集成学习-案例分析（幸福感预测）（待完成）

案例背景

幸福感是一个古老而深刻的话题，是人类世代追求的方向。与幸福感相关的因素成千上万、因人而异，大如国计民生，小如路边烤红薯，都会对幸福感产生影响。
该案例为幸福感预测这一经典课题，希望在现有社会科学研究外有其他维度的算法尝试，结合多学科各自优势，挖掘潜在的影响因素，发现更多可解释、可理解的相关关系。
来说，我们需要使用包括个体变量（性别、年龄、地域、职业、健康、婚姻与政治面貌等等）、家庭变量（父母、配偶、子女、家庭资本等等）、社会态度（公平、信用、公共服务等等）等139维度的信息来预测其对幸福感的影响。
数据来源于国家官方的《中国综合社会调查（CGSS）》文件中的调查结果

数据处理

数据特征查看

train = pd.read_csv("train.csv", parse_dates=['survey_time'],encoding='latin-1') 
test = pd.read_csv("test.csv", parse_dates=['survey_time'],encoding='latin-1') #latin-1向下兼容ASCII
print(train.head())
print(test.head())
print(train.columns)
print(train.columns)

数据预处理

#缺失值填补
data['work_status'] = data['work_status'].fillna(0)
data['work_yr'] = data['work_yr'].fillna(0)
data['work_manage'] = data['work_manage'].fillna(0)
data['work_type'] = data['work_type'].fillna(0)

data['edu_yr'] = data['edu_yr'].fillna(0)
data['edu_status'] = data['edu_status'].fillna(0)

data['s_work_type'] = data['s_work_type'].fillna(0)
data['s_work_status'] = data['s_work_status'].fillna(0)
data['s_political'] = data['s_political'].fillna(0)
data['s_hukou'] = data['s_hukou'].fillna(0)
data['s_income'] = data['s_income'].fillna(0)
data['s_birth'] = data['s_birth'].fillna(0)
data['s_edu'] = data['s_edu'].fillna(0)
data['s_work_exper'] = data['s_work_exper'].fillna(0)

data['minor_child'] = data['minor_child'].fillna(0)
data['marital_now'] = data['marital_now'].fillna(0)
data['marital_1st'] = data['marital_1st'].fillna(0)
data['social_neighbor']=data['social_neighbor'].fillna(0)
data['social_friend']=data['social_friend'].fillna(0)
data['hukou_loc']=data['hukou_loc'].fillna(1)
data['family_income']=data['family_income'].fillna(66365) 
data.loc[data['leisure_4']<0,'leisure_4'] = data['leisure_4'].mode() #取众数
data.loc[data['leisure_5']<0,'leisure_5'] = data['leisure_5'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_6']<0,'leisure_6'] = data['leisure_6'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_7']<0,'leisure_7'] = data['leisure_7'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_8']<0,'leisure_8'] = data['leisure_8'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_9']<0,'leisure_9'] = data['leisure_9'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_10']<0,'leisure_10'] = data['leisure_10'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_11']<0,'leisure_11'] = data['leisure_11'].mode()
data.loc[data['leisure_12']<0,'leisure_12'] = data['leisure_12'].mode()
data.loc[data['socialize']<0,'socialize'] = 2 #很少
data.loc[data['relax']<0,'relax'] = 4 #经常
data.loc[data['learn']<0,'learn'] = 1 #从不，哈哈哈哈
#对‘社交’处理
data.loc[data['social_neighbor']<0,'social_neighbor'] = 0
data.loc[data['social_friend']<0,'social_friend'] = 0
data.loc[data['socia_outing']<0,'socia_outing'] = 1
data.loc[data['neighbor_familiarity']<0,'social_neighbor']= 4
data.loc[data['equity']<0,'equity'] = 4
data.loc[data['class_10_before']<0,'class_10_before'] = 3
data.loc[data['class']<0,'class'] = 5
data.loc[data['class_10_after']<0,'class_10_after'] = 5
data.loc[data['class_14']<0,'class_14'] = 2
data.loc[data['work_status']<0,'work_status'] = 0
data.loc[data['work_yr']<0,'work_yr'] = 0
data.loc[data['work_manage']<0,'work_manage'] = 0
data.loc[data['work_type']<0,'work_type'] = 0
data.loc[data['insur_1']<0,'insur_1'] = 1
data.loc[data['insur_2']<0,'insur_2'] = 1
data.loc[data['insur_3']<0,'insur_3'] = 1
data.loc[data['insur_4']<0,'insur_4'] = 1
data.loc[data['insur_1']==0,'insur_1'] = 0
data.loc[data['insur_2']==0,'insur_2'] = 0
data.loc[data['insur_3']==0,'insur_3'] = 0
data.loc[data['insur_4']==0,'insur_4'] = 0

数据增广

#第一次结婚年龄 147
data['marital_1stbir'] = data['marital_1st'] - data['birth'] 
#最近结婚年龄 148
data['marital_nowtbir'] = data['marital_now'] - data['birth'] 
#是否再婚 149
#用最近结婚年龄减去第一次结婚年龄，若不为0，则表示再婚
data['mar'] = data['marital_nowtbir'] - data['marital_1stbir']
#配偶年龄 150
#现在配偶结婚时年龄
data['marital_sbir'] = data['marital_now']-data['s_birth']
#配偶年龄差 151
data['age_'] = data['marital_nowtbir'] - data['marital_sbir'] 

#收入比 151+7 =158
#与配偶收入比
data['income/s_income'] = data['income']/(data['s_income']+1)
#与配偶收入和
data['income+s_income'] = data['income']+(data['s_income']+1)
#自己主要收入在家庭收入中的占比
data['income/family_income'] = data['income']/(data['family_income']+1)
#自己全部收入在家庭收入中的占比
data['all_income/family_income'] = (data['income']+data['s_income'])/(data['family_income']+1)
data['income/inc_exp'] = data['income']/(data['inc_exp']+1)
data['family_income/m'] = data['family_income']/(data['family_m']+0.01)
data['income/m'] = data['income']/(data['family_m']+0.01)

#收入/面积比 158+4=162
data['income/floor_area'] = data['income']/(data['floor_area']+0.01)
data['all_income/floor_area'] = (data['income']+data['s_income'])/(data['floor_area']+0.01)
data['family_income/floor_area'] = data['family_income']/(data['floor_area']+0.01)
data['floor_area/m'] = data['floor_area']/(data['family_m']+0.01)

#class 162+3=165
data['class_10_diff'] = (data['class_10_after'] - data['class'])
data['class_diff'] = data['class'] - data['class_10_before']
data['class_14_diff'] = data['class'] - data['class_14']
#悠闲指数 166
leisure_fea_lis = ['leisure_'+str(i) for i in range(1,13)]
data['leisure_sum'] = data[leisure_fea_lis].sum(axis=1) #skew
#满意指数 167
public_service_fea_lis = ['public_service_'+str(i) for i in range(1,10)]
data['public_service_sum'] = data[public_service_fea_lis].sum(axis=1) #skew

#信任指数 168
trust_fea_lis = ['trust_'+str(i) for i in range(1,14)]
data['trust_sum'] = data[trust_fea_lis].sum(axis=1) #skew

#province mean 168+13=181
data['province_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['income'].transform('mean').values
data['province_family_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['family_income'].transform('mean').values
data['province_equity_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['equity'].transform('mean').values
data['province_depression_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['depression'].transform('mean').values
data['province_floor_area_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['floor_area'].transform('mean').values
data['province_health_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['health'].transform('mean').values
data['province_class_10_diff_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['class_10_diff'].transform('mean').values
data['province_class_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['class'].transform('mean').values
data['province_health_problem_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['health_problem'].transform('mean').values
data['province_family_status_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['family_status'].transform('mean').values
data['province_leisure_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['leisure_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['province_public_service_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['public_service_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['province_trust_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['province'])['trust_sum'].transform('mean').values

#city   mean 181+13=194
data['city_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['income'].transform('mean').values
data['city_family_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['family_income'].transform('mean').values
data['city_equity_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['equity'].transform('mean').values
data['city_depression_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['depression'].transform('mean').values
data['city_floor_area_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['floor_area'].transform('mean').values
data['city_health_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['health'].transform('mean').values
data['city_class_10_diff_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['class_10_diff'].transform('mean').values
data['city_class_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['class'].transform('mean').values
data['city_health_problem_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['health_problem'].transform('mean').values
data['city_family_status_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['family_status'].transform('mean').values
data['city_leisure_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['leisure_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['city_public_service_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['public_service_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['city_trust_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['city'])['trust_sum'].transform('mean').values

#county  mean 194 + 13 = 207
data['county_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['income'].transform('mean').values
data['county_family_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['family_income'].transform('mean').values
data['county_equity_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['equity'].transform('mean').values
data['county_depression_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['depression'].transform('mean').values
data['county_floor_area_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['floor_area'].transform('mean').values
data['county_health_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['health'].transform('mean').values
data['county_class_10_diff_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['class_10_diff'].transform('mean').values
data['county_class_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['class'].transform('mean').values
data['county_health_problem_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['health_problem'].transform('mean').values
data['county_family_status_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['family_status'].transform('mean').values
data['county_leisure_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['leisure_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['county_public_service_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['public_service_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['county_trust_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['county'])['trust_sum'].transform('mean').values

#ratio 相比同省 207 + 13 =220
data['income/province'] = data['income']/(data['province_income_mean'])                                      
data['family_income/province'] = data['family_income']/(data['province_family_income_mean'])   
data['equity/province'] = data['equity']/(data['province_equity_mean'])       
data['depression/province'] = data['depression']/(data['province_depression_mean'])                                                
data['floor_area/province'] = data['floor_area']/(data['province_floor_area_mean'])
data['health/province'] = data['health']/(data['province_health_mean'])
data['class_10_diff/province'] = data['class_10_diff']/(data['province_class_10_diff_mean'])
data['class/province'] = data['class']/(data['province_class_mean'])
data['health_problem/province'] = data['health_problem']/(data['province_health_problem_mean'])
data['family_status/province'] = data['family_status']/(data['province_family_status_mean'])
data['leisure_sum/province'] = data['leisure_sum']/(data['province_leisure_sum_mean'])
data['public_service_sum/province'] = data['public_service_sum']/(data['province_public_service_sum_mean'])
data['trust_sum/province'] = data['trust_sum']/(data['province_trust_sum_mean']+1)

#ratio 相比同市 220 + 13 =233
data['income/city'] = data['income']/(data['city_income_mean'])                                      
data['family_income/city'] = data['family_income']/(data['city_family_income_mean'])   
data['equity/city'] = data['equity']/(data['city_equity_mean'])       
data['depression/city'] = data['depression']/(data['city_depression_mean'])                                                
data['floor_area/city'] = data['floor_area']/(data['city_floor_area_mean'])
data['health/city'] = data['health']/(data['city_health_mean'])
data['class_10_diff/city'] = data['class_10_diff']/(data['city_class_10_diff_mean'])
data['class/city'] = data['class']/(data['city_class_mean'])
data['health_problem/city'] = data['health_problem']/(data['city_health_problem_mean'])
data['family_status/city'] = data['family_status']/(data['city_family_status_mean'])
data['leisure_sum/city'] = data['leisure_sum']/(data['city_leisure_sum_mean'])
data['public_service_sum/city'] = data['public_service_sum']/(data['city_public_service_sum_mean'])
data['trust_sum/city'] = data['trust_sum']/(data['city_trust_sum_mean'])

#ratio 相比同个地区 233 + 13 =246
data['income/county'] = data['income']/(data['county_income_mean'])                                      
data['family_income/county'] = data['family_income']/(data['county_family_income_mean'])   
data['equity/county'] = data['equity']/(data['county_equity_mean'])       
data['depression/county'] = data['depression']/(data['county_depression_mean'])                                                
data['floor_area/county'] = data['floor_area']/(data['county_floor_area_mean'])
data['health/county'] = data['health']/(data['county_health_mean'])
data['class_10_diff/county'] = data['class_10_diff']/(data['county_class_10_diff_mean'])
data['class/county'] = data['class']/(data['county_class_mean'])
data['health_problem/county'] = data['health_problem']/(data['county_health_problem_mean'])
data['family_status/county'] = data['family_status']/(data['county_family_status_mean'])
data['leisure_sum/county'] = data['leisure_sum']/(data['county_leisure_sum_mean'])
data['public_service_sum/county'] = data['public_service_sum']/(data['county_public_service_sum_mean'])
data['trust_sum/county'] = data['trust_sum']/(data['county_trust_sum_mean'])

#age   mean 246+ 13 =259
data['age_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['income'].transform('mean').values
data['age_family_income_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['family_income'].transform('mean').values
data['age_equity_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['equity'].transform('mean').values
data['age_depression_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['depression'].transform('mean').values
data['age_floor_area_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['floor_area'].transform('mean').values
data['age_health_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['health'].transform('mean').values
data['age_class_10_diff_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['class_10_diff'].transform('mean').values
data['age_class_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['class'].transform('mean').values
data['age_health_problem_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['health_problem'].transform('mean').values
data['age_family_status_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['family_status'].transform('mean').values
data['age_leisure_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['leisure_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['age_public_service_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['public_service_sum'].transform('mean').values
data['age_trust_sum_mean'] = data.groupby(['age'])['trust_sum'].transform('mean').values

# 和同龄人相比259 + 13 =272
data['income/age'] = data['income']/(data['age_income_mean'])                                      
data['family_income/age'] = data['family_income']/(data['age_family_income_mean'])   
data['equity/age'] = data['equity']/(data['age_equity_mean'])       
data['depression/age'] = data['depression']/(data['age_depression_mean'])                                                
data['floor_area/age'] = data['floor_area']/(data['age_floor_area_mean'])
data['health/age'] = data['health']/(data['age_health_mean'])
data['class_10_diff/age'] = data['class_10_diff']/(data['age_class_10_diff_mean'])
data['class/age'] = data['class']/(data['age_class_mean'])
data['health_problem/age'] = data['health_problem']/(data['age_health_problem_mean'])
data['family_status/age'] = data['family_status']/(data['age_family_status_mean'])
data['leisure_sum/age'] = data['leisure_sum']/(data['age_leisure_sum_mean'])
data['public_service_sum/age'] = data['public_service_sum']/(data['age_public_service_sum_mean'])
data['trust_sum/age'] = data['trust_sum']/(data['age_trust_sum_mean'])

特征选择

模型建立