参照：SF-Crime Analysis & Prediction
Crime Scene Exploration and Model Fit
Random Forest Crime Classification（特征工程和预测）
主要是因为这个数据集包含了时间序列和坐标点。练习一下特征处理。
数据分析
导入库
#%%
%matplotlib inline
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import math
import seaborn as sns
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib.ticker as ticker
from datetime import tzinfo,timedelta,datetime
导入数据
data_train = pd.read_csv("C:\\Users\\Nihil\\Documents\\pythonlearn\\data\\kaggle\\sf-crime\\train.csv")
print(data_train.dtypes)
Dates object
Category object
Descript object
DayOfWeek object
PdDistrict object
Resolution object
Address object
X float64
Y float64
dtype: object
print(data_train.head())
Dates Category Descript \
0 2015-05-13 23:53:00 WARRANTS WARRANT ARREST
1 2015-05-13 23:53:00 OTHER OFFENSES TRAFFIC VIOLATION ARREST
2 2015-05-13 23:33:00 OTHER OFFENSES TRAFFIC VIOLATION ARREST
3 2015-05-13 23:30:00 LARCENY/THEFT GRAND THEFT FROM LOCKED AUTO
4 2015-05-13 23:30:00 LARCENY/THEFT GRAND THEFT FROM LOCKED AUTO
DayOfWeek PdDistrict Resolution Address \
0 Wednesday NORTHERN ARREST, BOOKED OAK ST / LAGUNA ST
1 Wednesday NORTHERN ARREST, BOOKED OAK ST / LAGUNA ST
2 Wednesday NORTHERN ARREST, BOOKED VANNESS AV / GREENWICH ST
3 Wednesday NORTHERN NONE 1500 Block of LOMBARD ST
4 Wednesday PARK NONE 100 Block of BRODERICK ST
X Y
0 -122.425892 37.774599
1 -122.425892 37.774599
2 -122.424363 37.800414
3 -122.426995 37.800873
4 -122.438738 37.771541
print(data_train.columns.values)
['Dates' 'Category' 'Descript' 'DayOfWeek' 'PdDistrict' 'Resolution'
'Address' 'X' 'Y']
单一特征分析
Category
类型：类别特征
有哪些特征？
print('number of crime categories is {}'.format(len(data_train.Category.unique())))
print('Type:')
print(data_train.Category.value_counts().index)
统计频次还可以用：
print('number of crime categories is {}'.format(data_train.Category.nunique()))
number of crime categories is 39
number of crime categories is 39
Type
Index(['LARCENY/THEFT', 'OTHER OFFENSES', 'NON-CRIMINAL', 'ASSAULT',
'DRUG/NARCOTIC', 'VEHICLE THEFT', 'VANDALISM', 'WARRANTS', 'BURGLARY',
'SUSPICIOUS OCC', 'MISSING PERSON', 'ROBBERY', 'FRAUD',
'FORGERY/COUNTERFEITING', 'SECONDARY CODES', 'WEAPON LAWS',
'PROSTITUTION', 'TRESPASS', 'STOLEN PROPERTY', 'SEX OFFENSES FORCIBLE',
'DISORDERLY CONDUCT', 'DRUNKENNESS', 'RECOVERED VEHICLE', 'KIDNAPPING',
'DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE', 'RUNAWAY', 'LIQUOR LAWS', 'ARSON',
'LOITERING', 'EMBEZZLEMENT', 'SUICIDE', 'FAMILY OFFENSES', 'BAD CHECKS',
'BRIBERY', 'EXTORTION', 'SEX OFFENSES NON FORCIBLE', 'GAMBLING',
'PORNOGRAPHY/OBSCENE MAT', 'TREA'],
dtype='object')
作图：每个类型出现的频次
number_of_crimes = data_train.Category.value_counts()
ax = sns.barplot(x=number_of_crimes.index,y=number_of_crimes)
ax.set_xticklabels(number_of_crimes.index,rotation=90)
时间属性
类别：时间序列
type（数据类型）：object(需要转换）
统计各个属性的频次
print(data_train.DayOfWeek.value_counts())
Friday 133734
Wednesday 129211
Saturday 126810
Thursday 125038
Tuesday 124965
Monday 121584
Sunday 116707
Name: DayOfWeek, dtype: int64
crimeTime = data_train.DayOfWeek.value_counts()
ax = sns.barplot(x=crimeTime.index,y=crimeTime)
ax.set_xticklabels(crimeTime.index,rotation=90)
转换日期格式
data_train.Dates = pd.to_datetime(data_train.Dates,format='%Y/%m/%d %H:%M:%S')
print(data_train.Dates.dtypes)
datetime64[ns]
- 如何只留下年月日，去掉分秒
data_train['Dates'] = pd.to_datetime(data_train['Dates'])
data_train['Date'] = data_train['Dates'].dt.date
print(data_train.Date)
0 2015-05-13
1 2015-05-13
2 2015-05-13
3 2015-05-13
4 2015-05-13
Name: Date, dtype: object
写一个函数，方便转换测试集和训练集
def transformTimeDataset(dataset):
dataset['Dates'] = pd.to_datetime(dataset['Dates'])
dataset['Date'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.date
dataset['n_days'] = (dataset['Date']-dataset['Date'].min()).apply(lambda x:x.days)
dataset['Year'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.year
dataset['DayOfWeek'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.dayofweek
dataset['WeekOfYear'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.weekofyear
dataset['Month'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.month
dataset['Hour'] = dataset['Dates'].dt.hour
dataset = dataset.drop('Dates',1)
return dataset
转换
data_train = transformTimeDataset(data_train)
data_test = transformTimeDataset(data_test)
print(data_train.Date.head())
0 2015-05-13
1 2015-05-13
2 2015-05-13
3 2015-05-13
4 2015-05-13
Name: Date, dtype: object
地理信息
有几个街区，街区类别
print('number of PdDistrict is {}'.format(data_train.PdDistrict.nunique()))
print('Type:')
print(data_train.PdDistrict.value_counts().index)
number of PdDistrict is 10
Type:
Index(['SOUTHERN', 'MISSION', 'NORTHERN', 'BAYVIEW', 'CENTRAL', 'TENDERLOIN',
'INGLESIDE', 'TARAVAL', 'PARK', 'RICHMOND'],
dtype='object')
给街区编热独码。
dataset = pd.get_dummies(data=dataset, columns=[ 'PdDistrict'], drop_first = True)
print(dataset)
PdDistrict_CENTRAL PdDistrict_INGLESIDE PdDistrict_MISSION \
0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0
2 0 0 0
3 0 0 0
4 0 0 0
PdDistrict_NORTHERN PdDistrict_PARK PdDistrict_RICHMOND \
0 1 0 0
1 1 0 0
2 1 0 0
3 1 0 0
4 0 1 0
PdDistrict_SOUTHERN PdDistrict_TARAVAL PdDistrict_TENDERLOIN
0 0 0 0
1 0 0 0
2 0 0 0
3 0 0 0
4 0 0 0
地址
print('number of Address is {}'.format(data_train.Address.nunique()))
print('Type:')
print(data_train.Address.value_counts())
number of Address is 23228
Type:
800 Block of BRYANT ST 26533
800 Block of MARKET ST 6581
2000 Block of MISSION ST 5097
1000 Block of POTRERO AV 4063
900 Block of MARKET ST 3251
0 Block of TURK ST 3228
0 Block of 6TH ST 2884
300 Block of ELLIS ST 2703
400 Block of ELLIS ST 2590
16TH ST / MISSION ST 2504
1000 Block of MARKET ST 2489
1100 Block of MARKET ST 2319
2000 Block of MARKET ST 2168
100 Block of OFARRELL ST 2140
700 Block of MARKET ST 2081
3200 Block of 20TH AV 2035
100 Block of 6TH ST 1887
500 Block of JOHNFKENNEDY DR 1824
TURK ST / TAYLOR ST 1810
200 Block of TURK ST 1800
0 Block of PHELAN AV 1791
0 Block of UNITEDNATIONS PZ 1789
0 Block of POWELL ST 1717
100 Block of EDDY ST 1681
1400 Block of PHELPS ST 1629
300 Block of EDDY ST 1589
100 Block of GOLDEN GATE AV 1353
100 Block of POWELL ST 1333
200 Block of INTERSTATE80 HY 1316
MISSION ST / 16TH ST 1300
...
CRISP RD / QUESADA AV 1
AGUA WY / TERESITA BL 1
MUNICH ST / NAYLOR ST 1
SPEAR ST / THE EMBARCADERO SOUTH ST 1
SENECA AV / BERTITA ST 1
600 Block of ARTHUR AV 1
MAJESTIC AV / SUMMIT ST 1
FERNWOOD DR / BRENTWOOD AV 1
PACHECO ST / GREAT HWY 1
CLAREMONT BL / DORCHESTER WY 1
ARBOR ST / HILIRITAS AV 1
23RD ST / SEVERN ST 1
CERVANTES BL / BAY ST 1
TELEGRAPH HILL BL / LOMBARD ST 1
300 Block of MATEO ST 1
CABRILLO ST / 22ND AV 1
WAWONA ST / 33RD AV 1
CONRAD ST / POPPY LN 1
16TH ST / SPENCER AL 1
MARSILY ST / ST MARYS AV 1
MOULTRIE ST / OGDEN AV 1
1500 Block of BURROWS ST 1
OGDEN AV / FOLSOM ST 1
LAWTON ST / LOWER GREAT HY 1
CHENERY ST / MIZPAH ST 1
3RD ST / JAMES LICK FREEWAY HY 1
5THSTNORTH ST / ELLIS ST 1
PARADISE AV / BURNSIDE AV 1
PORTOLA DR / 15TH AV 1
DE HARO ST / ALAMEDA ST 1
Name: Address, Length: 23228, dtype: int64
这个操作太有意思了，小本本记下来
把文本里含有某个关键词的赋值1，其余赋值为0。
dataset['Block'] = dataset['Address'].str.contains('block', case=False)
dataset['Block'] = dataset['Block'].map(lambda x: 1 if x == True else 0)
print(dataset.Block)
0 0
1 0
2 0
3 1
4 1
Name: Block, dtype: int64
为了方便测试集和训练集的转换，写一个函数（其实可以把时间和地址的转换写一起，我只是为了方便看明白所以分开了）
def transformdGeoDataset(dataset):
dataset['Block'] = dataset['Address'].str.contains('block', case=False)
dataset['Block'] = dataset['Block'].map(lambda x: 1 if x == True else 0)
dataset.drop('Address', 1)
dataset = pd.get_dummies(data=dataset,columns='PdDistrict',drop_first=True)
return dataset
转换测试集与训练集
data_train = transformdGeoDataset(data_train)
data_test = transformdGeoDataset(data_test)
print(data_train.head())
输出结果
Category Descript DayOfWeek Resolution Address X Y Date n_days Year WeekOfYear Month Hour Block PdDistrict_CENTRAL PdDistrict_INGLESIDE PdDistrict_MISSION PdDistrict_NORTHERN PdDistrict_PARK PdDistrict_RICHMOND PdDistrict_SOUTHERN PdDistrict_TARAVAL PdDistrict_TENDERLOIN
0 WARRANTS WARRANT ARREST 2 ARREST, BOOKED OAK ST / LAGUNA ST -122.425892 37.774599 2015-05-13 4510 2015 20 5 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
1 OTHER OFFENSES TRAFFIC VIOLATION ARREST 2 ARREST, BOOKED OAK ST / LAGUNA ST -122.425892 37.774599 2015-05-13 4510 2015 20 5 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
2 OTHER OFFENSES TRAFFIC VIOLATION ARREST 2 ARREST, BOOKED VANNESS AV / GREENWICH ST -122.424363 37.800414 2015-05-13 4510 2015 20 5 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 LARCENY/THEFT GRAND THEFT FROM LOCKED AUTO 2 NONE 1500 Block of LOMBARD ST -122.426995 37.800873 2015-05-13 4510 2015 20 5 23 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
4 LARCENY/THEFT GRAND THEFT FROM LOCKED AUTO 2 NONE 100 Block of BRODERICK ST -122.438738 37.771541 2015-05-13 4510 2015 20 5 23 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
X,Y坐标点
写了一下午的又没了，一脸血泪，记得保存。
sns.pairplot(data_train[["X", "Y"]])
从图中可看出，y点有80的值较为离群。
sns.boxplot(data_train[["Y"]])
查看Y<80的X的分布
data_train = data_train[train_data["Y"] < 80]
sns.distplot(data_train[["X"]])
去掉一些属性
data_train = data_train.drop(["Descript", "Resolution","Address","Dates","Date"], axis = 1)
data_test = data_test.drop(["Address","Dates","Date"], axis = 1)
对Target(Category)进行编码
from sklearn.preprocessing import LabelEncoder
le = LabelEncoder()
data_train.Category = le.fit_transform(data_train.Category)
X与y
X = data_train.drop("Category",axis=1).values
y = data_train['Category'].values
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X_train,X_test,y_train,y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size=0.1,random_state=42)
训练模型采用的数据均来自train.csv，把Train里的数据分为训练集和测试集。
决策树模型
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
dtree = DecisionTreeClassifier()
dtree.fit(X_train,y_train)
预测与评估
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report,confusion_matrix
cm = confusion_matrix(y_test,predictions)
fig,ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(20,20))
sns.heatmap(cm,annot=False,ax = ax)
ax.set_xlabel('Predicted labels')
ax.set_ylabel('True labels')
ax.set_title('Confusion Matrix')
plt.show()
precision,recall,f1-score,support
print(classification_report(y_test,predictions))
precision recall f1-score support
0 0.04 0.04 0.04 168
1 0.21 0.27 0.23 7632
2 0.00 0.00 0.00 41
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 28
4 0.14 0.14 0.14 3762
5 0.02 0.04 0.03 409
6 0.02 0.03 0.02 212
7 0.35 0.51 0.41 5437
8 0.01 0.01 0.01 421
9 0.00 0.00 0.00 91
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 29
11 0.02 0.02 0.02 44
12 0.11 0.13 0.12 1043
13 0.07 0.08 0.07 1621
14 0.07 0.07 0.07 14
15 0.04 0.04 0.04 232
16 0.38 0.34 0.36 17455
17 0.06 0.07 0.06 192
18 0.26 0.23 0.25 138
19 0.49 0.57 0.53 2562
20 0.21 0.19 0.20 9311
21 0.25 0.23 0.24 12464
22 0.00 0.00 0.00 1
23 0.59 0.55 0.57 779
24 0.03 0.03 0.03 311
25 0.08 0.07 0.07 2281
26 0.19 0.17 0.18 204
27 0.00 0.00 0.00 1031
28 0.15 0.13 0.14 478
29 0.00 0.00 0.00 14
30 0.02 0.01 0.02 470
31 0.03 0.02 0.02 45
32 0.07 0.06 0.06 3197
33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0
34 0.03 0.02 0.03 761
35 0.13 0.11 0.11 4540
36 0.43 0.46 0.44 5296
37 0.12 0.09 0.11 4216
38 0.10 0.08 0.09 875
accuracy 0.25 87805
macro avg 0.12 0.12 0.12 87805
weighted avg 0.25 0.25 0.25 87805
随机森林
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
rfc = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=40,min_samples_split=100)
rfc.fit(X_train,y_train)
print(rfc)
RandomForestClassifier(bootstrap=True, class_weight=None, criterion='gini',
max_depth=None, max_features='auto', max_leaf_nodes=None,
min_impurity_decrease=0.0, min_impurity_split=None,
min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=100,
min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=40,
n_jobs=None, oob_score=False, random_state=None,
verbose=0, warm_start=False)
验证
rfc_pred = rfc.predict(X_test)
print(classification_report(y_test,rfc_pred))
precision recall f1-score support
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 168
1 0.20 0.18 0.19 7632
2 0.00 0.00 0.00 41
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 28
4 0.23 0.03 0.06 3762
5 0.18 0.02 0.04 409
6 0.00 0.00 0.00 212
7 0.34 0.43 0.38 5437
8 0.00 0.00 0.00 421
9 0.00 0.00 0.00 91
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 29
11 0.00 0.00 0.00 44
12 0.29 0.00 0.01 1043
13 0.28 0.01 0.01 1621
14 0.00 0.00 0.00 14
15 0.00 0.00 0.00 232
16 0.30 0.77 0.43 17455
17 0.75 0.02 0.03 192
18 1.00 0.04 0.08 138
19 0.53 0.29 0.38 2562
20 0.24 0.15 0.18 9311
21 0.28 0.37 0.32 12464
22 0.00 0.00 0.00 1
23 0.56 0.68 0.62 779
24 0.00 0.00 0.00 311
25 0.00 0.00 0.00 2281
26 0.77 0.11 0.20 204
27 0.33 0.00 0.00 1031
28 0.00 0.00 0.00 478
29 0.00 0.00 0.00 14
30 0.00 0.00 0.00 470
31 0.00 0.00 0.00 45
32 0.00 0.00 0.00 3197
34 0.26 0.02 0.03 761
35 0.24 0.01 0.02 4540
36 0.28 0.24 0.26 5296
37 0.28 0.00 0.01 4216
38 1.00 0.00 0.00 875
accuracy 0.29 87805
macro avg 0.22 0.09 0.09 87805
weighted avg 0.27 0.29 0.23 87805
特征重要度
n_features = X.shape[1]#列
plt.barh(range(n_features),rfc.feature_importances_)
plt.yticks(np.arange(n_features),data_train.columns[1:])
plt.show()
n_features = X.shape[1]
print(n_features)
18
Submission（保存并且输出）
1.把Target的类型作为keys，其标签作为values
rfc_pred = rfc.predict(X_test)
keys = le.classes_
values = le.transform(le.classes_)
print(keys)
2.将Target的类别及进行特征工程后的值保存为字典
dictionary = dict(zip(keys,values))
print(dictionary)
{'ARSON': 0, 'ASSAULT': 1, 'BAD CHECKS': 2, 'BRIBERY': 3, 'BURGLARY': 4, 'DISORDERLY CONDUCT': 5, 'DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE': 6, 'DRUG/NARCOTIC': 7, 'DRUNKENNESS': 8, 'EMBEZZLEMENT': 9, 'EXTORTION': 10, 'FAMILY OFFENSES': 11, 'FORGERY/COUNTERFEITING': 12, 'FRAUD': 13, 'GAMBLING': 14, 'KIDNAPPING': 15, 'LARCENY/THEFT': 16, 'LIQUOR LAWS': 17, 'LOITERING': 18, 'MISSING PERSON': 19, 'NON-CRIMINAL': 20, 'OTHER OFFENSES': 21, 'PORNOGRAPHY/OBSCENE MAT': 22, 'PROSTITUTION': 23, 'RECOVERED VEHICLE': 24, 'ROBBERY': 25, 'RUNAWAY': 26, 'SECONDARY CODES': 27, 'SEX OFFENSES FORCIBLE': 28, 'SEX OFFENSES NON FORCIBLE': 29, 'STOLEN PROPERTY': 30, 'SUICIDE': 31, 'SUSPICIOUS OCC': 32, 'TREA': 33, 'TRESPASS': 34, 'VANDALISM': 35, 'VEHICLE THEFT': 36, 'WARRANTS': 37, 'WEAPON LAWS': 38}
3.对测试集进行处理
查看测试集的信息
print(data_test.head())
Id DayOfWeek X Y n_days Year WeekOfYear Month Hour Block PdDistrict_CENTRAL PdDistrict_INGLESIDE PdDistrict_MISSION PdDistrict_NORTHERN PdDistrict_PARK PdDistrict_RICHMOND PdDistrict_SOUTHERN PdDistrict_TARAVAL PdDistrict_TENDERLOIN
0 0 6 -122.399588 37.735051 4512 2015 19 5 23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1 6 -122.391523 37.732432 4512 2015 19 5 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 2 6 -122.426002 37.792212 4512 2015 19 5 23 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 6 -122.437394 37.721412 4512 2015 19 5 23 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 4 6 -122.437394 37.721412 4512 2015 19 5 23 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
去掉多余特征‘Id’
data_test = data_test.drop('Id',axis=1)
用前面训练好的模型rfc对测试集进行预测
y_pred_prob = rfc.predict_proba(data_test)
print(y_pred_prob)
[[0.00220038 0.14332224 0. ... 0.12182985 0.04372455 0.02692804]
[0.0003572 0.0505187 0. ... 0.07283049 0.06742673 0.03087049]
[0.0040157 0.08378697 0. ... 0.06877263 0.02119305 0.00594818]
...
[0.00373092 0.12110726 0.00178571 ... 0.22416137 0.03237321 0.00850585]
[0.0169558 0.15710357 0.00148783 ... 0.12023433 0.05170328 0.00645309]
[0.00309621 0.06249053 0.015625 ... 0.17716719 0.03481506 0.00728016]]
好气啊又没有了。
封装结果
results = pd.DataFrame(y_pred_prob)
results.columns = keys
results.to_csv(path_or_buf="rfc_predict_4.csv",index=True, index_label = 'Id')
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