import tushare as ts
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from scipy import stats
#今天上证跌破2800,计算一下var值
sh=ts.get_hist_data('sh').sort_index()
sh['re']=np.log(sh['close']/sh['close'].shift(1))
sh=sh.dropna()
shmean=sh['re'].mean()
shstd=sh['re'].std()
stats.norm.ppf(0.05,shmean,shstd**0.5)
0.20# 有99%的概率损失20%