A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting

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本文是LLM系列文章,针对《A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting》的翻译。

摘要

受自然语言处理(NLP)大型语言模型最新进展的启发,我们设计了一个用于预测的时间序列基础模型,该模型在各种公共数据集上的开箱即用零镜头性能接近于每个单独数据集的最先进监督预测模型的准确性。我们的模型基于在大型时间序列语料库上预训练补丁解码器风格的注意力模型,可以在不同的预测历史长度、预测长度和时间粒度上很好地工作。

1 引言

2 相关工作

3 问题定义

4 模型结构

5 实验结果

6 讨论和未来工作

我们使用大约1B个时间点的大型预训练语料库来训练用于时间序列预测的仅

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A ResNet-based Convolutional Decoder-Encoder is a type of neural network architecture that combines the principles of Residual Networks (ResNets) and Decoder-Encoder networks. ResNets are deep neural networks that use skip connections to avoid the vanishing gradient problem and allow for the training of very deep networks. Decoder-Encoder networks, on the other hand, are used for tasks such as image segmentation, object detection, and image generation. The ResNet-based Convolutional Decoder-Encoder architecture consists of a series of encoder layers that downsample the input image and a series of decoder layers that upsample the encoded features to generate the output image. The encoder layers typically consist of Convolutional Layers followed by Batch Normalization and ReLU activation. The decoder layers consist of transposed convolutional layers, also known as deconvolutional layers, followed by Batch Normalization and ReLU activation. The skip connections in the ResNet-based Convolutional Decoder-Encoder architecture allow for the direct transfer of information from the encoder to the decoder layers, which helps to preserve important features and reduce the effects of information loss during the downsampling process. The resulting network can be trained end-to-end using backpropagation to minimize a loss function that measures the difference between the predicted and ground truth images. ResNet-based Convolutional Decoder-Encoder networks have been used successfully for a variety of image reconstruction and generation tasks, including image denoising, super-resolution, and inpainting.
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