根据之前的模型的建模,我们知道如何运用sklearn这个库来完成建模,以及我们知道了的数据集的划分等等操作。那么一个模型我们怎么知道它好不好用呢?以至于我们能不能放心的使用模型给我的结果呢?那么今天的学习的评估,就会很有帮助。
加载下面的库
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import seaborn as sns
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from IPython.display import Image
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
%matplotlib inline
plt.rcParams['font.sans-serif'] = ['SimHei'] # 用来正常显示中文标签
plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False # 用来正常显示负号
plt.rcParams['figure.figsize'] = (10, 6) # 设置输出图片大小
任务:加载数据并分割测试集和训练集
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
# 一般先取出X和y后再切割,有些情况会使用到未切割的,这时候X和y就可以用,x是清洗好的数据,y是我们要预测的存活数据'Survived'
data = pd.read_csv('clear_data.csv')
train = pd.read_csv('train.csv')
X = data
y = train['Survived']
# 对数据集进行切割
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, stratify=y, random_state=0)
# 默认参数逻辑回归模型
lr = LogisticRegression()
lr.fit(X_train, y_train)
/Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG)
LogisticRegression(C=1.0, class_weight=None, dual=False, fit_intercept=True, intercept_scaling=1, l1_ratio=None, max_iter=100, multi_class='auto', n_jobs=None, penalty='l2', random_state=None, solver='lbfgs', tol=0.0001, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
模型评估
- 模型评估是为了知道模型的泛化能力。
- 交叉验证(cross-validation)是一种评估泛化性能的统计学方法,它比单次划分训练集和测试集的方法更加稳定、全面。
- 在交叉验证中,数据被多次划分,并且需要训练多个模型。
- 最常用的交叉验证是 k 折交叉验证(k-fold cross-validation),其中 k 是由用户指定的数字,通常取 5 或 10。
- 准确率(precision)度量的是被预测为正例的样本中有多少是真正的正例
- 召回率(recall)度量的是正类样本中有多少被预测为正类
- f-分数是准确率与召回率的调和平均
【思考】:将上面的概念进一步的理解,大家可以做一下总结
#思考回答:
任务一:交叉验证
- 用10折交叉验证来评估之前的逻辑回归模型
- 计算交叉验证精度的平均值
#提示:交叉验证
Image('Snipaste_2020-01-05_16-37-56.png')
提示4
- 交叉验证在sklearn中的模块为
sklearn.model_selection
from sklearn.model_selection import cross_val_score
lr = LogisticRegression(C=100)
scores = cross_val_score(lr, X_train, y_train, cv=10)
/Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/_logistic.py:940: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=1): STOP: TOTAL NO. of ITERATIONS REACHED LIMIT. Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html Please also refer to the documentation for alternative solver options: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html#logistic-regression extra_warning_msg=_LOGISTIC_SOLVER_CONVERGENCE_MSG) /Users/chenandong/anaconda3/envs/tensorflow1.15/lib/python3.