我先将我的步骤大致说一下
首先检验收益率序列R的自相关性,发现与滞后5阶显著相关
然后对r(-5)回归
之后对残差做ARCH-LM检验
这是滞后9阶的结果
结果如下
Heteroskedasticity Test: ARCH
F-statistic 2.348236 Prob. F(9,724) 0.0130
Obs*R-squared 20.81833 Prob. Chi-Square(9) 0.0135
Test Equation:
Dependent Variable: RESID^2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 06/03/13 Time: 13:54
Sample (adjusted): 5/12/2010 5/23/2013
Included observations: 734 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.000132 2.38E-05 5.559009 0.0000
RESID^2(-1) 0.012711 0.036722 0.346147 0.7293
RESID^2(-2) 0.040154 0.036723 1.093422 0.2746
RESID^2(-3) -0.041296 0.036677