AI day06(2020 8/5)

最新推荐文章于 2024-05-31 21:24:51 发布
最新推荐文章于 2024-05-31 21:24:51 发布
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本文链接：https://blog.csdn.net/weixin_44679856/article/details/107854299
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信用卡欺诈检测

import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np

%matplotlib inline



data = pd.read_csv('data/data48333/creditcard.csv')
data.head()
TimeV1V2V3V4V5V6V7V8V9...V21V22V23V24V25V26V27V28AmountClass
00.0-1.359807-0.0727812.5363471.378155-0.3383210.4623880.2395990.0986980.363787...-0.0183070.277838-0.1104740.0669280.128539-0.1891150.133558-0.021053149.620
10.01.1918570.2661510.1664800.4481540.060018-0.082361-0.0788030.085102-0.255425...-0.225775-0.6386720.101288-0.3398460.1671700.125895-0.0089830.0147242.690
21.0-1.358354-1.3401631.7732090.379780-0.5031981.8004990.7914610.247676-1.514654...0.2479980.7716790.909412-0.689281-0.327642-0.139097-0.055353-0.059752378.660
31.0-0.966272-0.1852261.792993-0.863291-0.0103091.2472030.2376090.377436-1.387024...-0.1083000.005274-0.190321-1.1755750.647376-0.2219290.0627230.061458123.500
42.0-1.1582330.8777371.5487180.403034-0.4071930.0959210.592941-0.2705330.817739...-0.0094310.798278-0.1374580.141267-0.2060100.5022920.2194220.21515369.990

5 rows × 31 columns

# 统计不同分类的样本个数
count_classes = pd.value_counts(data['Class'], sort = True).sort_index()
count_classes

0    284315
1       492
Name: Class, dtype: int64

count_classes.plot(kind = 'bar')
plt.title("Fraud class histogram")
plt.xlabel("Class")
plt.ylabel("Frequency")

Text(0,0.5,'Frequency')

在这里插入图片描述

样本不均衡
  1. 下采样(将多的样本取和少的样本同样的个数集)
  2. 过采样(将少的样本取增加到和多的样本同样个数)
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
# 转换维度并归一化
data['normAmount'] = StandardScaler().fit_transform(data['Amount'].values.reshape(-1, 1))
data = data.drop(['Time','Amount'],axis=1)
data.head()
V1V2V3V4V5V6V7V8V9V10...V21V22V23V24V25V26V27V28ClassnormAmount
0-1.359807-0.0727812.5363471.378155-0.3383210.4623880.2395990.0986980.3637870.090794...-0.0183070.277838-0.1104740.0669280.128539-0.1891150.133558-0.02105300.244964
11.1918570.2661510.1664800.4481540.060018-0.082361-0.0788030.085102-0.255425-0.166974...-0.225775-0.6386720.101288-0.3398460.1671700.125895-0.0089830.0147240-0.342475
2-1.358354-1.3401631.7732090.379780-0.5031981.8004990.7914610.247676-1.5146540.207643...0.2479980.7716790.909412-0.689281-0.327642-0.139097-0.055353-0.05975201.160686
3-0.966272-0.1852261.792993-0.863291-0.0103091.2472030.2376090.377436-1.387024-0.054952...-0.1083000.005274-0.190321-1.1755750.647376-0.2219290.0627230.06145800.140534
4-1.1582330.8777371.5487180.403034-0.4071930.0959210.592941-0.2705330.8177390.753074...-0.0094310.798278-0.1374580.141267-0.2060100.5022920.2194220.2151530-0.073403

5 rows × 30 columns

# 特征
X = data.loc[:, data.columns != 'Class']
# 类别
y = data.loc[:, data.columns == 'Class']

# Number of data points in the minority class
number_records_fraud = len(data[data.Class == 1])
# 取索引
fraud_indices = np.array(data[data.Class == 1].index)
# print(fraud_indices)

# Picking the indices of the normal classes
normal_indices = data[data.Class == 0].index

# Out of the indices we picked, randomly select "x" number (number_records_fraud)
# 在 normal_indices 中随机取出 number_records_fraud 个值
random_normal_indices = np.random.choice(normal_indices, number_records_fraud, replace = False)
random_normal_indices = np.array(random_normal_indices)

# Appending the 2 indices
# 合并两个数组
under_sample_indices = np.concatenate([fraud_indices,random_normal_indices])

# 下采样
# loc是基于name索引,iloc是基于位置索引
under_sample_data = data.iloc[under_sample_indices,:]

X_undersample = under_sample_data.loc[:, under_sample_data.columns != 'Class']
y_undersample = under_sample_data.loc[:, under_sample_data.columns == 'Class']

# Showing ratio
print("Percentage of normal transactions: ", len(under_sample_data[under_sample_data.Class == 0])/len(under_sample_data))
print("Percentage of fraud transactions: ", len(under_sample_data[under_sample_data.Class == 1])/len(under_sample_data))
print("Total number of transactions in resampled data: ", len(under_sample_data))

Percentage of normal transactions:  0.5
Percentage of fraud transactions:  0.5
Total number of transactions in resampled data:  984


# 交叉验证
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split

# 所有数据集
# random_state(随机种子)就是为了保证程序每次运行都分割一样的训练集和测试集。否则，同样的算法模型在不同的训练集和测试集上的效果不一样。
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size = 0.3, random_state = 0)

print("Number transactions train dataset: ", len(X_train))
print("Number transactions test dataset: ", len(X_test))
print("Total number of transactions: ", len(X_train)+len(X_test))

# 下采样数据集划分train和test
X_train_undersample, X_test_undersample, y_train_undersample, y_test_undersample = train_test_split(X_undersample
                                                                                                   ,y_undersample
                                                                                                   ,test_size = 0.3
                                                                                                   ,random_state = 0)
print("")
print("Number transactions train dataset: ", len(X_train_undersample))
print("Number transactions test dataset: ", len(X_test_undersample))
print("Total number of transactions: ", len(X_train_undersample)+len(X_test_undersample))

Number transactions train dataset:  199364
Number transactions test dataset:  85443
Total number of transactions:  284807

Number transactions train dataset:  688
Number transactions test dataset:  296
Total number of transactions:  984

召回率（Recall）

  • 表示的是样本中的正例有多少被预测正确了。那也有两种可能，一种是把原来的正类预测成正类(TP)，另一种就是把原来的正类预测为负类(FN)
  • TP:正例检索对的
  • FP:负例预测为正例
  • FN:把原来的正例预测为负例
  • 例如:
    50个人,20个女生,30个男生,检测出来50个女生
    TP:20
    FP:30
    FN:0
#Recall = TP/(TP+FN)
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
# KFold 做多少次的交叉验证
from sklearn.model_selection import KFold,cross_val_score
from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix,recall_score,classification_report

正则化：

（1）防止过拟合；

（2）正则化项的引入其实是利用了先验知识，体现了人对问题的解的认知程度或者对解的估计；例如正则化最小二乘问题如下：

（3）引入正则化项之后，会降低条件数，提高抗干扰能力，提高泛化能力

超参数α控制权重

L1：
f(w;X,y)=α∣w1​∣+J(w;X,y)

对应的梯度就变为

▽w​f(w;X,y)=αsign(w)+▽w​J(w;X,y)

L2：
正则化的目标函数为

f(w;X,y)=1/2​(wTw+J(w;X,y)​)

对应的梯度就变为

▽w​f(w;X,y)=αw+▽w​J(w;X,y)

# 计算召回率
def printing_Kfold_scores(x_train_data,y_train_data):
    # fold = KFold(len(y_train_data),5,shuffle=False) 
    # KFold 做多少次的交叉验证,此处为5次
    fold = KFold(5,shuffle=False)
    # Different C parameters
    # 不同的正则化权重值(a)
    c_param_range = [0.01,0.1,1,10,100]
    # print(fold)
    results_table = pd.DataFrame(index = range(len(c_param_range),2), columns = ['C_parameter','Mean recall score'])
    results_table['C_parameter'] = c_param_range

    # the k-fold will give 2 lists: train_indices = indices[0], test_indices = indices[1]
    j = 0
    # 不同的正则化权重值
    for c_param in c_param_range:
        print('-------------------------------------------')
        print('C parameter: ', c_param)
        print('-------------------------------------------')
        print('')

        recall_accs = []
        # 循环进行交叉验证
        for iteration, indices in enumerate(fold.split(x_train_data)):
            # Call the logistic regression model with a certain C parameter
            # 指定逻辑回归模型,正则化为L1,权重值为c_param
            lr = LogisticRegression(C = c_param, penalty = 'l1')

            # Use the training data to fit the model. In this case, we use the portion of the fold to train the model
            # with indices[0]. We then predict on the portion assigned as the 'test cross validation' with indices[1]
            lr.fit(x_train_data.iloc[indices[0],:],y_train_data.iloc[indices[0],:].values.ravel())

            # Predict values using the test indices in the training data
            y_pred_undersample = lr.predict(x_train_data.iloc[indices[1],:].values)

            # Calculate the recall score and append it to a list for recall scores representing the current c_parameter
            # recall_acc 召回率
            recall_acc = recall_score(y_train_data.iloc[indices[1],:].values,y_pred_undersample)
            recall_accs.append(recall_acc)
            print('Iteration ', iteration,': recall score = ', recall_acc)

        # The mean value of those recall scores is the metric we want to save and get hold of.
        # 召回率的平均值
        results_table.loc[j,'Mean recall score'] = np.mean(recall_accs)
        j += 1
        print('')
        print('Mean recall score ', np.mean(recall_accs))
        print('')

    # best_c = results_table.loc[results_table['Mean recall score'].idxmax()]['C_parameter']
    best_c = results_table.loc[results_table['Mean recall score'].astype('float64').idxmax()]['C_parameter']
    # Finally, we can check which C parameter is the best amongst the chosen.
    print('*********************************************************************************')
    print('Best model to choose from cross validation is with C parameter = ', best_c)
    print('*********************************************************************************')
    
    return best_c

best_c = printing_Kfold_scores(X_train_undersample,y_train_undersample)

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  0.01
-------------------------------------------

Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.9315068493150684
Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.9178082191780822
Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.9830508474576272
Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.972972972972973
Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.9545454545454546

Mean recall score  0.9519768686938409

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  0.1
-------------------------------------------

Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.8493150684931506
Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.8767123287671232
Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.9322033898305084
Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.9324324324324325
Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.9090909090909091

Mean recall score  0.8999508257228248

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  1
-------------------------------------------

Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.863013698630137
Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.8904109589041096
Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.9661016949152542
Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.9459459459459459
Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.9090909090909091

Mean recall score  0.9149126414972711

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  10
-------------------------------------------

Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.863013698630137
Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.9041095890410958
Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.9661016949152542
Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.9459459459459459


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)
/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.9090909090909091

Mean recall score  0.9176523675246685

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  100
-------------------------------------------

Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.863013698630137
Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.8904109589041096
Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.9661016949152542
Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.9459459459459459
Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.9090909090909091

Mean recall score  0.9149126414972711

*********************************************************************************
Best model to choose from cross validation is with C parameter =  0.01
*********************************************************************************

混淆矩阵

def plot_confusion_matrix(cm, classes,
                          title='Confusion matrix',
                          cmap=plt.cm.Blues):
    """
    This function prints and plots the confusion matrix.
    """
    plt.imshow(cm, interpolation='nearest', cmap=cmap)
    plt.title(title)
    plt.colorbar()
    tick_marks = np.arange(len(classes))
    plt.xticks(tick_marks, classes, rotation=0)
    plt.yticks(tick_marks, classes)

    thresh = cm.max() / 2.
    for i, j in itertools.product(range(cm.shape[0]), range(cm.shape[1])):
        plt.text(j, i, cm[i, j],
                 horizontalalignment="center",
                 color="white" if cm[i, j] > thresh else "black")

    plt.tight_layout()
    plt.ylabel('True label')
    plt.xlabel('Predicted label')



import itertools
lr = LogisticRegression(C = best_c, penalty = 'l1')
lr.fit(X_train_undersample,y_train_undersample.values.ravel())
y_pred_undersample = lr.predict(X_test_undersample.values)

# Compute confusion matrix
cnf_matrix = confusion_matrix(y_test_undersample,y_pred_undersample)
np.set_printoptions(precision=2)

print("Recall metric in the testing dataset: ", cnf_matrix[1,1]/(cnf_matrix[1,0]+cnf_matrix[1,1]))

# Plot non-normalized confusion matrix
class_names = [0,1]
plt.figure()
plot_confusion_matrix(cnf_matrix
                      , classes=class_names
                      , title='Confusion matrix')
plt.show()

Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.9251700680272109


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)

在这里插入图片描述

lr = LogisticRegression(C = best_c, penalty = 'l1')
lr.fit(X_train_undersample,y_train_undersample.values.ravel())
y_pred = lr.predict(X_test.values)

# Compute confusion matrix
cnf_matrix = confusion_matrix(y_test,y_pred)
np.set_printoptions(precision=2)

print("Recall metric in the testing dataset: ", cnf_matrix[1,1]/(cnf_matrix[1,0]+cnf_matrix[1,1]))

# Plot non-normalized confusion matrix
class_names = [0,1]
plt.figure()
plot_confusion_matrix(cnf_matrix
                      , classes=class_names
                      , title='Confusion matrix')
plt.show()

/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.9251700680272109

在这里插入图片描述

best_c = printing_Kfold_scores(X_train,y_train)

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  0.01
-------------------------------------------



/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.4925373134328358


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.6027397260273972


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.6833333333333333


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.5692307692307692


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.45

Mean recall score  0.5595682284048672

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  0.1
-------------------------------------------



/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.5671641791044776


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.6164383561643836


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.6833333333333333


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.5846153846153846


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.525

Mean recall score  0.5953102506435158

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  1
-------------------------------------------



/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.5522388059701493


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.6164383561643836


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.7166666666666667


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.6153846153846154


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.5625

Mean recall score  0.612645688837163

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  10
-------------------------------------------



/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.5522388059701493


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.6164383561643836


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.7333333333333333


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.6153846153846154


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.575

Mean recall score  0.6184790221704963

-------------------------------------------
C parameter:  100
-------------------------------------------



/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  0 : recall score =  0.5522388059701493


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  1 : recall score =  0.6164383561643836


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  2 : recall score =  0.7333333333333333


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  3 : recall score =  0.6153846153846154


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Iteration  4 : recall score =  0.575

Mean recall score  0.6184790221704963

*********************************************************************************
Best model to choose from cross validation is with C parameter =  10.0
*********************************************************************************

lr = LogisticRegression(C = best_c, penalty = 'l1')
lr.fit(X_train,y_train.values.ravel())
y_pred_undersample = lr.predict(X_test.values)

# Compute confusion matrix
cnf_matrix = confusion_matrix(y_test,y_pred_undersample)
np.set_printoptions(precision=2)

print("Recall metric in the testing dataset: ", cnf_matrix[1,1]/(cnf_matrix[1,0]+cnf_matrix[1,1]))

# Plot non-normalized confusion matrix
class_names = [0,1]
plt.figure()
plot_confusion_matrix(cnf_matrix
                      , classes=class_names
                      , title='Confusion matrix')
plt.show()

/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.6190476190476191

在这里插入图片描述

lr = LogisticRegression(C = 0.01, penalty = 'l1')
lr.fit(X_train_undersample,y_train_undersample.values.ravel())
# 取出概率值
y_pred_undersample_proba = lr.predict_proba(X_test_undersample.values)

thresholds = [0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.6,0.7,0.8,0.9]

plt.figure(figsize=(10,10))

j = 1
for i in thresholds:
    y_test_predictions_high_recall = y_pred_undersample_proba[:,1] > i
    
    plt.subplot(3,3,j)
    j += 1
    
    # Compute confusion matrix
    cnf_matrix = confusion_matrix(y_test_undersample,y_test_predictions_high_recall)
    np.set_printoptions(precision=2)

    print("Recall metric in the testing dataset: ", cnf_matrix[1,1]/(cnf_matrix[1,0]+cnf_matrix[1,1]))

    # Plot non-normalized confusion matrix
    class_names = [0,1]
    plot_confusion_matrix(cnf_matrix
                          , classes=class_names
                          , title='Threshold >= %s'%i) 

Recall metric in the testing dataset:  1.0
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  1.0
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.9931972789115646
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.9727891156462585
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.9251700680272109


/opt/conda/envs/python35-paddle120-env/lib/python3.7/site-packages/sklearn/linear_model/logistic.py:432: FutureWarning: Default solver will be changed to 'lbfgs' in 0.22. Specify a solver to silence this warning.
  FutureWarning)


Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.8843537414965986
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.8299319727891157
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.7687074829931972
Recall metric in the testing dataset:  0.5918367346938775

在这里插入图片描述

pip install  imbalanced-learn

Looking in indexes: https://pypi.mirrors.ustc.edu.cn/simple/
Collecting imbalanced-learn

import pandas as pd
from imblearn.over_sampling import SMOTE
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix
s.ustc.edu.cn/simple/
    Collecting imbalanced-learn





```python
import pandas as pd
from imblearn.over_sampling import SMOTE
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import confusion_matrix
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
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