Software Engineering of Web Applications - Spring 2019 HW3

16:332:568 - Software Engineering of Web Applications - Spring 2019 HW3

Yusu Weng (yw706)

The datasets of MSFT stocks are collected from 4/23/2018 to 2/21/2018, splited into 10 csv files.
a=0.05,b=1,M=6

 MSFT_1.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 109.47984259200251 +- 0.3764185347281735 

The real value is [109.410004] 

The absolute error is:  [0.06983859] 

The relative error is:  [0.00063832] 

 MSFT_2.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 109.64715554241087 +- 0.46310635191144073 

The real value is [107.709999] 

The absolute error is:  [1.93715654] 

The relative error is:  [0.01798493] 

 MSFT_3.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 99.24561621044393 +- 0.4293638987554816 

The real value is [101.510002] 

The absolute error is:  [2.26438579] 

The relative error is:  [0.02230702] 

 MSFT_4.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 101.18468191215514 +- 0.3764185347281735 

The real value is [101.709999] 

The absolute error is:  [0.52531709] 

The relative error is:  [0.00516485] 

 MSFT_5.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 107.77097447866485 +- 1.2778417712072283 

The real value is [108.660004] 

The absolute error is:  [0.88902952] 

The relative error is:  [0.00818175] 

 MSFT_6.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 111.47400169140371 +- 0.3764185347281735 

The real value is [113.57] 

The absolute error is:  [2.09599831] 

The relative error is:  [0.01845556] 

 MSFT_7.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 105.18852622347295 +- 1.2778417712072283 

The real value is [106.870003] 

The absolute error is:  [1.68147678] 

The relative error is:  [0.01573385] 

 MSFT_8.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 104.86160607488436 +- 1.2778417712072283 

The real value is [106.269997] 

The absolute error is:  [1.40839093] 

The relative error is:  [0.01325295] 

 MSFT_9.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 103.58873845937968 +- 0.3764185347281735 

The real value is [101.870003] 

The absolute error is:  [1.71873546] 

The relative error is:  [0.01687185] 

 MSFT_10.csv 

The prediction of N+1 time is 94.55743253823057 +- 0.4293638987554816 

The real value is [96.360001] 

The absolute error is:  [1.80256846] 

The relative error is:  [0.0187066] 

The average absolute mean error is  1.439289746453754 

The average relative error is  0.013729769584234492