水处理论文笔记（1）

题目：Statistical monitoring and dynamic simulation of a wastewater treatment plant: A combined approach to achieve model predictive Control

发表时间：2017

作者：Xiaodong Wang 

期刊：Journal of Environmental Management        SCI二区

摘要：

The on-line monitoring of Chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total phosphorus (TP) restrains waste

water treatment plants to achieve better control of aeration and chemical dosing. In this study, we

applied principal components analysis (PCA) to fifi nd out signi fifi cant variables for COD and TP prediction.

Multiple regression method applied the variables suggested by PCA to predict in flfl uent COD and TP.

Moreover, a model of full-scale wastewater treatment plant with moving bed bioreactor (MBBR) and

ballasted separation process was developed to simulate the performance of wastewater treatment. The

predicted COD and TP data by multiple regression served as model input for dynamic simulation. Besides,

the wastewater characteristic of the wastewater treatment plant and MBBR model parameters were

given for model calibration. As a result, R 2 of predicted COD and TP versus measured data are 81.6% and

77.2%, respectively. The model output in terms of sludge production and ef flfl uent COD based on predicted

input data fifi tted measured data well, which provides possibility to enabled model predictive control of

aeration and coagulant dosing in practice. This study provide a feasible and economical approach to

overcome monitoring and modelling restrictions that limits model predictive control of wastewater

treatment plant.

 

关键词：

Control  Dynamic simulation  MBBR  Multiple regression  Principal component analysis

Wastewater treatment

方法：PCA+多元线性回归模型预测COD

结果：

The scatter plots of predicted COD in and TP in versus measured

COD in and TP in are shown in Fig. 3 a and b respectively. The vali

dated prediction based on leverage correction were evaluated in

term of R 2 . As is shown in Fig. 3 a, the linear expression of predicted

COD in (Eq. (1) ) explains more than 81% of COD in variance. Mean

while, the predicted TP in as linear expressed in Eq. (2) , descripts

77% total variance of measured TP in . Considering the complexity of

the full-scale WWTP, prediction accuracy of multiple regression

with R 2 greater than 0.7 is acceptable. Thus, the multiple regression

model is capable to predict in flfl uent COD and TP, which can serve as

statistical monitoring tool to provide input values to the process

model for model predictive control.