Cards

Team Work
计算$ans={\sum }_{r=1}^n{C}_n^r{r}^k$

首先,有$(1+x{)}^n={\sum }_{r=0}^n{C}_n^r{x}^r$

op1:微分再乘以x.
$nx(1+x{)}^{n-1}={\sum }_{r=1}^n{C}_n^{r}r{x}^r$
重复1:

$nx(1+x{)}^{n-1}+n(n-1)x^2(1+x{)}^{n-2}={\sum }_{r=1}^n{C}_n^r{r}^2{x}^r$

$nx(1+x{)}^{n-1}+(1+2)n(n-1)x^2(1+x{)}^{n-2}+n(n-1)(n-2)x^3(1+x{)}^{n-3}={\sum }_{r=1}^n{C}_n^r{r}^3{x}^r$
$\cdots$

令$dp[k][b]=x^b(1+x{)}^{n-b}$为k次op1以后的$x^b(1+x{)}^{n-b}$的系数.

$x\ast (dp[k][b]\ast x^b(1+x{)}^{n-b}{)}^{\prime }$

$=dp[k][b]\ast b\ast x^b(1+x{)}^{n-b}+dp[k][b]\ast (n-b)\ast x^{b+1}(1+x{)}^{n-(b+1)}$

$=dp[k+1][b]\ast x^b(1+x{)}^{n-b}+dp[k+1][b+1]\ast x^{b+1}(1+x{)}^{n-(b+1)}$
所以
$dp[k+1][b]+=dp[k][b]\ast b$

$dp[k+1][b+1]+=dp[k][b]\ast (n-b)$

$=>$
$$dp[k][b]=dp[k-1][b]\ast b+dp[k-1][b-1]\ast (n-(b-1)),n<=k$$
$$dp[k][b]=dp[k-1][b]\ast b,k>n$$

$dp[i][j]=0,dp[0][0]=1$
令x=1
$ans={\sum }_{i=0}^{n}dp[k][i]\ast 2^{n-i},k\le n$

$ans={\sum }_{i=0}^{n}dp[k][i]\ast 2^{n-i}+{\sum }_{i=n+1}^{k}dp[k][i],k>n$

ll dp[5005];
int main() {
    ll n,k;
    cin>>n>>k;
    dp[0]=1;
    for(int i=1;i<=min(k,n);++i){
        for(int j=i;j;--j)
            dp[j]=(dp[j]*j%mod+dp[j-1]*(n-j+1)%mod)%mod;
        dp[0]=0;
    }
    for(int i=n+1;i<=k;++i){
        for(int j=n;j;--j)
            dp[j]=(dp[j]*j%mod+dp[j-1]*(n-j+1)%mod)%mod;
        for(int j=n+1;j<=i;++j)
            dp[j]=dp[j]*j%mod;
    }
    ll ans=0,z=qpow(2,max(n-k,(ll)0));
    for(int i=min(k,n);i>=0;--i){
        ans=(ans+dp[i]*z%mod)%mod;
        z=z*2%mod;
    }
    for(int i=k;i>n;--i)ans=(ans+dp[i])%mod;
    cout<<ans;
    return 0;
}

cf-Cards
Consider the following experiment. You have a deck of m cards, and exactly one card is a joker. n times, you do the following: shuffle the deck, take the top card of the deck, look at it and return it into the deck.

Let x be the number of times you have taken the joker out of the deck during this experiment. Assuming that every time you shuffle the deck, all m! possible permutations of cards are equiprobable, what is the expected value of xk? Print the answer modulo 998244353.

Input
The only line contains three integers n, m and k$(1\le n,m<998244353,1\le k\le 5000).$

Output
Print one integer — the expected value of xk, taken modulo 998244353 (the answer can always be represented as an irreducible fraction $ab$, where b mod 998244353≠0; you have to print $a\cdot b^{-1}mod998244353).$

m张卡牌中只有一张鬼,抽取n次,每次抽到后放回打乱,设n次中抽到x次鬼,$x^k$的期望值是多少?

一次抽到鬼的概率是$\frac{1}{m}$

$ans={\sum }_{r=1}^n{C}_n^r(\frac{1}{m}{)}^r(1-\frac{1}{m}{)}^{n-r}{r}^k$

$=\frac{1}{m^n}{\sum }_{r=1}^n(m-1{)}^{n-r}{r}^k$

$(x+m-1{)}^n={\sum }_{r=0}^n(m-1{)}^{n-r}{x}^r$

k次求导乘x即可.

ll dp[5005][5005];
int main() {
    ll n,m,k;
    cin>>n>>m>>k;
    dp[0][0]=1;
    for(int i=1;i<=min(k,n);++i){
        for(int j=1;j<=i;++j)
            dp[i][j]=(dp[i-1][j]*j%mod+dp[i-1][j-1]*(n-j+1)%mod)%mod;
    }
    for(int i=n+1;i<=k;++i){
        for(int j=1;j<=n;++j)
            dp[i][j]=(dp[i-1][j]*j%mod+dp[i-1][j-1]*(n-j+1)%mod)%mod;
        for(int j=n+1;j<=i;++j)
            dp[i][j]=dp[i-1][j]*j%mod;
    }
    ll ans=0;
    for(int j=0;j<=min(k,n);++j)
        ans=(ans+dp[k][j]*qpow(m,n-j)%mod)%mod;
    for(int j=n+1;j<=k;++j)
        ans=(ans+dp[k][j])%mod;
    cout<<ans*qpow(qpow(m,n),mod-2)%mod;
    return 0;
}