Article——Generation adequacy evaluation

1. Introdution

When we talk about the model for generation adequacy evaluation, we see that there are a number of generation units and there is a single lumped load. The implication of thins is that, in generation adequacy evaluation, transmission is assumed to be perfectly reliable.

2. Generator model

λ 为机组的故障率，μ 为机组的修复率。

Long-run availability A

Long-run unavailability U

Equivalent forced outage rate EFOR

2.1 Capacity outage table for identical units

One generation unit

Probability mass function (pmf)

Frequency:

Duration for each state

2.2 Capacity outage table for units having different capacities

2.3 Convolution algorithm

2.4 Deconvolution

3. Load model

4. Calculation by Capacity Outage Tables

5. A capacity planning example

6. The effective load approach

6.1 Preliminary Definitions

6.2 Effective load

7. Four additional issues

7.1 Model uncertainty

7.2 Maintenance

7.3 Convolution techniques

7.4 Frequency and duration approach