如题:某+1装备每次强化+1的成功率为0.3,失败则掉一级,问平均多少次能强化上+9?
clear all
clc
P=[0.7 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.7 0 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0.7 0 0.3 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0.7 0 0.3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0.7 0 0.3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0.7 0 0.3 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0.7 0 0.3 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0.7 0 0.3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1];
sum=0;
p=P^1000;
x=1;
y=9;
P_size=9;%状态数
Ix=zeros(1,P_size);
Ix(x)=1;
Iy=zeros(P_size,1);
Iy(y)=1;
I=eye(P_size);
Ey=I;
Ey(y,y)=0;
average=Ix*(I-P*Ey)^-2*P*Iy%