模糊决策和模糊逻辑的关系_基于模糊逻辑的covid 19感染预测

模糊决策和模糊逻辑的关系

介绍 (Introduction)

Using time-series forecasting methods are a common way to analyze the rate of a pandemic infection. This would help us to create better decision support systems. what I have written here, is part of what I have learned in the course of Fuzzy systems which was taught by professor J-Asgari at the Isfahan University of Technology. So let’s start with the definition of time series.

使用时间序列预测方法是分析大流行感染率的常用方法。 这将帮助我们创建更好的决策支持系统。 我在这里写的内容，是我在伊斯法罕工业大学的J-Asgari教授讲授的模糊系统课程中学到的部分内容。 因此，让我们从时间序列的定义开始。

A time series is a set of regular time-ordered observations of a quantitative characteristic of an individual or collective phenomenon taken at successive, in most cases equidistant, periods/points of time [more]. There are two main prediction methods for time series data:

时间序列是一组对单个或集体现象的定量特征进行定期定时排序的观察结果，这些定量特征是在连续的(在大多数情况下是等距的)时间点/时间点上获取的[ 更多 ]。 时间序列数据的主要预测方法有两种：

1- Statistical tools: ARMA ARIMA SARIMA [more]2- Intelligence tools based on Neural Networks like RNN and LSTM [more]

1-统计工具：ARMA ARIMA SARIMA [ 更多 ] 2-基于神经网络(如RNN和LSTM)的智能工具[ 更多 ]

数据探索 (Data Exploration)

We have reviewed data from Europe download from here. Also, all data files, source codes and notebooks have been uploaded on this Colab Notebook. let’s take a quick glance at dataset:

我们已经审查了来自欧洲的数据，可从