dedication which they, Wanda Davis, Debbie Turner, Ben Allen, Elizabeth Reagan and many other faculty and staff maintain toward the establishment and growth of this leading-edge interdisciplinary scientific and engineering program focused on energy solutions. Special thanks to University of Tennessee Chancellor Dr. Jimmy Cheek; Oak Ridge National Laboratory Director Dr. Thom Mason; and Tennessee's 48th Governor, Phil Bredesen, for their commitment to excellence in science, education, and policy and for making this p

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