一篇关于数学建模美赛论文撰写的心得

在数学建模比赛中,论文是队伍最终成果的呈现,也是评委评判获奖等级的唯一依据。因此,论文的重要性无须赘述。

最理想的情况是第一天上午确定选题阅读过相关论文之后,下午就开始写论文,最晚第二天早上必须开始写论文,否则,有很大的风险写不完论文。就像我们这一次,第一天一直讨论确定不了解题方案,第二天早上才开始写论文,最后一天熬了一个通宵才写完。

比较理想的论文写作模式是,当还在讨论第一问的解题方法时,论文队员先开始写好论文的大致框架,以及problem restatement的一部分内容。等到第一问的解题方法确定了,再着手开始写第一问的相关部分,与此同时,其他队员讨论第二问的解题,等到第一问写完时,最好第二问已经讨论出了结果,依次类推,书写第二问的解决方案,直到完成所有问题。最后,补充完整problem restatement的部分,以及书写conclusion,strengths and weakness等部分。

等到论文全部完成,一定要从头到尾仔仔细细看三遍,加以润色补充,完善逻辑,检查一些低级错误等等。

关于论文的各个部分,应该包括哪些内容,应该怎么写,我做了一下总结:

1.Restatement of the problem \ introduction
(1.1 literatrue review  the task at hand)相关文献评论


your understand of the problem
general account and comment on present researches
brief introduction to your problem so

Our planet is getting thirstier and thirstier. Water scarcity has become an increasingly hard but urgent problem. To make contributions to solve the water problems, we proposed a metric model to identify the ability of each country to manage water scarcity, and offered solutions to a country considered water over-loaded. First we developed our metric, Total Scarcity Metric, and divided it into Physical Scarcity Metric (affected by environmental factors and population) and Economic Scarcity Metric (affected by social factors other than population) by the two causes of water scarcity. The detailed factors were selected to make a difference. We made some adjustments to an indicator we found widely-used in the literatures, and determine Physical Scarcity Metric based on it. For Economic Scarcity Metric, we built a factor model with its weight calculated by Grey Relational Analysis. To combine them, we introduced a parameter  revealing the relative emphasis between physical scarcity and economic scarcity of each country. Its value varies by countries, so it’s more proper to discuss it in the country level. Then we used data from 83 countries to verify our model, and found a similar water scarcity distribution compared to UN’s “World Scarcity Map”. By providing sensitivity analysis on  ,we indicated the importance of its selection for each country. Based on that result, we chose Pakistan for further analysis. First we discussed the possible factors accounting for its current water situation, including 2 environmental factors and 5 social factors. We made it clear how and what kind of scarcity they affect. To forecast the water situation in 2030 by our metric, we determined the predicted value of influential factors by Grey Forecasting Model and Regression Analysis with little error. We found Pakistan less susceptible to economic scarcity but more to physical scarcity at that time. Its total water scarcity will be alleviated. Next, we devised an intervention plan to improve the ability of Pakistan to deal with its water scarcity. The plan is made up of physical scarcity plan and economic scarcity plan. Considering the impact of each policy, we analyzed the overall strengths and weaknesses in a larger context. To see how our plan performs, we ran our model again under some hypothesized settings. Although Pakistan performed better with our plan and its economic scarcity can be alleviated, it will still face water scarcity, especially physical water scarcity. In conclusion, Pakistan still has a long way to go.
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