定价方法参考了传统的Black-Scholes模型定价方法,在此基础上考虑我国市场可转债的特殊性,如我国可转换债券一般都规定了向下调整条款以及赎回和回售条款。因此需要对传统模型进行修改,而且也发现传统B-S模型的理论价格溢价率往往都远高于调整后的模型理论价格溢价率。修改的模型预测价格效果远好于传统模型。
本定价以唐钢股份的可转债为数据来源,波动率的计算采用GARCH方法完成。
nominal=100;
coupon=0.024;
rf=0.0203;
credit=0.0246;
delta=0.6525;
x=13;
ratio=nominal/x;
putprice=104;
callprice=102;
tm=datenum(2012,12,13);
today=datenum(2008,6,25);
cb=zeros(1,n);
ti= zeros(1,n);
con= zeros(1,n);
date= zeros(1,n);
pv= zeros(1,n);
call =zeros(1,n);
put= zeros(1,n);
revise= zeros(1,n);
for g=1:1:n;
stock=S(g);
ti(1,g)=(tm-today-g+1)/365;
w=nominal*0.008/((1+rf+credit).^(1-g/365))+nominal*0.011/((1+rf+credit).^(2-g/365))+ nominal*0.014/((1+rf+credit).^(3-g/365))+ nominal*0.017/((1+rf+credit).^(4-g/365))
pv(1,g)=w+nominal*(1+0.020)/((rf+credit+1).^(5-g/365))
d1=(log(stock/x)+(rf+delta^2/2)*ti(1,g))/delta/sqrt(ti(1,g))
d2=d1-delta* sqrt(ti(1,g))
con(1,g)=stock*normcdf(d1)-x*exp(-rf*ti(1,g)).*normcdf(d2)
dr1= (log(stock/0.2*x)+(rf+delta^2/2)*ti(1,g))/delta/sqrt(ti(1,g))
dr2=dr1- delta* sqrt(ti(1,g))
revise(1,g)=x*0.2*exp(-rf*ti(1,g)).*normcdf(-dr2)-stock*normcdf(-dr1)
dc1=(log(stock/1.3*x)+(rf+delta^2/2)*ti(1,g))/delta/sqrt(ti(1,g))
dc2=dc1- delta* sqrt(ti(1,g))
call(1,g)=stock*normcdf(dc1)-(x*1.3)* exp(-rf*ti(1,g)).*normcdf(dc2)
du1= (log(stock/(putprice/ratio))+(rf+delta^2/2)*ti(1,g))/delta/sqrt(ti(1,g))
du2=du1- delta* sqrt(ti(1,g))
put(1,g)= stock*normcdf(du1)- (putprice/ratio)* exp(-rf*ti(1,g)).*normcdf(du2)
cb(1,g)=pv(1,g)+(con(1,g)+revise(1,g)-call(1,g)+put(1,g))*nominal/x
a(1,g)=max(con(1,g),con(1,g)+revise(1,g)-call(1,g))
b(1,g)=max(con(1,g),put(1,g))
d(1,g)=max(a(1,g),b(1,g))
c(1,g)= pv(1,g)+ratio*d(1,g)
周末忙活了两天终于有结果了,赞一个先~~~~~~~~~
delta,gamma,vega,theta,rho的计算以及敏感性分析还在进行中,完善~~~~~~~(南方财富网SOUTHMONEY.COM)
(责任编辑:张小清)