数模竞赛学习笔记三

评价和预测模型：

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评价模型：

• 加权平均(评分和权重难以估计)

（MATLAB单引号的功能 :  ①　定义字符型变量，s='I''m a string'; ②　对变量进行转置,Smxn, S'→Snxm 的字符串--加权运算）

Rate=[0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2];
Data=[90 96 94 99;98 98 80 89;91 90 98 80]
Res=Rate*Data'

• 层次分析（分为目标层-准则层-备选层）

层次分析需要进行一致性检验：（一致性指标CI、一致性比例CR<0.1 即可、平均随机一致性指标RI）--防止规则矛盾

function ahpactor

A = [1/1  2/1  5/1  3/1 
     1/2  1/1  3/1  1/2 
     1/5  1/3  1/1  1/4
     1/3  2/1  4/1  1/1];
[w, CR] = AHP(A);

% face
A1 = [1/1  1/2  3/1
      2/1  1/1  5/1
      1/3  1/5  1/1];
[w1, CR1] = AHP(A1);

% body
A2 = [1/1  1/3  2/1
      3/1  1/1  5/1
      1/2  1/5  1/1];
[w2, CR2] = AHP(A2);

% voice
A3 = [1/1  2/1  1/5
      1/2  1/1  1/7
      5/1  7/1  1/1];
[w3, CR3] = AHP(A3);

% acting
A4 = [1/1  2/1  1/3
      1/2  1/1  1/5
      3/1  5/1  1/1];
[w4, CR4] = AHP(A4);


CRs = [CR1 CR2 CR3 CR4]
P = [w1 w2 w3 w4] * w

 % ------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
function [w, CR] = AHP(A)
% n= [ 1    2    3    4    5    6    7    8    9
RI = [ 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.90 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45];

n = size(A,1);
[V, D] = eig(A);

[lamda, i] = max(diag(D));
CI=(lamda-n)/(n-1);
CR = CI/RI(n);

W = V(:,i);
w = W/sum(W);