day4 泰坦尼克号获救

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先进行数据处理将空数据进行补全

导入训练数据

import pandas 
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.cross_validation import KFold

titanic = pandas.read_csv("titanic_train.csv")
titanic.head(5)
titanic["Age"] = titanic["Age"].fillna(titanic["Age"].median())      # 用中值进行补全
titanic.loc[titanic["Sex"] == "male", "Sex"] = 0
titanic.loc[titanic["Sex"] == "female", "Sex"] = 1
titanic["Embarked"] = titanic["Embarked"].fillna('S')     #用S进行补全
titanic.loc[titanic["Embarked"] == "S", "Embarked"] = 0
titanic.loc[titanic["Embarked"] == "C", "Embarked"] = 1
titanic.loc[titanic["Embarked"] == "Q", "Embarked"] = 2

使用线性回归训练

predictors = ["Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "SibSp", "Parch", "Fare", "Embarked"] #  需要用到的权值
# Initialize our algorithm class
alg = LinearRegression()
# Generate cross validation folds for the titanic dataset.  It return the row indices corresponding to train and test.
# We set random_state to ensure we get the same splits every time we run this.
kf = KFold(titanic.shape[0], n_folds=3, random_state=1)
predictions = []
for train, test in kf:
    # The predictors we're using the train the algorithm.  Note how we only take the rows in the train folds.
    train_predictors = (titanic[predictors].iloc[train,:])
    # The target we're using to train the algorithm.
    train_target = titanic["Survived"].iloc[train]
    # Training the algorithm using the predictors and target.
    alg.fit(train_predictors, train_target)
    # We can now make predictions on the test fold
    test_predictions = alg.predict(titanic[predictors].iloc[test,:])
    predictions.append(test_predictions)
 predictions = np.concatenate(predictions, axis=0)
predictions[predictions > .5] = 1
predictions[predictions <=.5] = 0
accuracy = sum(predictions[predictions == titanic["Survived"]]) / len(predictions)
print (accuracy)

使用逻辑回归训练

from sklearn import cross_validation
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
# Initialize our algorithm
alg = LogisticRegression(random_state=1)
# Compute the accuracy score for all the cross validation folds.  (much simpler than what we did before!)
scores = cross_validation.cross_val_score(alg, titanic[predictors], titanic["Survived"], cv=3)
# Take the mean of the scores (because we have one for each fold)
print(scores.mean())

导入测试数据

titanic_test = pandas.read_csv("test.csv")
titanic_test["Age"] = titanic_test["Age"].fillna(titanic["Age"].median())
titanic_test["Fare"] = titanic_test["Fare"].fillna(titanic_test["Fare"].median())
titanic_test.loc[titanic_test["Sex"] == "male", "Sex"] = 0 
titanic_test.loc[titanic_test["Sex"] == "female", "Sex"] = 1
titanic_test["Embarked"] = titanic_test["Embarked"].fillna("S")

titanic_test.loc[titanic_test["Embarked"] == "S", "Embarked"] = 0
titanic_test.loc[titanic_test["Embarked"] == "C", "Embarked"] = 1
titanic_test.loc[titanic_test["Embarked"] == "Q", "Embarked"] = 2

使用随机森林

from sklearn import cross_validation
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
predictors = ["Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "SibSp", "Parch", "Fare", "Embarked"]
alg = RandomForestClassifier(random_state=1, n_estimators=10, min_samples_split=2, min_samples_leaf=1)
# Compute the accuracy score for all the cross validation folds.  (much simpler than what we did before!)
kf = cross_validation.KFold(titanic.shape[0], n_folds=3, random_state=1)
scores = cross_validation.cross_val_score(alg, titanic[predictors], titanic["Survived"], cv=kf)
print(scores.mean())

alg = RandomForestClassifier(random_state=1, n_estimators=100, min_samples_split=4, min_samples_leaf=2)
# Compute the accuracy score for all the cross validation folds.  (much simpler than what we did before!)
kf = cross_validation.KFold(titanic.shape[0], 3, random_state=1)
scores = cross_validation.cross_val_score(alg, titanic[predictors], titanic["Survived"], cv=kf)

# Take the mean of the scores (because we have one for each fold)
print(scores.mean())

titanic["FamilySize"] = titanic["SibSp"] + titanic["Parch"]

# The .apply method generates a new series
titanic["NameLength"] = titanic["Name"].apply(lambda x: len(x))

import re

# A function to get the title from a name.
def get_title(name):
    # Use a regular expression to search for a title.  Titles always consist of capital and lowercase letters, and end with a period.
    title_search = re.search(' ([A-Za-z]+)\.', name)
    # If the title exists, extract and return it.
    if title_search:
        return title_search.group(1)
    return ""

# Get all the titles and print how often each one occurs.
titles = titanic["Name"].apply(get_title)
print(pandas.value_counts(titles))

# Map each title to an integer.  Some titles are very rare, and are compressed into the same codes as other titles.
title_mapping = {"Mr": 1, "Miss": 2, "Mrs": 3, "Master": 4, "Dr": 5, "Rev": 6, "Major": 7, "Col": 7, "Mlle": 8, "Mme": 8, "Don": 9, "Lady": 10, "Countess": 10, "Jonkheer": 10, "Sir": 9, "Capt": 7, "Ms": 2}
for k,v in title_mapping.items():
    titles[titles == k] = v

# Verify that we converted everything.
print(pandas.value_counts(titles))

# Add in the title column.
titanic["Title"] = titles

import numpy as np
from sklearn.feature_selection import SelectKBest, f_classif
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
predictors = ["Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "SibSp", "Parch", "Fare", "Embarked", "FamilySize", "Title", "NameLength"]

# Perform feature selection
selector = SelectKBest(f_classif, k=5)
selector.fit(titanic[predictors], titanic["Survived"])

# Get the raw p-values for each feature, and transform from p-values into scores
scores = -np.log10(selector.pvalues_)

# Plot the scores.  See how "Pclass", "Sex", "Title", and "Fare" are the best?
plt.bar(range(len(predictors)), scores)
plt.xticks(range(len(predictors)), predictors, rotation='vertical')
plt.show()

# Pick only the four best features.
predictors = ["Pclass", "Sex", "Fare", "Title"]

alg = RandomForestClassifier(random_state=1, n_estimators=50, min_samples_split=8, min_samples_leaf=4)

from sklearn.ensemble import GradientBoostingClassifier
import numpy as np

# The algorithms we want to ensemble.
# We're using the more linear predictors for the logistic regression, and everything with the gradient boosting classifier.
algorithms = [
    [GradientBoostingClassifier(random_state=1, n_estimators=25, max_depth=3), ["Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "Fare", "Embarked", "FamilySize", "Title",]],
    [LogisticRegression(random_state=1), ["Pclass", "Sex", "Fare", "FamilySize", "Title", "Age", "Embarked"]]
]

# Initialize the cross validation folds
kf = KFold(titanic.shape[0], n_folds=3, random_state=1)

predictions = []
for train, test in kf:
    train_target = titanic["Survived"].iloc[train]
    full_test_predictions = []
    # Make predictions for each algorithm on each fold
    for alg, predictors in algorithms:
        # Fit the algorithm on the training data.
        alg.fit(titanic[predictors].iloc[train,:], train_target)
        # Select and predict on the test fold.  
        # The .astype(float) is necessary to convert the dataframe to all floats and avoid an sklearn error.
        test_predictions = alg.predict_proba(titanic[predictors].iloc[test,:].astype(float))[:,1]
        full_test_predictions.append(test_predictions)
    # Use a simple ensembling scheme -- just average the predictions to get the final classification.
    test_predictions = (full_test_predictions[0] + full_test_predictions[1]) / 2
    # Any value over .5 is assumed to be a 1 prediction, and below .5 is a 0 prediction.
    test_predictions[test_predictions <= .5] = 0
    test_predictions[test_predictions > .5] = 1
    predictions.append(test_predictions)

# Put all the predictions together into one array.
predictions = np.concatenate(predictions, axis=0)

# Compute accuracy by comparing to the training data.
accuracy = sum(predictions[predictions == titanic["Survived"]]) / len(predictions)
print(accuracy)

titles = titanic_test["Name"].apply(get_title)
# We're adding the Dona title to the mapping, because it's in the test set, but not the training set
title_mapping = {"Mr": 1, "Miss": 2, "Mrs": 3, "Master": 4, "Dr": 5, "Rev": 6, "Major": 7, "Col": 7, "Mlle": 8, "Mme": 8, "Don": 9, "Lady": 10, "Countess": 10, "Jonkheer": 10, "Sir": 9, "Capt": 7, "Ms": 2, "Dona": 10}
for k,v in title_mapping.items():
    titles[titles == k] = v
titanic_test["Title"] = titles
# Check the counts of each unique title.
print(pandas.value_counts(titanic_test["Title"]))

# Now, we add the family size column.
titanic_test["FamilySize"] = titanic_test["SibSp"] + titanic_test["Parch"]

predictors = ["Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "Fare", "Embarked", "FamilySize", "Title"]

algorithms = [
    [GradientBoostingClassifier(random_state=1, n_estimators=25, max_depth=3), predictors],
    [LogisticRegression(random_state=1), ["Pclass", "Sex", "Fare", "FamilySize", "Title", "Age", "Embarked"]]
]

full_predictions = []
for alg, predictors in algorithms:
    # Fit the algorithm using the full training data.
    alg.fit(titanic[predictors], titanic["Survived"])
    # Predict using the test dataset.  We have to convert all the columns to floats to avoid an error.
    predictions = alg.predict_proba(titanic_test[predictors].astype(float))[:,1]
    full_predictions.append(predictions)

# The gradient boosting classifier generates better predictions, so we weight it higher.
predictions = (full_predictions[0] * 3 + full_predictions[1]) / 4
predictions