机器篇——集成学习(九) 细说 hotel_pred 项目(酒店预测)

 

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上一章：机器篇——集成学习(八) 细说 ball49_pred 项目(彩票预测)

 

本小节，细说 hotel_pred 项目(酒店预测)

 

三. 项目解说

9. hotel_pred 项目(预测两个来源的酒店，是否同一家)

     本章节项目 github 地址: hotel_pred 项目

     通过做前面的项目，还有之前算法中的代码演示，发现，我们提到的训练数据，要么是离散型的，要么是连续型的，但是，它们都是数值型的。但是，在现实生活中，我们拿到的数据，也许不是数值型的，而是文字类型的(如成绩 A, B, C 等级，如商店名字，OCR等等)。这就有人懵逼了，算法，难道，还能识别中文？识别不了，那，项目没办法做了。跟业务说做不了，换需求吧。估计，需求没换成，自己却被老板给炒了。。。

      那，有了问题，就要想办法把问题给解决掉。既然算法无法识别文字类型，而只能识别数值类型，那，我们就把文字类型转换成数值类型，那，问题就解决了。本章节着重讲解数据的预处理，如何将其他类型的数字，转换成数值型，最后用算法预测出来。以后，大家遇上类似的问题，可以举一反三，那，项目做起来，就跟老司机开车一样舒服了。

                                                                             

   业务需求：判断两个来源的酒店，是否是同一家，如果是，则对这家酒店信息进行合并，如果不是，而数据库又没有的话，则添加这条数据。通常将预测结果得到的酒店数据库，作为自己商业应用的酒店预订，或差旅订酒店 的 APP 或 PC。

    判断两个来源的酒店是否同一家的依据：酒店名字，酒店地址，酒店经纬度，酒店电话，酒店传真，酒店地区(如白云区，天河区等)，酒店邮政编码，酒店开业年限 等等。

    不过，也有坑爹的地方，比方说，酒店有新旧名称之别，如：阳光酒店 和 阳光大酒店 或 金色阳光大酒店 等等。所以，酒店名字不同样，不代表就不是同一家酒店。地址也有不同描述；经纬度也可能相差不是很近；电话也可能不同，如连锁酒店，留的都是总店号码，或老板有多个号码，一个来源拿到一个号码；开业年限也可能不同，有的来源填了这年，有的来源填了那年；

 

   项目处理步骤：

 

       项目文件层级：

                         

       README.md:

# hotel_pred
XGBoost 酒店预测 2020-1-18
- 项目自带少量数据，如果想要更多数据，则自己想办法去搞了。
- 数据下载：链接：https://pan.baidu.com/s/17UAInz7C14uSTambA6Eatw 
            提取码：kgmt 
- 运行 data_clean.py 对数据进行清洗
- 运行 prepare.py 将数据集划为训练集，验证集和测试集。准备数据的时候，直接运行 prepare.py 会调用 data_clean.py 中的方法。无需单独运行 data_clean.py 文件

## 训练模型
- 开始训练模型之前，先进行调参
- 运行 hotel_train.py 中的下列方法
- best_estimators_depth() # 调节模型的迭代次数和深度
- best_lr_gamma()	# 调节模型的学习率和gamma值
- best_subsmaple_bytree()	# 调节子样本集和叶子数(即调节行和列)
- best_nthread_weight()	# 调节最小子权重和线程数
- best_seek()	# 调节随机种子
- best_param_xgboost()	# 方法为上面网格搜索后得到较好的参数后，对数据进行训练

- 将调参寻找到的较优的参数，配置到 demo.best_param_xgboost() 方法中，开始训练
- 训练模型的时候，会绘制 ROC 曲线，方面目测效果的好坏。
- 如果不想展示，可以在 config.py 中将 __C.TRAIN.ROC_FLAG 设置为 False
- 多训练几次，寻找一个较好的模型。

## 预测
- 加载权重，将训练好的权重 .m 文件放入models文件夹
- 运行 hotel_test.py，对数据集进行预测，将预测结果整理后，输出到 outputs 文件夹中
- 预测结果，请参详 outputs 文件夹中的文件：
- long_teng.csv	# 龙腾没匹配上的剩余酒店信息
- tai_tan.csv	# 泰坦没匹配上的剩余酒店信息
- xie_cheng.csv	# 携程全部信息，和匹配上龙腾、泰坦酒店的信息

 

     (1). 先观察数据结构，确定哪些是目标 features，可以用来做预测的。

    如下面的 酒店信息：本项目以携程酒店的数据为标准数据，其他酒店为供应商数据。判断其他供应商的酒店数据和携程的酒店数据是否一致，即同一家酒店。

    来源：携程

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