0-1分布/伯努利分布
Bernoulli distribution
只先进行一次事件试验,该事件发生的概率为
p
p
p,不发生的概率为
1
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p
1-p
1−p
P
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P\left(X = k\right)= p^k \left(1-p\right)^{1-k},\quad k=0,1
P(X=k)=pk(1−p)1−k,k=0,1
期望
E
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p
E\left[X\right] = p
E[X]=p
方差
D
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D\left[X\right] = p - p^2 = p\left(1-p\right)
D[X]=p−p2=p(1−p)
二项分布
二项分布是
n
n
n个独立的成功/失败试验中成功的次数的离散概率分布,其中每次试验的成功概率为
p
p
p
记作
X
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n
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X \sim B\left(n,p\right)
X∼B(n,p)
P
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⋯
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P\left(X= k\right) = C_n^k p^k q^{n-k},\quad k=0,1,2\cdots,n
P(X=k)=Cnkpkqn−k,k=0,1,2⋯,n
期望
E
[
X
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n
p
E\left[X\right] = np
E[X]=np
推导
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\begin{aligned} E\left[X\right] &=\sum_{k=0}^n k \frac{n!}{k!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\\ &=\sum_{k=1}^n \frac{n!}{\left(k-1\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\\ &=np\sum_{k=1}^n \frac{\left(n-1\right)!}{\left(k-1\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^{k-1} q^{n-k}\\ &=np\sum_{k=0}^{n-1} \frac{\left(n-1\right)!}{k!\left(n-k-1\right)!}p^{k} q^{n-1-k}\\ &=np\left(p + q\right)^{n-1}\\ &=np \end{aligned}
E[X]=k=0∑nkk!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k=k=1∑n(k−1)!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k=npk=1∑n(k−1)!(n−k)!(n−1)!pk−1qn−k=npk=0∑n−1k!(n−k−1)!(n−1)!pkqn−1−k=np(p+q)n−1=np
方差
D
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n
p
q
D\left[X\right]=npq
D[X]=npq
推导
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\begin{aligned} E\left[X^2\right] &=\sum_{k=0}^n k^2 \frac{n!}{k!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\\ &=\sum_{k=1}^n k \frac{n!}{\left(k-1\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\\ &=\left(\sum_{k=2}^n \frac{n!}{\left(k-2\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\right)+\left(\sum_{k=1}^n \frac{n!}{\left(k-1\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^k q^{n-k}\right)\\ &=n\left(n-1\right)p^2\left(\sum_{k=2}^n \frac{\left(n-2\right)!}{\left(k-2\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^{k-2} q^{n-k}\right)+np\left(\sum_{k=1}^n \frac{\left(n-1\right)!}{\left(k-1\right)!\left(n-k\right)!}p^{k-1} q^{n-k}\right)\\ &=n\left(n-1\right)p^2\left(\sum_{k=0}^{n-2} \frac{\left(n-2\right)!}{k!\left(n-k-2\right)!}p^{k} q^{n-2-k}\right)+np\left(\sum_{k=0}^{n-1} \frac{\left(n-1\right)!}{k!\left(n-k-1\right)!}p^{k} q^{n-1-k}\right)\\ &=n\left(n-1\right)p^2 + np\\ &=n^2p^2 + npq \end{aligned}
E[X2]=k=0∑nk2k!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k=k=1∑nk(k−1)!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k=(k=2∑n(k−2)!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k)+(k=1∑n(k−1)!(n−k)!n!pkqn−k)=n(n−1)p2(k=2∑n(k−2)!(n−k)!(n−2)!pk−2qn−k)+np(k=1∑n(k−1)!(n−k)!(n−1)!pk−1qn−k)=n(n−1)p2(k=0∑n−2k!(n−k−2)!(n−2)!pkqn−2−k)+np(k=0∑n−1k!(n−k−1)!(n−1)!pkqn−1−k)=n(n−1)p2+np=n2p2+npq
因此
D
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D\left[X\right] = n^2p^2 + npq - n^2p^2 = npq
D[X]=n2p2+npq−n2p2=npq