离散均匀先验——R语言代码段

Introduction to Bayes using Discrete Priors

Jim Albert

May 28, 2014

Learning About a Proportion

A Discrete Prior

Consider a population of “successes” and “failures” where the proportion of suc-cesses is p. Suppose p

takes on the discrete set of values 0, .01, ..., .99, 1 and one assigns a uniform prior on these values. We enter the values of p and the associated probabilities into the vectors p and prior, respectively.

p <- seq(0, 1, by = 0.01)

prior <- 1 / 101 + 0 * p #为什么用0×p，自己好好想想，试试

plot(p, prior, type="h", main="Prior Distribution")

Posterior Distribution

Suppose one takes a random sample from the population without replacement

and observes 20 successes and 1