#!/usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Created on Sat Sep 15 13:44:49 2018
@author: vicky
"""
import pandas as pd
data = pd.read_excel('/Users/vicky/Desktop/建模/附件1.xlsx')
d=data[0:100]
data.dtypes
data.isnull().sum()
colname=data.columns.tolist()
from pomegranate import *
guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1./3, 'B': 1./3, 'C': 1./3})
prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1./3, 'B': 1./3, 'C': 1./3})
monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
[['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5],
['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0],
['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0],
['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0],
['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0],
['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5],
['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0],
['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0],
['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0],
['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0],
['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5],
['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5],
['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]], [guest, prize])
s1 = Node(guest, name="guest")
s2 = Node(prize, name="prize")
s3 = Node(monty, name="monty")
model = BayesianNetwork("Monty Hall Problem")
model.add_states(s1, s2, s3)
model.add_edge(s1, s3)
model.add_edge(s2, s3)
model.bake()