signature=b00577345658299389176d7ea34dfea6,A Lagrangian analysis of a developing and non-developing ...

最新推荐文章于 2021-05-30 04:04:14 发布

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于 2021-05-30 04:04:11 发布

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文章标签：拉格朗日分析热带气旋 PREDICT实验回流区域数据集成

本文介绍了使用拉格朗日技术来定位热带气旋形成中回流区域的方法，该方法适用于随时间演变的流动，不再局限于稳态流动假设。通过对PREDICT实验中发展和未发展的扰动进行分析，拉格朗日方法能够从时间序列数据中检测回流区域，提供比稳态框架更全面的分析。通过全球预报模型输出的数据，该方法被应用于两个实际案例，评估了干空气对热带气旋重新发展的影响。

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A Lagrangian analysis of a developing and non-developing disturbance observed during the PREDICT experiment

Abstract:

The problem of tropical cyclone formation requires among other things an improved understanding of recirculating flow regions on sub-synoptic scales in a time evolving flow with typically sparse real-time data. This recirculation problem has previously been approached assuming as a first approximation both a layer-wise two-dimensional and nearly steady flow in a co-moving frame with the parent tropical wave or disturbance. This paper provides an introduction of Lagrangian techniques for locating flow boundaries that encompass regions of recirculation in time-dependent flows that relax the steady flow approximation. Lagrangian methods detect recirculating regions from time-dependent data and offer a more complete methodology than the approximate steady framework. The Lagrangian reference frame follows particle trajectories so that flow boundaries which constrain particle transport can be viewed in a frame-independent setting. Finite-time Lagrangian scalar field methods from dynamical systems theory offer a way to compute boundaries from grids of particles seeded in and near a disturbance. The methods are applied to both a developing and non-developing disturbance observed during the recent pre-depression investigation of cloud systems in the tropics (PREDICT) experiment. The data for this analysis is derived from global forecast model output that assimilated the dropsonde observations as they were being collected by research aircraft. Since Lagrangian methods require trajectory integrations, we address some practical issues of using Lagrangian methods in the tropical cyclogenesis problem. Lagrangian diagnostics are used to evaluate the previously hypothesized import of dry air into ex-Gaston, which did not re-develop into a tropical cyclone, and the exclusion of dry air from pre-Karl, which did become a tropical cyclone and later a major hurricane.