首先确定随机事件X:掷色子到达终点的次数
E[n-n+5] :因为已经到达终点所以,全为0
由全期望公式得,E[i] = sum( E[i+j] ) ( 1<=j<=6 )/6 + 1因为是等概率事件
如果有飞机的话,就是E[i] = E[to[i]]
递推求取即可
#include <iostream>
#include <cstdio>
#include <cstring>
#include <algorithm>
#define MAX 100017
using namespace std;
double dp[MAX];
int to[MAX];
int n , m , a, b;
int main ( )
{
while ( ~scanf ( "%d%d" , &n , &m ) , n+m )
{
for ( int i = 0 ; i < MAX ; i++ )
dp[i] = to[i] = 0;
while ( m-- )
{
scanf ( "%d%d" , &a , &b );
to[a] = b;
}
for ( int i = n-1 ; i >= 0 ; i-- )
{
if ( to[i] ) dp[i] = dp[to[i]];
else
{
for ( int j = 1 ; j <= 6 ; j++ ) dp[i] += dp[i+j];
dp[i] /= 6.0;
dp[i] += 1.0;
}
}
printf ( "%.4lf\n" , dp[0] );
}
}