不好使地机器学习预测双色球蓝球号码-CSDN博客

本文链接：https://blog.csdn.net/yunhe2727/article/details/106029762

引入需要的库

import requests
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd

获取历史双色球的网页

url='https://datachart.500.com/ssq/history/newinc/history.php?start=03001'

参考https://www.jianshu.com/p/79979e7982fa?utm_campaign=hugo获取历史数据

#获取历史所有双色球数据
response = requests.get(url)
response.encoding = 'utf-8'  
re_text = response.text

#网页数据解析
re=re_text.split('<tbody id="tdata">')[1].split('</tbody>')[0]
result=re.split('<tr class="t_tr1">')[1:]

all_numbers=[]
for i in result:
    each_numbers=[]
    i=i.replace('<!--<td>2</td>-->','')
    each=i.split('</td>')[:-1]
    for j in each:
        each_numbers.append(j.split('>')[1].replace('&nbsp;',''))
    
    all_numbers.append(each_numbers)
  
#定义列名称  
col=['期号','红球1','红球2','红球3','红球4','红球5','红球6','蓝球','快乐星期天','奖池奖金(元)',
     '一等奖注数','一等奖奖金(元)','二等奖注数','二等奖奖金(元)','总投注额(元)','开奖日期']

#解析完网页数据，生成双色球数据框
df_all=pd.DataFrame(all_numbers,columns=col)
df_all.head()

	期号	红球1	红球2	红球3	红球4	红球5	红球6	蓝球	奖池奖金(元)	一等奖注数	一等奖奖金(元)	二等奖注数	二等奖奖金(元)	总投注额(元)	开奖日期
0	20034	02	08	15	16	26	32	03	878,740,204	11	6,780,706	182	134,531	340,793,680	2020-05-07
1	20033	07	10	12	21	31	32	01	879,873,846	4	10,000,000	97	263,480	320,555,362	2020-05-05
2	20032	03	11	13	14	15	26	13	843,200,936	11	6,588,951	135	161,837	338,904,002	2020-05-03
3	20031	02	05	09	15	16	27	09	850,135,149	14	5,603,722	310	34,081	323,903,392	2020-04-30
4	20030	17	18	21	29	30	32	03	896,891,829	1	10,000,000	74	322,591	327,786,632	2020-04-28

df_all

	期号	红球1	红球2	红球3	红球4	红球5	红球6	蓝球	快乐星期天	奖池奖金(元)	一等奖注数	一等奖奖金(元)	二等奖注数	二等奖奖金(元)	总投注额(元)	开奖日期
0	20034	02	08	15	16	26	32	03		878,740,204	11	6,780,706	182	134,531	340,793,680	2020-05-07
1	20033	07	10	12	21	31	32	01		879,873,846	4	10,000,000	97	263,480	320,555,362	2020-05-05
2	20032	03	11	13	14	15	26	13		843,200,936	11	6,588,951	135	161,837	338,904,002	2020-05-03
3	20031	02	05	09	15	16	27	09		850,135,149	14	5,603,722	310	34,081	323,903,392	2020-04-30
4	20030	17	18	21	29	30	32	03		896,891,829	1	10,000,000	74	322,591	327,786,632	2020-04-28
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2539	03005	04	06	15	17	30	31	16	13	14,280,829	0	0	4	260,153	10,661,438	2003-03-09
2540	03004	04	06	07	10	13	25	03	0	11,852,729	0	0	3	281,578	9,517,794	2003-03-06
2541	03003	01	07	10	23	28	32	16	03	9,881,677	0	0	2	332,369	8,917,960	2003-03-02
2542	03002	04	09	19	20	21	26	12	0	8,330,621	0	0	2	264,332	7,398,870	2003-02-27
2543	03001	10	11	12	13	26	28	11	10	2,097,070	0	0	1	898,744	10,307,806	2003-02-23

2544 rows × 16 columns

提取蓝球数据

df_all['蓝球']

0       03
1       01
2       13
3       09
4       03
        ..
2539    16
2540    03
2541    16
2542    12
2543    11
Name: 蓝球, Length: 2544, dtype: object

导入sklearn库

from sklearn.svm import SVR

修改行索引为时间

df_blue = df_all.iloc[::-1]
df_blue = df_blue.set_index('开奖日期')
df_blue

	期号	红球1	红球2	红球3	红球4	红球5	红球6	蓝球	快乐星期天	奖池奖金(元)	一等奖注数	一等奖奖金(元)	二等奖注数	二等奖奖金(元)	总投注额(元)
开奖日期
2003-02-23	03001	10	11	12	13	26	28	11	10	2,097,070	0	0	1	898,744	10,307,806
2003-02-27	03002	04	09	19	20	21	26	12	0	8,330,621	0	0	2	264,332	7,398,870
2003-03-02	03003	01	07	10	23	28	32	16	03	9,881,677	0	0	2	332,369	8,917,960
2003-03-06	03004	04	06	07	10	13	25	03	0	11,852,729	0	0	3	281,578	9,517,794
2003-03-09	03005	04	06	15	17	30	31	16	13	14,280,829	0	0	4	260,153	10,661,438
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2020-04-28	20030	17	18	21	29	30	32	03		896,891,829	1	10,000,000	74	322,591	327,786,632
2020-04-30	20031	02	05	09	15	16	27	09		850,135,149	14	5,603,722	310	34,081	323,903,392
2020-05-03	20032	03	11	13	14	15	26	13		843,200,936	11	6,588,951	135	161,837	338,904,002
2020-05-05	20033	07	10	12	21	31	32	01		879,873,846	4	10,000,000	97	263,480	320,555,362
2020-05-07	20034	02	08	15	16	26	32	03		878,740,204	11	6,780,706	182	134,531	340,793,680

2544 rows × 15 columns

提取20个开奖周期的蓝球数据到数据中

for i in range(1, 21, 1):
    df_blue.loc[:,'Close Minus ' + str(i)] = df_blue['蓝球'].shift(i)

df_blue

	期号	红球1	红球2	红球3	红球4	红球5	红球6	蓝球	快乐星期天	奖池奖金(元)	...	Close Minus 11	Close Minus 12	Close Minus 13	Close Minus 14	Close Minus 15	Close Minus 16	Close Minus 17	Close Minus 18	Close Minus 19	Close Minus 20
开奖日期
2003-02-23	03001	10	11	12	13	26	28	11	10	2,097,070	...	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
2003-02-27	03002	04	09	19	20	21	26	12	0	8,330,621	...	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
2003-03-02	03003	01	07	10	23	28	32	16	03	9,881,677	...	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
2003-03-06	03004	04	06	07	10	13	25	03	0	11,852,729	...	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
2003-03-09	03005	04	06	15	17	30	31	16	13	14,280,829	...	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2020-04-28	20030	17	18	21	29	30	32	03		896,891,829	...	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01	09
2020-04-30	20031	02	05	09	15	16	27	09		850,135,149	...	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01
2020-05-03	20032	03	11	13	14	15	26	13		843,200,936	...	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09
2020-05-05	20033	07	10	12	21	31	32	01		879,873,846	...	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14
2020-05-07	20034	02	08	15	16	26	32	03		878,740,204	...	08	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07

2544 rows × 35 columns

筛选有效数据

sp20 = df_blue[[x for x in df_blue.columns if 'Close Minus' in x or x == '蓝球']].iloc[20:,]

sp20

	蓝球	Close Minus 1	Close Minus 2	Close Minus 3	Close Minus 4	Close Minus 5	Close Minus 6	Close Minus 7	Close Minus 8	Close Minus 9	...	Close Minus 11	Close Minus 12	Close Minus 13	Close Minus 14	Close Minus 15	Close Minus 16	Close Minus 17	Close Minus 18	Close Minus 19	Close Minus 20
开奖日期
2003-05-04	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	12	12	...	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16	12	11
2003-05-08	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	12	...	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16	12
2003-05-11	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	...	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16
2003-05-15	14	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	...	12	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03
2003-05-18	12	14	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	...	02	12	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2020-04-28	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	02	07	...	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01	09
2020-04-30	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	02	...	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01
2020-05-03	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	...	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09
2020-05-05	01	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	...	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14
2020-05-07	03	01	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	...	08	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07

2524 rows × 21 columns

提取训练集，留500作为预测集

x_train = sp20[:-500]
x_train

	蓝球	Close Minus 1	Close Minus 2	Close Minus 3	Close Minus 4	Close Minus 5	Close Minus 6	Close Minus 7	Close Minus 8	Close Minus 9	...	Close Minus 11	Close Minus 12	Close Minus 13	Close Minus 14	Close Minus 15	Close Minus 16	Close Minus 17	Close Minus 18	Close Minus 19	Close Minus 20
开奖日期
2003-05-04	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	12	12	...	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16	12	11
2003-05-08	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	12	...	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16	12
2003-05-11	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	02	...	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03	16
2003-05-15	14	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	13	...	12	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16	03
2003-05-18	12	14	02	08	01	04	09	13	06	06	...	02	12	12	15	13	09	08	07	06	16
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2016-12-01	15	10	03	07	14	03	12	13	15	07	...	01	14	13	16	10	03	10	16	08	09
2016-12-04	12	15	10	03	07	14	03	12	13	15	...	02	01	14	13	16	10	03	10	16	08
2016-12-06	13	12	15	10	03	07	14	03	12	13	...	07	02	01	14	13	16	10	03	10	16
2016-12-08	05	13	12	15	10	03	07	14	03	12	...	15	07	02	01	14	13	16	10	03	10
2016-12-11	06	05	13	12	15	10	03	07	14	03	...	13	15	07	02	01	14	13	16	10	03

2024 rows × 21 columns

目标值

y_train = sp20['蓝球'].shift(-1)[:-500]
y_train

开奖日期
2003-05-04    08
2003-05-08    02
2003-05-11    14
2003-05-15    12
2003-05-18    16
              ..
2016-12-01    12
2016-12-04    13
2016-12-06    05
2016-12-08    06
2016-12-11    10
Name: 蓝球, Length: 2024, dtype: object

预测集和对比集

x_test = sp20[-500:]
y_test = sp20['蓝球'].shift(-1)[-500:]

x_test

	蓝球	Close Minus 1	Close Minus 2	Close Minus 3	Close Minus 4	Close Minus 5	Close Minus 6	Close Minus 7	Close Minus 8	Close Minus 9	...	Close Minus 11	Close Minus 12	Close Minus 13	Close Minus 14	Close Minus 15	Close Minus 16	Close Minus 17	Close Minus 18	Close Minus 19	Close Minus 20
开奖日期
2016-12-13	10	06	05	13	12	15	10	03	07	14	...	12	13	15	07	02	01	14	13	16	10
2016-12-15	12	10	06	05	13	12	15	10	03	07	...	03	12	13	15	07	02	01	14	13	16
2016-12-18	14	12	10	06	05	13	12	15	10	03	...	14	03	12	13	15	07	02	01	14	13
2016-12-20	07	14	12	10	06	05	13	12	15	10	...	07	14	03	12	13	15	07	02	01	14
2016-12-22	05	07	14	12	10	06	05	13	12	15	...	03	07	14	03	12	13	15	07	02	01
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...
2020-04-28	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	02	07	...	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01	09
2020-04-30	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	02	...	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09	01
2020-05-03	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	08	...	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14	09
2020-05-05	01	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	08	...	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07	14
2020-05-07	03	01	13	09	03	05	08	06	06	02	...	08	02	07	14	03	13	04	07	01	07

500 rows × 21 columns

y_test

开奖日期
2016-12-13     12
2016-12-15     14
2016-12-18     07
2016-12-20     05
2016-12-22     07
             ... 
2020-04-28     09
2020-04-30     13
2020-05-03     01
2020-05-05     03
2020-05-07    NaN
Name: 蓝球, Length: 500, dtype: object

导入模型，拟合

clf = SVR(kernel='linear')

model = clf.fit(x_train, y_train)
preds = model.predict(x_test)

preds

array([ 8.58676633, 10.04212035,  8.99286766,  7.81664951,  8.85687919,
        8.17807331,  7.88675707,  9.12631827,  9.86707628,  9.50928296,
        9.02836386,  7.01681388,  8.8549026 ,  8.36320076,  9.514238  ,
        9.89583753,  8.12181409,  8.10611289,  8.69316687,  6.95661343,
        9.28758735,  8.97889805,  8.57062279,  9.47964576,  8.28717634,
        8.7176217 ,  8.57425781,  8.4514194 , 10.19625642,  7.92558213,
        7.50841961,  9.56776243,  8.13161002,  8.37967603,  9.07735228,
        8.67835037,  8.66892358,  9.28955127,  9.73093117,  8.63210465,
        8.18542601,  8.47619177,  8.71433588,  8.94164347,  7.74923166,
        8.0290494 ,  8.73319813,  8.89862196,  9.7517356 ,  9.25784447,
        9.34139293,  7.76386757,  8.71621187, 10.63192191,  8.63566704,
        8.85784687,  9.20373353,  8.81642518,  8.94184744,  9.32935945,
       10.1380704 ,  8.3947628 ,  8.64123079, 10.32142012,  9.08417377,
        8.86278631,  9.20851648,  7.72399751,  8.94238674,  8.25015006,
        8.92932569,  9.84590386,  8.26172306,  8.78810202,  8.19540522,
        9.00628716,  8.76530205,  9.29303384,  9.46007778,  9.17797816,
        7.39612198,  8.96372278, 10.54762032,  8.46384568,  9.77787681,
        8.87558466,  7.043298  ,  8.99920831,  8.44925127,  9.07705154,
        9.41660219,  8.38541241,  9.21890421,  8.54078717,  8.62960435,
        8.41015668,  8.94580875,  9.88939022,  8.63976203,  8.62031344,
        8.75268473,  8.11734574,  9.61889516,  9.29407703,  9.21098897,
        8.04105697,  9.59783473,  9.71685777,  9.18833669,  9.82468936,
        9.59897906,  7.68013441,  8.14455261,  9.3760988 ,  8.95203119,
       10.37716365, 10.44114214,  7.45247107,  9.38542959,  8.35913058,
        7.81164495,  9.73742441,  8.17743095,  9.31985947,  9.3599625 ,
        9.11066203,  8.85810417,  7.41233031,  8.07433288,  8.82599934,
        7.32655627,  9.38577877,  8.50466695,  8.78407966,  9.11041412,
        8.06996677,  8.03142014,  9.07850694,  8.85422537,  9.16743652,
        9.5473424 ,  8.52024396,  8.85845297,  8.01269069,  7.92689016,
        8.73021864, 10.20886234,  9.79064358,  8.87858553,  8.31592939,
        8.95579691,  8.00250802,  9.22678545,  9.31060474,  8.17547431,
        7.88314157,  9.03546515,  7.83289199,  7.82789981,  8.46082521,
        9.7996846 ,  7.10351517,  8.6908756 ,  8.70377681,  8.28338995,
        9.13512688,  7.59446757,  9.46477374,  8.37623523,  7.75977077,
        9.32594739,  8.33945126,  8.77559253,  9.22925321,  8.45836056,
        9.1597941 ,  9.3142494 ,  8.49366985,  7.98255797,  7.98760949,
        9.04398843,  8.14048901,  8.99392753,  8.64388447,  8.95796887,
        7.98834268,  9.76729164,  7.56718879,  8.57143079,  9.19044218,
        9.05176795,  9.52764316,  7.92642305,  8.376546  ,  9.18667362,
        8.28305921,  9.87468356,  8.47861223,  8.24944823,  9.30001674,
        8.06741557,  8.30831829,  9.63323753,  9.08122353,  7.4141506 ,
        8.55788839,  8.71653865,  7.83489853,  9.98595278, 10.57751475,
        9.02088601,  9.01491694,  9.1139619 ,  9.123289  ,  8.86248036,
       10.75222492,  8.56172642,  8.7192524 ,  9.16409649,  8.44308954,
        9.98260715,  9.23480853,  9.48459594,  8.70702024,  7.23703221,
        9.27731217,  8.79025182,  8.71373586,  9.52335647,  8.54168366,
        8.73097331,  9.25416056,  9.03534981,  9.05520839,  9.11663778,
        9.04749133,  8.47944654,  9.81438931,  9.01441964,  7.47684487,
        8.85582699,  8.92552577,  8.35441748,  9.1275847 ,  9.64776527,
        8.86203573,  8.54198461,  9.80352083,  8.16063045,  8.88554805,
        8.73174713,  8.64411905,  8.31263542,  9.2815712 ,  8.87880302,
        8.22193847,  9.10355758,  9.97753625,  7.62457492,  8.32021672,
        9.57287923,  7.93929366,  7.90336997,  9.13307444,  9.214177  ,
        8.00670382, 10.14327517,  8.89086259,  7.87531793,  9.65669472,
        9.76025634, 10.24672254,  9.81705915,  7.65693601, 10.02286585,
        8.32478448,  9.1857039 , 11.06159148,  7.64888748,  8.39394691,
        8.64290656,  8.36138954,  9.82690075,  8.6416944 ,  9.73837843,
        8.20274274,  7.95392611, 10.20091045,  8.80705934,  9.53212577,
       10.63799762,  6.93632862,  9.02839699,  9.05237286,  8.81093175,
       10.11080219,  9.06786406,  9.11300461,  8.4457192 ,  6.75585618,
        8.76649629,  8.8132105 ,  7.9615836 ,  9.27740485,  8.4162546 ,
        7.21073231,  6.94116465,  8.95241416,  8.69584013,  7.86647028,
        8.59555889,  8.97609799,  8.56667039,  8.72653531, 10.59874911,
        8.26162894,  7.63103954,  8.67408311,  9.39023857,  9.26900907,
        9.3962732 ,  9.71496951,  9.25516328,  7.62508116,  7.60458444,
        9.59621813,  8.25591984,  8.8008075 , 10.23247376,  9.18791843,
        8.90798302,  7.64298032,  8.94382033, 10.86344729,  8.89845921,
        8.92924935,  9.73165245,  7.90033258,  9.23674649,  9.53695982,
        9.29054449,  8.91345427,  8.27243875,  8.75229269,  9.45129901,
        7.76087736,  7.52857761,  8.99142609,  7.69416645,  8.48868024,
        7.73687423,  9.57259261,  7.67568725,  7.89184722,  9.20872855,
        8.29425278,  7.83079287,  9.73131746,  7.96336425,  8.69383879,
        7.58093308,  9.38637752,  9.08161383,  8.60423298,  8.15600622,
        8.85871779,  7.75418152,  9.11382437,  9.06194801,  8.35132712,
        8.28528026,  8.39206   ,  7.98935452,  9.67397555,  8.03195846,
        9.5347649 ,  8.8821871 ,  8.22867235,  8.48330769, 10.44842799,
        7.86631999,  8.77922836,  8.41417191,  8.17405712,  9.82266405,
       10.16471342,  9.19388109,  7.39121275,  9.32162756,  9.08471652,
        8.78041329,  9.48463257,  8.87974027,  8.17671834,  8.32294427,
        8.46619554,  7.46938187,  9.37276824,  9.34608469, 10.10050843,
        9.8652496 ,  8.41954059,  8.54300332,  8.71257141,  9.34343166,
        9.22338927,  8.64240256,  9.21684098,  9.08615084,  9.3776942 ,
       10.32916159,  8.569659  , 10.15227339,  9.19148815,  8.12867607,
        9.37237906,  8.90739615,  8.5545379 ,  9.23484912,  8.51969533,
        9.3051972 ,  7.71829896,  9.26173291,  8.93609247,  9.83937335,
        8.48773416,  8.35996003,  9.23122071,  8.19319728,  9.89078363,
       10.0732114 ,  9.48186304,  8.59211119,  9.26390005, 10.59957576,
        9.81902182,  9.8013536 , 10.38716622,  8.48734418,  9.84819186,
       11.18960239,  9.52739786,  9.38003868,  8.4054212 ,  9.33333853,
        8.33461283,  9.37063959,  9.87256988,  8.86097385,  8.54162744,
        9.41233592,  8.9490739 ,  8.62019312,  8.72840484,  9.59419651,
        7.82868303,  7.53581748, 10.06779794,  8.3374766 ,  9.03798276,
        8.84183194,  8.23103837,  8.43066046,  8.80670356,  8.39586374,
        8.68708077,  8.51252948,  9.83569563,  8.01033725,  9.60695578,
        8.47610467,  8.24988492, 10.02792516,  9.81598521,  8.79749459,
        8.7436275 ,  7.29313677,  9.18171846,  9.15880308,  9.57345822,
        9.84018262,  9.12219861,  8.27665531,  8.52655564,  8.50303702,
       10.82241005,  8.24057384,  9.06728118,  8.57496793,  7.9067271 ,
        9.57301183, 10.28193341,  9.83487469,  9.35375067,  7.85224255,
       10.05941534,  9.87626911,  8.59939251,  9.54206214,  9.61572063])

四舍五入转换数据类型

preds = np.round(preds)
preds

array([ 9., 10.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  9., 10., 10.,  9.,  7.,  9.,
        8., 10., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,
        9.,  8., 10.,  8.,  8., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,
        9.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  8.,
        9., 11.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  8.,  9., 10.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9., 10.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  7.,  9., 11.,  8., 10.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,
        8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8., 10.,  9.,
        9.,  8., 10., 10.,  9., 10., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9., 10., 10.,
        7.,  9.,  8.,  8., 10.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  7.,  8.,  9.,
        7.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,
        8.,  8.,  9., 10., 10.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,
        9.,  8.,  8.,  8., 10.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,
        8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,
        9.,  9.,  9.,  8., 10.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,
        8., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  8., 10.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  8.,
       10., 11.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 11.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8., 10.,
        9.,  9.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  8., 10.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,
       10.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9., 10.,  8.,  8.,
       10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8., 10.,  9.,  8., 10., 10., 10., 10.,
        8., 10.,  8.,  9., 11.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8., 10.,  9., 10.,  8.,
        8., 10.,  9., 10., 11.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  8.,
        7.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  7.,  7.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,
        9.,  9., 11.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9.,  8.,  8.,
       10.,  8.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9., 11.,  9.,  9., 10.,  8.,
        9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  8.,
       10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  8., 10.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  9.,
        8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  8.,  8., 10.,  8., 10.,  9.,
        8.,  8., 10.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  8., 10., 10.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  8.,  7.,  9.,  9., 10., 10.,  8.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,  9., 10.,  9.,  8.,  9.,
        9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9., 10.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,
       10., 10.,  9.,  9.,  9., 11., 10., 10., 10.,  8., 10., 11., 10.,
        9.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9., 10.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9.,  9., 10.,
        8.,  8., 10.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8.,  8.,  9.,  8.,  9.,  9., 10.,
        8., 10.,  8.,  8., 10., 10.,  9.,  9.,  7.,  9.,  9., 10., 10.,
        9.,  8.,  9.,  9., 11.,  8.,  9.,  9.,  8., 10., 10., 10.,  9.,
        8., 10., 10.,  9., 10., 10.])

对比成功率

correct = np.mean(preds == y_test.values)
correct

0.0

结果好像成功率为0，然后发现这里都是类型不对
首先重新取目标集，不需要偏移，然后将字符串数据转为整型

y_test = sp20['蓝球'][-500:]
arr = y_test.values
arr = arr.astype(int)

结果集也重新转换整型，然后再比较

preds = preds.astype(int)
correct = np.mean(preds == arr)
correct

0.056

会发现成功率其实是0.056