5.Digital age have arrived

In less than 30 year’s time the Star Trek holodeck 全息甲板 will be a reality. Direct直接 links between the brain’s大脑的 nervous神经 system and a computer will also create full sensory感觉 virtual虚拟 environments, allowing virtual vacations假期 like those in the film Total Recall《全面回忆》.

There will be television chat shows hosted by robots, and cars with pollution污染 monitors监控 that will disable them when they offend违规. Children will play with dolls equipped with personality有个性的 chips芯片, computers with in-built personalities will be regarded被视为 as workmates rather than
tools, relaxation休闲 will be in front of smell-television, and digital数字化 age will have arrived.

According to BT’s futurologist未来学家, Ian Pearson, these are among the developments scheduled for the first few decades数十年 of the new millennium(a period of 1000 years), when supper computers超级计算机 will dramatically极大的 accelerate加速 progress in all areas of life.

Pearson has pieced together汇聚 the work of hundreds of researchers研究人员 around the world to produce a unique独特的 millennium technology calendar日历 that gives the latest dates when we can expect期待 hundreds of key关键 breakthroughs突破 and discoveries发现 to take place发生. Some of the
biggest developments will be in medicaine出现, including an extended life expectancy and dozens of artificial organs coming into use between now and 2040.

Pearson also predicts预测 a breakthrough in computer-human links. “By linking directly直接 to our nervous神经 system, computers could pick up获取 what we feel and, hopefully, simulate模拟 feeling too so that we can start to develop full sensory感官 environments, rather like就像 the holidays in Total
Recall or the Star Trek holodeck” he says. But that, Pearson points out, is only the start of man machine人机 integration一体化:“it will be the beginning of the long process of integration一体化 that will ultimately最终 lead to a fully electronic电子化 human before the end of the next century.”

Through his research, Pearson is able to put dates to most of the breakthroughs that can be predicted预测. However, there are still no forecasts预测 for when faster-than-light travel will be available, or when human cloning will be perfected完善, or when time travel will be possible. But he does
expect预料到 social problems as a result of technological advances进步. A boom in neighborhood社区 surveillance监控 cameras will, for example, cause problems in 2010, while the arrival of synthetic合成 lifelike逼真 robots will mean people may not be able to distinguish区分 between their human
friends and the droids机器人. And home appliances will also become so smart that controlling控制 and operating操作 them will result in the breakout爆发 of a new psychological心理 disorder障碍—kitchen rage愤怒.

在不到30年的时间里,《星际迷航》的全息甲板将成为现实。大脑神经系统和计算机之间的直接连接也将创建全感官虚拟环境,允许像电影《全面回忆》中那样的虚拟假期。

将会有由机器人主持的电视谈话节目,以及装有污染监测器的汽车,当汽车违规时,监测器将使其失效。儿童将与装有个性芯片的玩具娃娃玩耍,具有个性内置的计算机将被视为工作伙伴而不是工具,人们将在气味电视机前休闲,届时数字化时代就来到了。

据英国电信的未来学家伊恩·皮尔森称,这些都是新千年(1000年)最初几十年的发展计划,届时超级计算机将极大地加速生活各个领域的进步。

皮尔森汇集了世界各地数百名研究人员的工作成果,制作了一份独特的千年科技日历,给出了我们可以期待数百项关键性突破和发现发生的最迟日期。一些最大的发展包括延长寿命,和从现在到2024年期间投入使用的数十种人造器官。

皮尔森也预测了计算机与人类之间联系的突破,他说:“通过直接连接到我们的神经系统,计算机可以获取我们的感觉,并有希望模拟这种感觉,这样我们就可以开始开发全感官环境,就像《全面回忆》中的假期或《星际迷航》中的全息甲板一样。”这仅仅是人机一体化的开始:它将是漫长的一体化过程的开始,这一过程最终将导致在下个世纪末之前出现完全电子化的人类。”

通过他的研究,皮尔逊能够确定大多数可以预测的突破的日期。然而,对于何时可以实现超光速旅行,或者何时可以完善人类克隆,或者何时时间旅行成为可能,仍然没有预测。但他确实预料到技术进步会带来社会问题。例如,社区监控摄像头的蓬勃发展将在2010年造成问题,而合成逼真机器人的到来将意味着人们可能无法区分他们的人类朋友和机器人。家用电器也将变得如此智能,以至于控制和操作它们将导致一种新的心理障碍——厨房愤怒的爆发。

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