程序能不能像人脑一样,看一眼就知道,哪个时间段是涨哪个时间段股票在下跌?
我要达到这种效果:
网上找了很多资料,都是python的,而且也没有解决我的问题。
我需要实现的是,能智能地对数据分段,像局部的线性回归检测。
自行研究了两天,加了部分硬编码,实现了对股票涨跌的分析
找到一个问答,挺有意思,摘抄如下
Some ideas & guidances:
Based on your statement (cit.:)
I did some searches and thought for a whole day, there is no a really good idea on how to do.
I can make you sure, there is no universally good idea, how to solve this, but this should not make you nervous. Generations of CTAs have spent their whole lives on doing this to their individual horizons of the best efforts they could have spent on mastering this, so at least, we can learn on what they have left us as a path to follow.
1) DEFINE a Trend:
As an initial surprise, one ought consider a trend to be rather an exosystem-driven ( extrinsic ) feature, which is more related to an opinion, than to a TimeSeries Data ( observable ) history.
In other words, once one realises, that the information about a trend is simply not present internally in the TimeSeries dataset, the things will start to clear up significantly.
2) given one believes strong enough into her/his Trend-identification methods,
one can but EXTEND such Trend-indication, as a line-of-belief, into FUTURE ( a conjecture )
3) The MARKET & only The Market VALIDATES ( or ignores ) such one's "accepted"-belief.
4) SHARED beliefs RE-CONFIRM such a line-of-belief as a majority respected Trend-indication ( measured by Market risk exposed equity, not by a popular vote, the less by crowd-shouted or CTAs' self-promoting squeeks )
最终效果: