运用MATLAB的好方法
MAXIMUMLIKELIHOODESTIMATIONOFTHECOX-INGERSOLL-ROSSPROCESS:THEMATLAB
IMPLEMENTATION
KamilKlad´ vko1
DepartmentofStatisticsandProbabilityCalculus,UniversityofEconomics,Prague
andDebtManagementDepartment,MinistryofFinanceoftheCzechRepublic
kladivk@vse.czorkamil.kladivko@mfcr.cz
Abstract
Thesquarerootdi usionprocessiswidelyusedformodelinginterestratesbehaviour.Itisanunderlyingprocessofthewell-knownCox-Ingersoll-Rosstermstructuremodel(1985).Weinvestigatemaximumlikelihoodestimationofthesquarerootprocess(CIRprocess)forinterestratetimeseries.TheMATLABimplementationoftheestimationroutineisprovidedandtestedonthePRIBOR3Mtimeseries.
1CIRProcessforInterestRateModeling
Acontinuous-timemodelin nancetypicallyrestononeormorestationarydi usionprocesses{Xt,t≥0},withdynamicsrepresentedbystochasticdi erentialequations:
dXt=µ(Xt)dt+σ(Xt)dWt,