2016数学建模美赛总结反思

本文主要介绍了2016年美国大学生数学建模竞赛的总结和反思,强调了前期建模储备、人员分工合作、建模过程以及对数学建模的理解。前期准备包括软件熟练掌握、数学知识积累、建模算法学习、资料获取能力提升等。人员分工建议为数学员、程序员和写手,每个角色都有明确的任务。建模过程中,关键步骤包括理解题意、寻找资料、模型构建与优化、论文整理等。作者认为数学建模是应用数学解决问题的过程,需要良好的数学、编程和文档整理能力。下一步的努力方向包括深入学习数学模型、掌握更多数学工具、研究算法实现和获奖论文,以及提高写作和英语水平。
摘要由CSDN通过智能技术生成

一.前期准备(建模储备)

1. 工欲善其事,必先利其器。

各种软件的成功安装,团队成员软件版本一致性。

软件(Excel、matlab、word、latex、WPS等等)熟练掌握。

2. 必要数学知识

让你的数学知识足够让你进行知识的获取与获取知识后接下去的快速学习。

各种算法。

3. 建模算法与编程知识(思想的具体实现)

了解各项算法。

各种算法以及编程具体实现,提前将代码准备好。

知道何种问题用何种算法,编程可以直接拿来用。

4. 资料获取能力(文件检索)

各种网站与论坛(数学中国、校苑数模等)的资源的利用。

(可以建群讨论)(注册收集体力从而下载东西)

Google搜索引擎的真正使用方法,资源搜索方法。

中国知网等学术论文获取方法。

谷歌学术,百度学术。

5. 建立模型能力(思想)

建立模型的能力才是整个数学建模的核心,模型从分析到实现是需要过程的。团队可以一起讨论,相信自己,结合找到的学术论文进行初步建模构想,再搜集资料。

获取知识,搜索资料,最好在前人学术研究的基础上加以改进。利用好学术论文。

建立模型不是一蹴而就的,团队分析,最后一人总结数学思想建模,可以分模块分部建立,有一人编程实现。

6. 文档写作能力(格式)

充分研究以前优秀作文。格式,语言使用。

对自己模型的表达。

Our planet is getting thirstier and thirstier. Water scarcity has become an increasingly hard but urgent problem. To make contributions to solve the water problems, we proposed a metric model to identify the ability of each country to manage water scarcity, and offered solutions to a country considered water over-loaded. First we developed our metric, Total Scarcity Metric, and divided it into Physical Scarcity Metric (affected by environmental factors and population) and Economic Scarcity Metric (affected by social factors other than population) by the two causes of water scarcity. The detailed factors were selected to make a difference. We made some adjustments to an indicator we found widely-used in the literatures, and determine Physical Scarcity Metric based on it. For Economic Scarcity Metric, we built a factor model with its weight calculated by Grey Relational Analysis. To combine them, we introduced a parameter  revealing the relative emphasis between physical scarcity and economic scarcity of each country. Its value varies by countries, so it’s more proper to discuss it in the country level. Then we used data from 83 countries to verify our model, and found a similar water scarcity distribution compared to UN’s “World Scarcity Map”. By providing sensitivity analysis on  ,we indicated the importance of its selection for each country. Based on that result, we chose Pakistan for further analysis. First we discussed the possible factors accounting for its current water situation, including 2 environmental factors and 5 social factors. We made it clear how and what kind of scarcity they affect. To forecast the water situation in 2030 by our metric, we determined the predicted value of influential factors by Grey Forecasting Model and Regression Analysis with little error. We found Pakistan less susceptible to economic scarcity but more to physical scarcity at that time. Its total water scarcity will be alleviated. Next, we devised an intervention plan to improve the ability of Pakistan to deal with its water scarcity. The plan is made up of physical scarcity plan and economic scarcity plan. Considering the impact of each policy, we analyzed the overall strengths and weaknesses in a larger context. To see how our plan performs, we ran our model again under some hypothesized settings. Although Pakistan performed better with our plan and its economic scarcity can be alleviated, it will still face water scarcity, especially physical water scarcity. In conclusion, Pakistan still has a long way to go.
评论 1
添加红包

请填写红包祝福语或标题

红包个数最小为10个

红包金额最低5元

当前余额3.43前往充值 >
需支付:10.00
成就一亿技术人!
领取后你会自动成为博主和红包主的粉丝 规则
hope_wisdom
发出的红包
实付
使用余额支付
点击重新获取
扫码支付
钱包余额 0

抵扣说明:

1.余额是钱包充值的虚拟货币,按照1:1的比例进行支付金额的抵扣。
2.余额无法直接购买下载,可以购买VIP、付费专栏及课程。

余额充值