预测分析 Python ARIMA模型预测（学习笔记）

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import statsmodels.api as sm

#读取数据
data=pd.read_excel("data_test.xls",index_col=0)
data=data['number']
data.plot(figsize=(12,8)) #原图

#数据带有周期性，先一阶差分，再144步差分
diff_1=data.diff(1)
diff1=diff_1.dropna()
diff1_144_1=diff_1-diff_1.shift(144)
diff1_144=diff1_144_1.dropna()
#画图判断是否平稳
fig=plt.figure(figsize=(12,8))
ax=fig.add_subplot(111)
diff1_144.plot(ax=ax)