某人外出两天旅游,根据天气预报得知:
第一天下雨的概率0.6,第二天下雨的概率0.3,两天都下雨的概率0.1
求下列事件的概率:
1. 第一天下雨,第二天不下雨
2. 第一天不下雨,第二天下雨
3. 至少有一天下雨
4. 两天都不下雨
5. 至少有一天不下雨
设A 第一天下雨,B第二天下雨
1. p(A~B) = p(A - AB) = p(A) - p(AB) = 0.6 - 0.1 = 0.5
2. p(~AB) = p(B-AB) = p(B) - p(AB) = 0.3 - 0.1 = 0.2
3. p(AUB) = p(A) + p(B) - p(AB) = 0.6 + 0.3 - 0.1 = 0.8
4. p(~A~B) = p(~(AUB)) = 1 - p(AUB) = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2
5. p(~AU~B) = p(~A) + p(~B) - p(~A~B) = 0.4 + 0.7 - 0.2 = 0.9
p(~AU~B) = p(~(AB)) = 1 - p(AB) = 1- 0.1 = 0.9