流行病模型(SIR Model)

流行病模型(SIR Model)

by : ZhuoFei, Zhou

首先定义一个函数bernoulli(p)

#以概率p判断是否会被感染或恢复
function bernoulli(p::Number)
	if rand(1)[1] < p
		return true
	else
		return false
	end
end

bernoulli (generic function with 1 method)

恢复所需的时间函数recovery_time(p)

function recovery_time(p)
	if p ≤ 0
		throw(ArgumentError("p must be positive: p = 0 cannot result in a recovery"))
	end
	recovered = false
	days = 0
	while !recovered
		recovered = bernoulli(p)
		days+=1
	end
	return days
end

recovery_time (generic function with 1 method)

测试一下这个函数的运行情况：

其中 p