https://nbviewer.jupyter.org/github/nightsswatch/MLProject/blob/master/%E8%B4%9D%E5%8F%B6%E6%96%AF/bayes.ipynb https://github.com/nightsswatch/MLProject/blob/master/%E8%B4%9D%E5%8F%B6%E6%96%AF/bayes.ipynb