展开全部
使用cftool
logistic人口模型进行拟合
General model:
f(x) = a/(1+b*exp(-k*(x-1790)))
Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
a = 446.6 (371.1, 522)
b = 57.01 (48.93, 65.09)
k = 0.02155 (0.01945, 0.02365)
Goodness of fit:
SSE: 457.7
R-square: 0.9972
Adjusted R-square: 0.9969
RMSE: 4.908
x(t)=xm+(-xm+x0)exp(-rt)
Fit computation did not converge:
Maximum number of function evaluations exceeded. Increasing
MaxFunEvals (in fit options) may allow for a better fit, or
the current equation may not be a good model for the data.
Fit found when optimization terminated:
General model:
f(x) = ym+(-ym+3.9)*exp(-r*(x-1790))
Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
r = 3.682e-006 (-0.005956, 0.0059