未来大气污染变化模拟

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国家碳达峰碳中和(双碳)目标对未来大气污染控制提出了新的要求,也为未来气候变化背景下,大气环境演变趋势和空间格局的模拟和预估提出了不确定性和挑战。第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)基于不同的共享社会经济路径(SSP)及最新的人为排放趋势,预估了不同社会共享路径和温室气体排放情景下的未来气候变化趋势,这些结果为模拟预估未来气候变化背景下大气污染的演变趋势提供了可能。

对模式比较计划的全球气候预估数据进行动力降尺度,结合预估的未来气候变化,运用区域气候模式和气候-化学耦合模式,实现对未来大气污染时空演变趋势的预估模拟

该模式比较计划涉及数据的格式转换和降尺度处理、区域模式涉及复杂的动力和化学过程,在数据运用和模式运行方面难度较大

CMIP6数据及运行平台建设

1.CMIP模式比较计划介绍:背景、意义、情景讲解

2.CMIP数据下载方法

 

3.数据格式讲解与实践(NETCDF)

 

4.数据转换工具讲解与实践(CDO/NCO) 

5、虚拟机及相关软件库的安装

CMIP6数据驱动WRF和WRF-Chem模式

1、WRF数据格式讲解

 

2.CMIP6情景数据用于提供WRF-Chem模式的气象驱动场代码解译 

 

3.未来情景排放清单(SSP、DPEC)讲解

 

4.数据处理实践操作

未来大气污染变化模拟、Cmip6数据处理、CGE模型、Python地球科学实践

WRF-Chem的未来情景模拟

1.基于CMIP6和未来情景排放清单,驱动WRF-Chem模式

2.初边界条件

3.模拟实验思路讲解

1)气候变化和排放变化对未来大气污染的影响趋势

2)污染-气象相互作用

问题答疑

数据获取和处理

2.模式设置

3.其它问题

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Use of NWAI-WG data   So far, NWAI-WG data have been used on a collaborative basis in publications (see the attached file). The major reasons are the data were not widely distributed. They were only used in our group and our collaborative networks. There were some cases with requests of the data made after people read Liu and Zou's (2012) paper. You have two options for using the data. Option 1: Collaboration with us. In this case, we will help you to describe the downscaling method and contribute to other parts of the paper such as comments/suggestions on the papers, if the fields are within our expertise. Option 2: Use of the data on your own. While option 1 for collaboration with us is welcome, option 2 is also highly encouraged, particularly, when the data are used for these research disciplines, rather than agricultural related. Thanks to Professor Yu who provides us with his group's web site (www.agrivy.com) as a media for distribution of the data.   Acknowledgment for option 1  “We acknowledge the modelling groups, the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) and the WCRP’s Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM) for their roles in making available the WCRP CMIP5 multi-model dataset. Support of this dataset is provided by the Office of Science, US Department of Energy. Dr. Ian Macadam of the University of New South Wales downloaded the raw GCM monthly data. ”   Acknowledgment for option 2  “We acknowledge the modelling groups, the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) and the WCRP’s Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM) for their roles in making available the WCRP CMIP5 multi-model dataset. Support of this dataset is provided by the Office of Science, US Department of Energy. Dr. Ian Macadam of the University of New South Wales downloaded the raw GCM monthly data. Dr. De Li Liu of the NSW Department of Primary Industries used NWAI-WG to downscale downscaled daily data. Also, thanks to AGRIVY (www.agrivy.com) provides us the data for this study.”

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