有3扇关闭的门,一扇门后面停着汽车,其余门后是山羊,只有主持人知道每扇门后面是什么。参赛者可以选择一扇门,在开启它之前,主持人会开启另外一扇门,露出门后的山羊,然后允许参赛者更换自己的选择。请问:参赛者更换选择后能否增加猜中汽车的机会?
import random
def monty_hall_simulation(num_trials):
stay_wins = 0
switch_wins = 0
for _ in range(num_trials):
# 三扇门,一辆汽车和两只山羊随机放置
doors = ['car', 'goat', 'goat']
random.shuffle(doors)
# 参赛者首先选择一扇门
participant_choice = random.randint(0, 2)
# 主持人打开一扇门,露出山羊
doors_without_participant_choice = [i for i in range(3)
if i != participant_choice and doors[i] == 'goat']
door_opened_by_host = random.choice(doors_without_participant_choice)
# 参赛者决定是否更换选择
# 将符合条件生成列表,选择第一个元素
switch_choice = [i for i in range(3)
if i != participant_choice and i != door_opened_by_host][0]
print(switch_choice)
# 统计结果
if doors[participant_choice] == 'car':
stay_wins += 1
elif doors[switch_choice] == 'car':
switch_wins += 1
# 计算概率
stay_probability = stay_wins / num_trials
switch_probability = switch_wins / num_trials
return stay_probability, switch_probability
# 进行模拟,例如10000次
num_trials = eval(input('请输入要进行测试的次数:'))
stay_probability, switch_probability = monty_hall_simulation(num_trials)
# 打印结果
print(f"不更换选择时的获胜概率:{stay_probability:.2f}")
print(f"更换选择时的获胜概率:{switch_probability:.2f}")