云趋势：SaaS走向全球IaaS竞争激烈PaaS前景堪忧

云计算如今已成为酝酿新技术革命的摇篮，在刚刚过去的2013年，中国企业逐渐打消了对云计算的疑虑，开始真正参与到云市场中来。然而云计算的三大服务模式——SaaS、PaaS、IaaS，在经历了市场的长时间考验后，有了完全不同的发展前景。

SaaS：持续升温 走向全球

SaaS可以说是三大模式中最为省事的一种，选择这种服务，企业完全可以不用理会应用程序与基础设施的维护。一定程度上，SaaS的“均贫富”特性改变了企业的竞争方式，因为即使规模最小的“作坊式”企业都能从技术巨头提供的服务中受益。目前SaaS的市场份额位居三大模式之首，也受到几乎所有IT巨头的关注。

CMIC研究认为，SaaS模式的未来呈现出两大趋势。一是中小企业将成最大消费群。SaaS对中小企业的有力推动已经得到验证，无需赘述，作为经济体系的重要组成部分，未来中小企业将为SaaS贡献出更多产值。二是基础性应用成为突破口。这是由于越基础的管理需求，越容易接受SaaS应用。CMIC预计，OA、财务管理、CRM、ERP等基础办公软件将成为SaaS应用最广泛的领域。

IaaS：大佬云集 竞争激烈

亚马逊、微软相继杀入中国市场，将彻底打乱国内相对单纯的竞争格局。IaaS属于资本密集型产业，凡是有资源的企业均可提供服务，产品的高使用率是这种模式的盈利关键。为了吸引用户，IaaS市场价格变动最为频繁，这对用户来说有益无害，而供应商们就必须时刻绷紧神经。为保证市场竞争力，那些中小供应商们必须跟随巨头们的降价大潮不断调整价格，虽然肉痛，但别无他法。

PaaS：面临风险 前景堪忧

从技术角度分析，PaaS是构建应用程序的一种方式，而IaaS和SaaS负责托管应用程序，这两种方式之间存在汇流，IaaS和SaaS供应商完全可以打造出具有PaaS功能的一站式云服务应用，而不必专门为PaaS开辟平台。这种特性使PaaS的前途很不明朗，未来某一天，云计算将剔除PaaS，变身两大应用服务模式也未可知。

近年在云计算领域，提供不同服务云供应商的彼此收购屡见不鲜，但PaaS服务商被收购的案例占大多数，如Heroku、AppFog等供应商就是这么消亡的，这给全球PaaS供应商带来威胁。

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