最大似然估计MLE_和_最大后验概率MAP 的区别与联系

本文介绍了最大似然估计(MLE)和最大后验概率(MAP)的概念及其区别。MLE通过最大化观测数据在给定参数下的概率来估计参数,而MAP在MLE的基础上引入了参数的先验分布,是贝叶斯估计的一种形式。通过举例说明,解释了如何求解这两个估计,并指出MLE可以视为MAP的特殊情况。
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最大似然估计MLE


首先,看一下似然函数的定义。


1 Introduction

The principle of maximum likelihood is relatively straightforward. As before, we begin with a sample X = (X1,...,Xn) of random variables chosen according to one of a family of probabilities Pθ. In addition, f(x|θ), x = (x1,...,xn) will be used to denote the density function for the data when θ is the true state of nature. Then, the principle of maximum likelihood yields a choice of the estimator ˆ θ as the value for the parameter that makes the observed data most probable. Definition1. The likelihood function is the density function regarded as a function of θ.

L(θ|x) = f(x|θ), θ ∈Θ. (1)

The maximumlikelihoodestimator(MLE),

ˆ θ(x) = argmax θ L(θ|x).

(2) We will learn that especially for large samples, the maximum likelihood estimators have many desirable properties. However, especially for high dimensional data, the likelihood can have many local maxima. Thus, finding the global maximum can be a major computational challenge. This class of estimators has an important property. If ˆ θ(x) is a maximum likelihood estimate for θ, then g(ˆ θ(x)) is a maximum likelihood estimate for g(θ). For example, if θ is a parameter for the variance and ˆ θ is the maximum likelihood estimator, then pˆ θ is the maximum likelihood estimator for the standard deviation. This flexibility in estimation criterion seen here is not available in the case of unbiased estimators. Typically, maximizing the score function, ln L(θ|x), the logarithm of the likelihood, will be easier. Having the parameter values be the variable of interest is somewhat unusual, so we will next look at several examples of the likelihood function.


也就是说:

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