confidence interval(CI) 置信度(区间)
certain probability,true mean,the range of values
the probability is called confidence level (CL)
CI for μ = x ˉ ± z σ N \text { CI for } \mu=\bar{x} \pm \frac{z \sigma}{\sqrt{N}} CI for μ=xˉ±Nzσ
we might say that it is 99% probable that the true population mean…
Confidence level: the probability that true mean lies in the given range
Significant level: the probability that a result is outside the C L \mathrm{CL} CL
Confidence interval for the mean: the range of values within which the population mean is expected to lie with a certain probability
To estimate the true mean from
large sample: z, σ \sigma σ
small sample: t,s
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Single measurement:
CI for μ = x ± z σ \text { CI for } \mu=x \pm z \sigma CI for μ=x±zσ -
Mean of N measurements (large sample):
CI for μ = x ˉ ± z σ N \text { CI for } \mu=\bar{x} \pm \frac{z \sigma}{\sqrt{N}} CI for μ=xˉ±Nzσ -
Mean of N measurements (small sample):
CI for μ = x ˉ ± t s N \text { CI for } \mu=\bar{x} \pm \frac{t s}{\sqrt{N}} CI for μ=xˉ±Nts
z 的值:
Confidence Levels for Various Values of z Confidence Level, % z 50 0.67 68 1.00 80 1.28 90 1.64 95 1.96 95.4 2.00 99 2.58 99.7 3.00 99.9 3.29 \begin{array}{cc} \hline \text { Confidence Levels for Various } \\ \text { Values of } z \\ \hline \text { Confidence Level, \% } & \boldsymbol{z} \\ \hline 50 & 0.67 \\ 68 & 1.00 \\ 80 & 1.28 \\ 90 & 1.64 \\ 95 & 1.96 \\ 95.4 & 2.00 \\ 99 & 2.58 \\ 99.7 & 3.00 \\ 99.9 & 3.29 \\ \hline \end{array} Confidence Levels for Various Values of z Confidence Level, % 506880909595.49999.799.9z0.671.001.281.641.962.002.583.003.29
Finding the Confidence Interval When σ Is Unknown:
CI for μ = x ˉ ± t s N \text { CI for } \mu=\bar{x} \pm \frac{t s}{\sqrt{N}}