【财经期刊FM-Radio｜2020年11月03日】

---

title: 【财经期刊FM-Radio｜2020年11月03日】

微信公众号： 张良信息咨询服务工作室

【今日热点新闻一览↓↓】

道指涨超400点，科技股拖累纳指一度转跌，蔚来再创新高，油价自日低反弹10%。

法国、西班牙单日病例创新高，法国超5.2万。

中国10月财新制造业PMI升至53.6，创2011年2月以来新高。

中央深改委第十六次会议：严格退市监管，完善常态化退出机制。

四部门联合约谈蚂蚁集团有关人员；蚂蚁集团回应被约谈：深入落实约谈意见，继续提升普惠服务能力；央行系官媒：大型互联网企业进入金融领域的潜在风险与监管；蚂蚁港股录得3宗暗盘成交，大涨35%-50%。

银保监会：前瞻性应对银行不良资产反弹。

银保监会、央行发布《网络小额贷款业务管理暂行办法（征求意见稿）》。

国务院办公厅印发《新能源汽车产业发展规划（2021－2035年）》，到2025年，新能源汽车新车销售量达到汽车新车销售总量的20%左右。

易纲：大科技公司改变了金融游戏规则，消费者隐私保护是极大挑战。

央行：提升A股市场与国际市场资金联通等举措有利于提升A股价格发现功能。

中信证券拟计提各项资产减值准备合计人民币50.27亿元。

中信建投盘中几分钟内闪崩跌停，市场人士直指“乌龙指”。

中金回归A股：首日打开涨停，市值逾1800亿元。

中行、交行：如果11月3-4日市场波动加大，或限制个人外汇等交易类业务。

中国造车新势力交付能力生猛，蔚来同比翻番，小鹏汽车狂飙逾220%。

美10月ISM制造业指数重回两年高位，就业15个月来首次扩张。

苹果官宣11月10日发布会，15年来首次告别英特尔芯片的Mac要来了。

德、法、意、欧元区10月制造业PMI全线高于预期，复苏势头强劲。

俄讨论是否可能将OPEC+减产协议延至明年一季度末，推动油价盘中大反转；媒体调查发现10月OPEC日均合计产油较9月增加47万桶，主要来自利比亚。

市场概述

科技股拖累纳指一度转跌，不过美股尾盘涨幅扩大，道指涨超400点。中概电动车大涨，蔚来创新高。国际油价V型反弹，欧亚盘跌6%后美股盘中大涨3.7%，较日低回涨约10%。避险情绪升温，美元指数创一个月新高，黄金重回一周高位，欧美国债收益率走低。

市场收报

美股：标普500涨幅1.23%。道琼斯涨幅1.60%。纳斯达克涨幅0.42%。

欧股：欧洲STOXX 600指数收涨1.61%。德国DAX 30指数收涨2.01%。法国CAC 40指数收涨2.11%。英国富时100指数收涨1.39%。

A股：沪指收报3225.12点，涨0.02%，成交额3253亿元。深成指收报13420.96点，涨1.39%，成交额4871亿元。创业板指收报2708.39点，涨1.98%，成交额2312亿元。

黄金：COMEX 12月黄金期货收涨0.7%，连续第二个交易日收涨，报1892.50美元/盎司。

原油：WTI 12月原油期货收涨1.02美元，涨幅2.85%，报36.81美元/桶，10月累跌约12%。布伦特1月原油期货收涨1.51美元，涨幅4.03%，报38.97美元/桶。

比特币：CME比特币期货BTC主力合约报13750美元，较上周五纽约尾盘涨0.11%，盘中交投于13370-14065美元区间，上周累涨5.4%，连涨四周，10月累涨27.4%。

ETF：标普500 SPY收涨1.12%，纳斯达克100 QQQ收涨0.22%，黄金GLD收涨0.97%，金矿GDX收涨3.04%，白银SLV收涨1.91%，美国原油基金USO收涨4%，中国科技ETF-Guggenheim CQQQ收涨1.25%。

海外疫情

全球累计确诊逾4725万例，死亡逾120万例。

单日新增病例：美国超6.9万，印度超3.7万，法国超5.2万，意大利超2.2万。

法国、西班牙单日病例创新高。

要闻详情

中央深改委第十六次会议：严格退市监管，完善常态化退出机制。 The 16th meeting ofthe Central Deep Reform Commission: Strict delisting supervision and perfectnormalized exit mechanism.

要坚持市场化、法治化方向，完善退市标准，简化退市程序，拓宽多元退出渠道，严格退市监管，完善常态化退出机制。
It is necessary to adhere to the directionof marketization and rule of law, improve delisting standards, simplifydelisting procedures, broaden multiple exit channels, tighten delisting supervision,and improve normalized exit mechanisms.

中国10月财新制造业PMI升至53.6，创2011年2月以来新高 China’s CaixinManufacturing PMI rose to 53.6 in October, a new high since February 2011

中国10月财新制造业PMI 53.6，预期52.8，前值53。
China’s October Caixin Manufacturing PMIwas 53.6, which was expected to be 52.8, and the previous value was 53.

四部门联合约谈蚂蚁集团有关人员 Four departmentsjointly interviewed relevant personnel of Ant Group

周一，中国人民银行、中国银保监会、中国证监会、国家外汇管理局对蚂蚁集团实际控制人马云、董事长井贤栋、总裁胡晓明进行了监管约谈。
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China, theChina Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China SecuritiesRegulatory Commission, and the State Administration of Foreign Exchangeconducted supervisory interviews with Ant Group’s actual controller Ma Yun,chairman Jing Xiandong, and president Hu Xiaoming.

蚂蚁集团回应被约谈：深入落实约谈意见，继续提升普惠服务能力 Ant Group respondedto being interviewed: thoroughly implement the opinions of the interview andcontinue to improve the inclusive service capabilities

针对央行等四部门联合约谈蚂蚁集团实控人马云及井贤栋、胡晓明一事，蚂蚁集团称，会深入落实约谈意见，继续沿着“稳妥创新、拥抱监管、服务实体、开放共赢”的十六字指导方针，继续提升普惠服务能力，助力经济和民生发展。
In response to the four departmentsincluding the central bank jointly interviewing Ma Yun, Jing Xiandong, and HuXiaoming, the actual controllers of Ant Group, Ant Group stated that it willthoroughly implement the interview opinions and continue to follow theprinciple of “secure innovation, embrace supervision, service entities,openness and win-win.” The sixteen-character guideline of the People’sRepublic of China will continue to improve inclusive service capabilities andhelp the development of the economy and people’s livelihood.

央行系官媒：大型互联网企业进入金融领域的潜在风险与监管 Central BankDepartment of Official Media: Potential risks and supervision of large-scaleInternet companies entering the financial sector

针对大型互联网企业开展金融业务，应加快建设和完善大型互联网企业监管框架，严格市场准入并加强消费者权益保护，防止数据垄断。
For large-scale Internet companies to carryout financial services, the construction and improvement of the regulatoryframework for large-scale Internet companies should be accelerated, marketaccess should be strictly enforced, and consumer rights protection should bestrengthened to prevent data monopoly.

银保监会、央行发布《网络小额贷款业务管理暂行办法（征求意见稿）》 The China Bankingand Insurance Regulatory Commission and the Central Bank issued the"Interim Measures for the Administration of Online Small Loans (Draft forSolicitation of Comments)"

重点内容包括：一是厘清网络小额贷款业务的定义和监管体制，明确网络小额贷款业务应当主要在注册地所属省级行政区域内开展，未经银保监会批准，不得跨省级行政区域开展网络小额贷款业务。
The key contents include: First, clarifythe definition and regulatory system of online microfinance business, andclarify that online microfinance business should be mainly carried out in theprovincial administrative region of the registration place, and cannot becarried out across provincial administrative regions without the approval of theChina Banking Regulatory Commission Online small loan business.

大涨35%-50%！蚂蚁港股录得3宗暗盘成交 Soaring 35%-50%! AntHong Kong stocks recorded 3 grey market transactions

本周三港股收市后，蚂蚁集团港股面向散户的暗盘交易将开始进行。本周四，蚂蚁集团将正式在上海科创板和香港同时上市交易。
After the Hong Kong stock market closes onWednesday, Ant Group’s Hong Kong stocks will begin trading in dark markets forretail investors. This Thursday, Ant Group will officially be listed on theShanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board and Hong Kong at the sametime.

银保监会：前瞻性应对银行不良资产反弹China Banking and Insurance RegulatoryCommission: Forward-looking response to the rebound of bank non-performingassets

新能源汽车产业该怎么发展？国务院办公厅发布十五年重磅规划 How should the newenergy automobile industry develop? The General Office of the State CouncilIssues Fifteen-Year Plan

11月2日，国务院办公厅日前印发《新能源汽车产业发展规划（2021－2035年）》。到2025年，新能源汽车新车销售量达到汽车新车销售总量的20%左右。On November 2, the General Office of the State Council recently issuedthe “New Energy Automobile Industry Development Plan (2021-2035).” By2025, the sales of new energy vehicles will reach about 20% of the total salesof new vehicles.

易纲：大科技公司改变了金融游戏规则，消费者隐私保护是极大挑战 Yi Gang: Bigtechnology companies have changed the rules of the financial game, and consumerprivacy protection is a great challenge

“中国的央行数字货币（CBDC）目前还处于初始阶段，需要制定复杂而完整的法律和监管框架，中国央行也期待与国际清算银行（BIS）和全球金融稳定委员会（FSB）展开讨论和合作，让央行数字货币稳步发展，确保更加稳定安全的未来。”“China’s central bank digital currency (CBDC) is still in its infancy andrequires a complex and complete legal and regulatory framework. The centralbank of China also looks forward to discussing and cooperating with the Bankfor International Settlements (BIS) and the Global Financial Stability Board(FSB). Let the central bank’s digital currency develop steadily and ensure amore stable and secure future."

央行：提升A股市场与国际市场资金联通等举措有利于提升A股价格发现功能 Central Bank:Measures such as improving the capital connection between the A-share marketand the international market will help enhance the A-share price discoveryfunction

论文认为，影响AH股溢价的原因，主要是预期汇率变动和市场开放程度，中观层面的市场情绪，以及微观层面的股息率、流动性不足、投机动机、信息不对称等。
The paper believes that the main reasonsaffecting the premium of AH shares are the expected exchange rate changes andthe degree of market openness, market sentiment at the meso level, and themicro-level dividend rate, insufficient liquidity, speculation, and informationasymmetry.

50亿减值计提！中信证券爆雷还是做实资产？ 5 billion impairmentprovision! Is CITIC Securities a real asset?

公告称，拟计提各项资产减值准备合计人民币50.27亿元，同比增长593.84%，超过公司2019年度经审计净利润的10%，减少净利润人民币37.72亿元。有分析担心中信过去所有的踩雷项目可能并没有计提结束，但也有分析师认为，考虑到前三季度中信业务表现大幅好于去年同期，判断是公司主动做实资产。
According to the announcement, the proposedprovision for asset impairment totals RMB 5.027 billion, a year-on-yearincrease of 593.84%, exceeding 10% of the company’s audited net profit for2019, and reducing net profit by RMB 3.772 billion. Some analysts worry thatall of CITIC’s past mine-strike projects may not have been accrued, but some analystsbelieve that considering that CITIC’s business performance in the first threequarters was significantly better than the same period last year, it is judgedthat the company took the initiative to make real assets.

中信建投几分钟内闪崩跌停 市场人士直指“乌龙指” CITIC ConstructionInvestment crashed and fell within a few minutes, market participants pointedout “Oolong”

一笔约9500手的跌停价超大卖单成交，将实时股价从43.04元/股瞬间打压至10%跌停板。有市场人士认为可能是“乌龙指”所致。
An ultra-large sell order with a limit-fallprice of about 9,500 lots was executed, which instantly suppressed thereal-time stock price from 43.04 yuan per share to a 10% limit. Some marketparticipants think it may be caused by the “Oolong Finger”.

中金回归A股：首日打开涨停市值逾1800亿元 CICC returns to Ashares: open daily limit on the first day, market value exceeds 180 billionyuan

这是A股第40家上市券商，也是第14家“A+H”股券商。
This is the 40th A-share listed brokeragefirm and the 14th “A+H” stock brokerage firm.

中行、交行：如果11月3-4日市场波动加大，或限制个人外汇等交易类业务Bank of China, Bank of Communications: If market volatility increases onNovember 3-4, or restrictions on personal foreign exchange and othertransactional businesses

中国银行和交通银行发布公告称，预计北京时间11月3日至11月4日贵金属、外汇市场市场风险可能加剧。可能会限制贵金属和外汇产品的交易。
The Bank of China and the Bank ofCommunications announced that it is expected that market risks in the preciousmetals and foreign exchange markets may increase from November 3 to November 4Beijing time. May restrict trading of precious metals and foreign exchangeproducts.

中国造车新势力交付能力生猛！蔚来同比翻番，小鹏汽车狂飙逾220% The deliverycapacity of China’s new car-making forces is vigorous! Weilai doubledyear-on-year, Xiaopeng Motors surged over 220%

2020年以来，造车新势力呈现出大浪淘沙的局面，以蔚来、理想、小鹏为代表的造车新势力市场走高，头部车企效应明显。Since 2020, new car-making forces have shown a situation of big wavesand sandstorms. The market of new car-making forces represented by Weilai,Ideal, and Xiaopeng has risen, and the effect of leading car companies isobvious.

美10月ISM制造业指数重回两年高位就业15个月来首次扩张 U.S. October ISMmanufacturing index returns to two-year highs, employment expands for the firsttime in 15 months

美国10月ISM制造业指数升至59.3，创2018年9月来新高。其中，订单指数受新出口订单提振，就业指数是2019年7月来首返扩张。美国10月Markit制造业PMI也创2019年1月来终值新高，但交付仍是产量和库存增长的最大障碍。
The US October ISM manufacturing index roseto 59.3, the highest since September 2018. Among them, the order index wasboosted by new export orders, and the employment index was the first expansionsince July 2019. The US October Markit manufacturing PMI also hit a new highsince January 2019, but delivery is still the biggest obstacle to productionand inventory growth.

苹果官宣11月10日发布会 15年来首次告别英特尔芯片的Mac要来了 Apple officiallyannounced the November 10 press conference for the first time in 15 years tobid farewell to the Intel chip Mac

苹果发布会于北京时间11月11日凌晨举行。媒体称，三款新Mac分别是13英寸和16英寸的MacBook Pro、13英寸MacBook Air，除搭载自有芯片外，新款Mac并无其他重大变化。
The Apple conference was held in the earlymorning of November 11, Beijing time. According to the media, the three newMacs are the 13-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro, and the 13-inch MacBook Air.Except for its own chips, the new Mac has no other major changes.

德、法、意、欧元区10月制造业PMI全线高于预期复苏势头强劲 German, French,Italian, and Eurozone manufacturing PMIs in October are higher than expectedacross the board; recovery is strong

11月2日周一，英、德、法、意、欧元区公布10月制造业PMI初值，且全部高于预期和前值。On Monday, November 2, Britain, Germany, France, Italy, and the Eurozoneannounced the initial values of manufacturing PMI for October, and all of them werehigher than expected and previous values.

油价盘中上演惊天大逆转！发生什么了？Oilprices staged a shocking reversal in intraday trading! what happened?

周一俄罗斯石油公司将与能源部长Alexander Novak会面，讨论是否有可能将OPEC+减产协议延长至明年一季度末。这令油价盘中上演惊天大逆转，从一度跌超5%转为上涨。
Rosneft will meet with Energy MinisterAlexander Novak on Monday to discuss whether it is possible to extend the OPEC+production reduction agreement until the end of the first quarter of next year.This caused a shocking reversal in oil prices, from a drop of over 5% to anincrease.

不过此后媒体调查发现，10月OPEC日均合计产油较9月增加47万桶，其中仅豁免减产国利比亚就环比增产30万桶，主要增产国还包括之前几个月未达到减产目标的伊拉克和尼日利亚。这一消息未能阻止油价日内反转态势，布油盘中涨幅达4%。However, media investigations since then found that OPEC’s total dailyoil production in October increased by 470,000 barrels compared with September.Among them, only Libya, which is exempted from reducing production, increasedits production by 300,000 barrels from the previous month. The main productionincrease countries also include Iraq, which has not reached the reductiontarget in the previous months. And Nigeria. This news failed to prevent the oilprice from reversing the trend in the day, and the oil price rose by 4%.

中国资讯——地区及产业

1、燃料电池 | 国务院办公厅日前印发《新能源汽车产业发展规划（2021—2035年）》，要求推进加氢基础设施建设，引导企业根据氢燃料供给、消费需求等合理布局加氢基础设施，提升安全运行水平；开展高压气态、深冷气态、低温液态及固态等多种形式储运技术示范应用，探索建设氢燃料运输管道，逐步降低氢燃料储运成本。

点评：中金公司认为，氢能源汽车是行业长期发展方向，该项政策的推出，进一步加快了产业发展节奏，将为氢能源汽车生产企业及相关产业链带来一定投资机会。中泰股份是深冷技术工艺及设备提供商，产品广泛应用于氢能源等行业；深冷股份拟投建氢能源装备基地。

2、碳酸锂 | 据百川盈孚监测，11月2日电池级碳酸锂均价41155元/吨，较昨日上涨29元/吨，较上季累计上涨4.06%。目前厂家库存水平偏低，报价坚挺，市场看涨情绪明显。

点评：日前，澳洲锂精矿企业Altura进入破产管理，其产能占全球的5%左右。华泰证券李斌认为，当前锂价超跌，行业库存去化基本完成；而全球汽车电动化趋势确立，动力电池需求快速增长，直接提振锂盐需求，行业将迎来向上修复。赣锋锂业今年氢氧化锂设计产能达到8.1万吨/年，碳酸锂设计产能为4.05万吨/年；雅化集团计划定增募资，用于2万吨氢氧化锂以及1.1万吨氯化锂项目的建设；中矿资源拥有3000吨电池级氟化锂产能，2.5万吨微粉级氢氧化锂项目正在建设中。

3、液化天然气 | 据百川盈孚监测，11月2日国内液化天然气（LNG）均价为3790元/吨，较10月初上涨超40%。9月以来，LNG进入传统旺季，在工业及居民供暖等需求因素的提振下，价格连续上涨。

点评：据了解，自5月份起，我国工业生产指数明显回升，带动LNG消费量增长。目前北方城市已陆续进入冬季供暖期，城燃补库积极，市场心态乐观。原料气价格两次上调等利多因素，未来将支撑LNG价格持续上行。此外，今年我国仍然延续散煤替代环保政策，新增了汾渭平原，替代户数大幅增长。新奥股份借助浙江舟山的新奥集团LNG码头进口气源；深圳燃气LNG接收站投产效果逐渐显现，可以利用国内外天然气价差优势，带来业绩新增量。

4、土地流转 | 新华社北京11月2日电，全国农村承包地确权登记颁证工作总结暨表彰电视电话会议2日在京召开。会上传达学习了批示。对新时代推进农村土地制度改革、做好农村承包地管理工作作出重要指示强调，要根据实践发展要求，丰富集体所有权、农户承包权、土地经营权的有效实现形式，促进农村土地资源优化配置，积极培育新型农业经营主体，发展壮大农业社会化服务组织，鼓励和支持广大小农户走同现代农业相结合的发展之路。

点评：在坚持家庭经营的基础上发展多种形式的适度规模经营，提升粮食和重要农产品供给保障能力，为促进农业农村现代化和乡村全面振兴、全面建设社会主义现代化国家提供支撑。大禹节水成立专业公司，致力于土地承包流转经营。公司在互动平台称表示，已签订土地流转协议，主要涉及酒泉市肃州区有关流转土地。神农科技通过组建“一站式粮食生产供应链管理服务”农业专业合作联社，为纳入项目管理的家庭农场、农民合作社、种粮大户等新型农业经营主体提供土地流转等服务。

5、华为芯片 | 据报道，华为正计划在上海建设一家不使用美国技术的芯片工厂。据熟悉该项目的人士称，华为预计将从制造45纳米芯片开始。报道称，华为的目标是在2021年底之前为物联网设备制造28纳米芯片，并在2022年底之前为5G电信设备生产20纳米芯片。

点评：十九届五中全会公报强调，坚持创新在我国现代化建设全局中的核心地位，把科技自立自强作为国家发展的战略支撑，完善国家创新体系，加快建设科技强国。打造自主可控芯片产业链已经成为国家意志。据悉华为已经投入了200亿美元（约合1338亿人民币）用于芯片生产。随着国家政策大力支持，未来我国将在芯片生产方面得到突破性进展。A股华为芯片相关概念股主要有国民技术、润和软件、赛微电子等。

今日要闻前瞻

美国大选投票日。美国9月耐用品终值、工厂订单。澳洲联储决议。东京证券交易所休市。

作者：张良信息咨询服务工作室
Author: Zhang information consulting services studio
链接：https://www.zzw868.cn/
https://www.zzw868.com/
著作权归作者所有。商业转载请联系作者获得授权，非商业转载请注明出处。
The copyright belongs to the author. For commercial reprints, please contact the author for authorization. For non-commercial reprints, please indicate the source.
风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。
Risk Warning: The opinions mentioned in this article only represent personal opinions, and the subject matter involved is not recommended. Buy and sell accordingly at your own risk.
来源：华尔街见闻
Source: Wall Street

AI擒牛 智能港美股