请问使用下面的程序计算出的置信区间很大,怎么回事?
function parafit
%
% r1 =(k(1)*c^2-0.25*k(2)*(9.404-c)^2)/(1+k(3)*c+0.5*k(4)*(9.404-c))^2;
%
% dCAdt = - r1;
clear all
clc
% t/min CA / mol/L
Kinetics=[0 8.8599786
3 7.81716904
6 7.3661532
9 7.062404
12 6.82862056
15 6.63696704
18 6.47380764
21 6.33133704
31 5.95301412
41 5.6663802
51 5.43447756
61 5.23953264];
k0 = [0.04539 0.008031 0.07300 3.0230]; % 参数初值
lb = [0 0 0 0]; % 参数下限
ub =[1 1 1 10]; % 参数上限
x0 = [8.8599786];
yexp = Kinetics;
warning off
% 使用函数fmincon()进行参数估计
[k,fval,flag] = fmincon(@ObjFunc7Fmincon,k0,[],[],[],[],lb,ub,[],[],x0,yexp);
fprintf(