宋浩概率论与数理统计笔记——第三章

3.1.1 二维随机变量及其分布函数

3.1 二维随机变量

假设 E E E是试验, Ω \Omega Ω是他的样本空间,X、Y是定义在样本空间 Ω \Omega Ω的两个变量

( X , Y ) (X,Y) (X,Y)向量、变量

分布函数:

F ( x , y ) = P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y } F(x,y)=P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y\} F(x,y)=P{Xx,Yy},联合分布函数

一维: F ( x ) = P { X ≤ x } F(x)=P\{X\leq x\} F(x)=P{Xx}

性质:

0 ≤ F ( x ) ≤ 1 0\leq F(x)\leq1 0F(x)1

F ( x , y ) F(x,y) F(x,y) x x x y y y的不减函数, y y y固定, x 1 < x 2 , F ( x 1 , y ) ≤ F ( x 2 , y ) x_1<x_2,F(x_1,y)\leq F(x_2,y) x1<x2,F(x1,y)F(x2,y)

F ( − ∞ , y ) = 0 F(-\infty,y)=0 F(,y)=0

F ( x , − ∞ ) = 0 F(x,-\infty)=0 F(x,)=0

F ( − ∞ , − ∞ ) = 0 F(-\infty,-\infty)=0 F(,)=0

F ( + ∞ , + ∞ ) = 1 F(+\infty,+\infty)=1 F(+,+)=1

F ( x , y ) F(x,y) F(x,y)分别是关于x和y的右连续

x 1 < x 2 , y 1 < y 2 x_1<x_2,y_1<y_2 x1<x2,y1<y2

P { x 1 < X ≤ x 2 , y 1 < Y ≤ y 2 } = F ( x 2 , y 2 ) − F ( x 2 , y 1 ) − F ( x 1 , y 2 ) + F ( x 1 , y 1 ) P\{x_1<X\leq x_2,y_1<Y\leq y_2\}=F(x_2,y_2)-F(x_2,y_1)-F(x_1,y_2)+F(x_1,y_1) P{x1<Xx2,y1<Yy2}=F(x2,y2)F(x2,y1)F(x1,y2)+F(x1,y1)

边缘分布:

F X ( x ) = P { X ≤ x } = F { x , + ∞ } = P { X ≤ x , Y < + ∞ } F_X(x)=P\{X\leq x\}=F\{x,+\infty\}=P\{X\leq x,Y<+\infty\} FX(x)=P{Xx}=F{x,+}=P{Xx,Y<+}

F Y ( y ) = P { Y ≤ y } = F { + ∞ , y } = P { X < + ∞ , Y ≤ y } F_Y(y)=P\{Y\leq y\}=F\{+\infty,y\}=P\{X<+\infty,Y\leq y\} FY(y)=P{Yy}=F{+,y}=P{X<+,Yy}

3.1.2 二维离散型的联合分布和边缘分布

X,Y取离散值

分布表:

X\Y123
10 1 2 \frac{1}{2} 21 1 8 \frac{1}{8} 81
2 1 8 \frac{1}{8} 81 1 8 \frac{1}{8} 81 1 8 \frac{1}{8} 81

P { X = x i , Y = y j } = P i j P\{X=x_i,Y=y_j\}=P_{ij} P{X=xi,Y=yj}=Pij

性质

P i j ≥ 0 P_{ij}\geq 0 Pij0

∑ i ∑ j P i j = 1 \sum _i\sum_jP_{ij}=1 ijPij=1

F ( x , y ) = P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y } = ∑ x i ≤ x ∑ y i ≤ y P i j F(x,y)=P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y\}=\sum_{x_i\leq x}\sum_{y_i\leq y}P_{ij} F(x,y)=P{Xx,Yy}=xixyiyPij

F ( − 1 , − 2 ) = P { X ≤ − 1 , Y ≤ − 2 } = 0 F(-1,-2)=P\{X\leq -1,Y\leq -2\}=0 F(1,2)=P{X1,Y2}=0

F ( 1 , 2 ) = P { X ≤ 1 , Y ≤ 2 } = 1 2 F(1,2)=P\{X\leq 1,Y\leq 2\}=\frac{1}{2} F(1,2)=P{X1,Y2}=21

F ( 4 , 5 ) = P { X ≤ 4 , Y ≤ 5 } = 1 F(4,5)=P\{X\leq 4,Y\leq 5\}=1 F(4,5)=P{X4,Y5}=1

F ( 1.5 , 2.6 ) = P { X ≤ 1.5 , Y ≤ 2.6 } = 1 2 F(1.5,2.6)=P\{X\leq 1.5,Y\leq 2.6\}=\frac{1}{2} F(1.5,2.6)=P{X1.5,Y2.6}=21

边缘分布

对行求和,得X的边缘分布

X12
P 5 8 \frac{5}{8} 85 3 8 \frac{3}{8} 83

对列求和,得Y的边缘分布

Y123
P 1 8 \frac{1}{8} 81 5 8 \frac{5}{8} 85 1 4 \frac{1}{4} 41

①联合分布可唯一确定边缘分布

②边缘分布不能确定联合分布

3.1.3 二维连续型的联合分布与边缘分布

F ( x , y ) = P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y } = ∫ − ∞ x ∫ − ∞ y f ( s , t ) d s d t F(x,y)=P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y\}=\int_{-\infty}^{x}\int_{-\infty}^{y}f(s,t)dsdt F(x,y)=P{Xx,Yy}=xyf(s,t)dsdt

F ( x , y ) F(x,y) F(x,y)分布函数

f ( x , y ) f(x,y) f(x,y)联合密度函数

性质1: f ( x , y ) > 0 f(x,y)>0 f(x,y)>0

性质2: ∫ − ∞ + ∞ ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f ( x , y ) d x d y = 1 \int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f(x,y)dxdy=1 ++f(x,y)dxdy=1

性质3: ∂ 2 F ( x , y ) ∂ x ∂ y = f ( x , y ) \frac{\partial^2F(x,y)}{\partial x\partial y}=f(x,y) xy2F(x,y)=f(x,y)

性质4:G是XY平面上的一个区域, P { ( X , Y ) ∈ G } = ∬ G f ( x , y ) d x d y P\{(X,Y)\in G\}=\iint_G f(x,y)dxdy P{(X,Y)G}=Gf(x,y)dxdy

F ( x ) = {   C ( x , y ) ∈ G 0 e l s e F(x) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \ C & (x,y)\in G \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. F(x)={ C0(x,y)Gelse

G : x 2 + y 2 ≤ r 2 G:x^2+y^2\leq r^2 G:x2+y2r2

∫ − ∞ + ∞ ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f ( x , y ) d x d y = ∬ G C d x d y = C ∬ G 1 d x d y = C π r 2 = 1 \int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f(x,y)dxdy=\iint_GCdxdy=C\iint_G1dxdy=C\pi r^2=1 ++f(x,y)dxdy=GCdxdy=CG1dxdy=Cπr2=1

C = 1 π r 2 C=\frac{1}{\pi r^2} C=πr21

例:

F ( x ) = {   e − ( x + y ) x > 0 , y > 0 0 e l s e F(x) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \ e^{-(x+y)} & x>0,y>0 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. F(x)={ e(x+y)0x>0,y>0else

(1)求 X , Y X,Y X,Y F ( x , y ) F(x,y) F(x,y)

F ( x , y ) = P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y } , x > 0 且 y > 0 , F ( x , y ) = ∫ − ∞ x ∫ − ∞ y f ( s , t ) d s d t = ∫ 0 x ∫ 0 y e − s e − t d s d t = ∫ 0 x e − s d s ∫ 0 y e − t d t = ( e − x − 1 ) ( e − y − 1 ) = ( 1 − e − x ) ( 1 − e − y ) F(x,y)=P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y\},x>0且y>0,F(x,y)=\int_{-\infty}^{x}\int_{-\infty}^{y}f(s,t)dsdt\\=\int_0^x\int_0^y e^{-s}e^{-t}dsdt=\int_0^xe^{-s}ds\int_0^ye^{-t}dt=(e^{-x}-1)(e^{-y}-1)=(1-e^{-x})(1-e^{-y}) F(x,y)=P{Xx,Yy},x>0y>0,F(x,y)=xyf(s,t)dsdt=0x0yesetdsdt=0xesds0yetdt=(ex1)(ey1)=(1ex)(1ey)

(2) 求 P { ( x , y ) ∈ G } 求P\{(x,y)\in G\} P{(x,y)G}

在这里插入图片描述

P { ( x , y ) ∈ G } = ∬ G f ( x , y ) d x d y = ∬ G e − ( x + y ) d x d y = ∫ 0 1 d x ∫ 0 1 − x e − ( x + y ) d y = 1 − 2 e − 1 P\{(x,y)\in G\}=\iint_Gf(x,y)dxdy=\iint_Ge^{-(x+y)}dxdy=\int_{0}^{1}dx\int_{0}^{1-x}e^{-(x+y)}dy=1-2e^{-1} P{(x,y)G}=Gf(x,y)dxdy=Ge(x+y)dxdy=01dx01xe(x+y)dy=12e1

(3) F X ( x ) , F Y ( y ) F_X(x),F_Y(y) FX(x),FY(y)

F X ( x ) = lim ⁡ y → + ∞ F ( x , y ) = 1 − e − x , x > 0 F_X(x)=\lim_{y\rightarrow+\infty}F(x,y)=1-e^{-x},x>0 FX(x)=limy+F(x,y)=1ex,x>0

F X ( x ) = 0 , x ≤ 0 F_X(x)=0,x\leq0 FX(x)=0,x0

F Y ( y ) = lim ⁡ x → + ∞ F ( x , y ) = 1 − e − y , y > 0 F_Y(y)=\lim_{x\rightarrow+\infty}F(x,y)=1-e^{-y},y>0 FY(y)=limx+F(x,y)=1ey,y>0

F Y ( y ) = 0 , y ≤ 0 F_Y(y)=0,y\leq0 FY(y)=0,y0

3.2.1条件分布的定义

F ( x ) = P { X ≤ x } F(x)=P\{X\leq x\} F(x)=P{Xx}

F ( x ∣ A ) = P { X ≤ x ∣ A } F(x|A)=P\{X\leq x|A\} F(xA)=P{XxA}

例:

f ( x ) = 1 π ( 1 + x 2 ) f(x)=\frac{1}{\pi(1+x^2)} f(x)=π(1+x2)1,求X>1条件下的条件分布

解:X>1, F ( x ∣ X > 1 ) = P { X ≤ x ∣ X > 1 } = P { X ≤ x , X > 1 } P { X > 1 } F(x|X>1)=P\{X\leq x|X>1\}=\frac{P\{X\leq x,X>1\}}{P\{X>1\}} F(xX>1)=P{XxX>1}=P{X>1}P{Xx,X>1}

x ≤ 1 x\leq 1 x1时, F ( x ∣ X > 1 ) = 0 F(x|X>1)=0 F(xX>1)=0

x > 1 时 x>1时 x>1, P { 1 < X ≤ x } = ∫ 1 x 1 π ( 1 + t 2 ) d t ∫ 1 + ∞ 1 π ( 1 + t 2 ) d t = 1 π a r c t a n t ∣ 1 x 1 π a r c t a n t ∣ 1 + ∞ = 1 π a c r t a n x − 1 4 1 4 P\{1<X\leq x\}=\frac{\int_{1}^{x}\frac{1}{\pi(1+t^2)}dt}{\int_{1}^{+\infty}\frac{1}{\pi(1+t^2)}dt}=\frac{\frac{1}{\pi}arctant|_1^x}{\frac{1}{\pi}arctant|_1^{+\infty}}=\frac{\frac{1}{\pi}acrtanx-\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{1}{4}} P{1<Xx}=1+π(1+t2)1dt1xπ(1+t2)1dt=π1arctant1+π1arctant1x=41π1acrtanx41

F ( x ∣ X > 1 ) = { 0 x ≤ 1 4 π a r c t a n x − 1 x > 1 F(x|X>1) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & x\leq 1 \\ \frac{4}{\pi}arctanx-1 & x>1 \end{array}\right. F(xX>1)={0π4arctanx1x1x>1

3.2.2 离散型随机变量的条件分布

$ X_1$\ $ X_2$01 P i ( 1 ) P_i^{(1)} Pi(1)边缘分布
00.10.30.4
10.30.30.6
P j ( 2 ) P_j^{(2)} Pj(2)边缘分布0.40.6

X 1 = 0 , P { X 2 = 0 ∣ X 1 = 0 } = 0.1 0.4 = 0.25 X_1=0,P\{X_2=0|X_1=0\}=\frac{0.1}{0.4}=0.25 X1=0,P{X2=0X1=0}=0.40.1=0.25

X 1 = 0 , P { X 2 = 1 ∣ X 1 = 0 } = 0.3 0.4 = 0.75 X_1=0,P\{X_2=1|X_1=0\}=\frac{0.3}{0.4}=0.75 X1=0,P{X2=1X1=0}=0.40.3=0.75

X 1 = 1 , P { X 2 = 0 ∣ X 1 = 1 } = 0.3 0.6 = 0.5 X_1=1,P\{X_2=0|X_1=1\}=\frac{0.3}{0.6}=0.5 X1=1,P{X2=0X1=1}=0.60.3=0.5

X 1 = 1 , P { X 2 = 1 ∣ X 1 = 1 } = 0.3 0.6 = 0.5 X_1=1,P\{X_2=1|X_1=1\}=\frac{0.3}{0.6}=0.5 X1=1,P{X2=1X1=1}=0.60.3=0.5

X 2 X_2 X201
$P{X_2X_1=0}$0.25
X 2 X_2 X201
$P{X_2X_1=1}$0.5

X 2 = 0 , P { X 1 = 0 ∣ X 2 = 0 } = 0.1 0.4 = 0.25 X_2=0,P\{X_1=0|X_2=0\}=\frac{0.1}{0.4}=0.25 X2=0,P{X1=0X2=0}=0.40.1=0.25

X 2 = 0 , P { X 1 = 1 ∣ X 2 = 0 } = 0.3 0.4 = 0.75 X_2=0,P\{X_1=1|X_2=0\}=\frac{0.3}{0.4}=0.75 X2=0,P{X1=1X2=0}=0.40.3=0.75

X 2 = 1 , P { X 1 = 0 ∣ X 2 = 1 } = 0.3 0.6 = 0.5 X_2=1,P\{X_1=0|X_2=1\}=\frac{0.3}{0.6}=0.5 X2=1,P{X1=0X2=1}=0.60.3=0.5

X 2 = 1 , P { X 1 = 1 ∣ X 1 = 1 } = 0.3 0.6 = 0.5 X_2=1,P\{X_1=1|X_1=1\}=\frac{0.3}{0.6}=0.5 X2=1,P{X1=1X1=1}=0.60.3=0.5

X 1 X_1 X101
$P{X_1X_2=0}$0.25
X 1 X_1 X101
$P{X_1X_2=1}$0.5

P { X = x i ∣ Y = y j } = P i j P j ( 2 ) P\{X=x_i|Y=y_j\}=\frac{P_{ij}}{P_j^{(2)}} P{X=xiY=yj}=Pj(2)Pij

3.2.3连续型随机变量的条件分布

定义:(X,Y)是随机变量,f(x,y)是密度函数,边缘密度是 f X ( x ) 、 f Y ( y ) f_X(x)、f_Y(y) fX(x)fY(y),若 f Y ( y ) > 0 f_Y(y)>0 fY(y)>0

Y = y Y=y Y=y的条件下,

F ( x ∣ y ) = ∫ − ∞ x f ( u , y ) f Y ( y ) d u F(x|y)=\int_{-\infty}^x\frac{f(u,y)}{f_Y(y)}du F(xy)=xfY(y)f(u,y)du, f ( x ∣ y ) = f ( x , y ) f Y ( y ) f(x|y)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_Y(y)} f(xy)=fY(y)f(x,y)

F ( y ∣ x ) = ∫ − ∞ y f ( x , v ) f X ( x ) d v F(y|x)=\int_{-\infty}^y\frac{f(x,v)}{f_X(x)}dv F(yx)=yfX(x)f(x,v)dv, f ( y ∣ x ) = f ( x , y ) f X ( x ) f(y|x)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_X(x)} f(yx)=fX(x)f(x,y)

例:

f ( x , y ) = 1 π 2 ( 1 + x 2 ) ( 1 + y 2 ) f(x,y)=\frac{1}{\pi^2(1+x^2)(1+y^2)} f(x,y)=π2(1+x2)(1+y2)1, f X ( x ) = 1 π ( 1 + x 2 ) f_X(x)=\frac{1}{\pi(1+x^2)} fX(x)=π(1+x2)1, f Y ( y ) = 1 π ( 1 + y 2 ) f_Y(y)=\frac{1}{\pi(1+y^2)} fY(y)=π(1+y2)1

f ( x ∣ y ) = f ( x , y ) f Y ( y ) = 1 π ( 1 + x 2 ) f(x|y)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_Y(y)}=\frac{1}{\pi(1+x^2)} f(xy)=fY(y)f(x,y)=π(1+x2)1

f ( y ∣ x ) = f ( x , y ) f X ( x ) = 1 π ( 1 + y 2 ) f(y|x)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_X(x)}=\frac{1}{\pi(1+y^2)} f(yx)=fX(x)f(x,y)=π(1+y2)1

例:

f ( x , y ) = { 1 π r 2 x 2 + y 2 ≤ r 2 0 e l s e f(x,y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{1}{\pi r^2} & x^2+y^2\leq r^2 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. f(x,y)={πr210x2+y2r2else

f X ( x ) = { 2 r 2 − x 2 π r 2 ∣ x ∣ ≤ r 0 e l s e f_X(x) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{2\sqrt{r^2-x^2}}{\pi r^2} & |x|\leq r \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. fX(x)={πr22r2x2 0xrelse

f Y ( y ) = { 2 r 2 − y 2 π r 2 ∣ y ∣ ≤ r 0 e l s e f_Y(y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{2\sqrt{r^2-y^2}}{\pi r^2} & |y|\leq r \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. fY(y)={πr22r2y2 0yrelse

∣ y ∣ < r , f ( x ∣ y ) = f ( x , y ) f Y ( y ) = { − 1 2 r 2 − y 2 − r 2 − y 2 ≤ x ≤ r 2 − y 2 0 e l s e |y|<r,f(x|y)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_Y(y)}=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} -\frac{1}{2\sqrt{r^2-y^2}} & -\sqrt{r^2-y^2}\leq x\leq \sqrt{r^2-y^2} \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. y<r,f(xy)=fY(y)f(x,y)={2r2y2 10r2y2 xr2y2 else

∣ x ∣ < r , f ( y ∣ x ) = f ( x , y ) f X ( x ) = { − 1 2 r 2 − x 2 − r 2 − x 2 ≤ y ≤ r 2 − x 2 0 e l s e |x|<r,f(y|x)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_X(x)}=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} -\frac{1}{2\sqrt{r^2-x^2}} & -\sqrt{r^2-x^2}\leq y\leq \sqrt{r^2-x^2} \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. x<r,f(yx)=fX(x)f(x,y)={2r2x2 10r2x2 yr2x2 else

P { X > 0 ∣ Y = 0 } = ∫ 0 r 1 2 r d x = 0.5 P\{X>0|Y=0\}=\int_0^r\frac{1}{2r}dx=0.5 P{X>0Y=0}=0r2r1dx=0.5

P { X ≤ x ∣ Y = y } = P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y } P { Y = y } = lim ⁡ ϵ → 0 P { X ≤ x , Y ≤ y + ϵ } P { y ≤ Y + ϵ } = lim ⁡ ϵ → 0 ∫ − ∞ x 1 ϵ ∫ y y + ϵ f ( u , v ) d u d v 1 ϵ ∫ y y + ϵ f Y ( v ) d v = ∫ − ∞ x f ( u , v ) d u d v f Y ( y ) = ∫ − ∞ x f ( u , y ) f Y ( y ) d u P\{X\leq x|Y=y\}=\frac{P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y\}}{P\{Y=y\}}=\lim_{\epsilon\rightarrow 0}\frac{P\{X\leq x,Y\leq y+\epsilon\}}{P\{y\leq Y+\epsilon\}}=\lim_{\epsilon\rightarrow0}\frac{\int^x_{-\infty}\frac{1}{\epsilon}\int_y^{y+\epsilon}f(u,v)dudv}{\frac{1}{\epsilon}\int_y^{y+\epsilon}f_Y(v)dv}=\frac{\int_{-\infty}^{x}f(u,v)dudv}{f_Y(y)} \\ =\int_{-\infty}^x\frac{f(u,y)}{f_Y(y)}du P{XxY=y}=P{Y=y}P{Xx,Yy}=limϵ0P{yY+ϵ}P{Xx,Yy+ϵ}=limϵ0ϵ1yy+ϵfY(v)dvxϵ1yy+ϵf(u,v)dudv=fY(y)xf(u,v)dudv=xfY(y)f(u,y)du

积分中值定理: ∫ a b f ( x ) d x = f ( ξ ) ( b − a ) \int_a^bf(x)dx=f(\xi)(b-a) abf(x)dx=f(ξ)(ba)

3.2.4随机变量的独立性

扔硬币

f ( x ∣ y ) = f X ( x ) = f ( x , y ) f Y ( y ) f(x|y)=f_X(x)=\frac{f(x,y)}{f_Y(y)} f(xy)=fX(x)=fY(y)f(x,y)

f ( x , y ) = f X ( x ) f Y ( y ) f(x,y)=f_X(x)f_Y(y) f(x,y)=fX(x)fY(y)

F ( x , y ) = F X ( x ) F Y ( y ) F(x,y)=F_X(x)F_Y(y) F(x,y)=FX(x)FY(y)

P { X ∈ S x , Y ∈ S y } = P { x ∈ S x } P { Y ∈ S y } P\{X\in S_x,Y\in S_y \}=P\{x\in S_x\}P\{Y\in S_y\} P{XSx,YSy}=P{xSx}P{YSy}

  1. 二维离散的独立性

P { X = x i , Y = y j } = P { X = x i } P { Y = y j } P\{X=x_i,Y=y_j\}=P\{X=x_i\}P\{Y=y_j\} P{X=xi,Y=yj}=P{X=xi}P{Y=yj}

X\Y01
00.20.20.4
10.20.40.6
不独立0.40.6
X\Y01
00.20.30.5
10.20.30.5
独立0.40.6

0.5 × 0.4 = 0.2 0.5\times0.4=0.2 0.5×0.4=0.2 0.5 × 0.6 = 0.3 0.5\times0.6=0.3 0.5×0.6=0.3 独立

2)二维连续型 f ( x , y ) = f X ( x ) f Y ( y ) f(x,y)=f_X(x)f_Y(y) f(x,y)=fX(x)fY(y)

例:

一个经理,8-12时到办公室是均匀分布,秘书到达时间是7-9点,两人到达时间相互独立,求两人到达办公室时间不超过5分钟( 1 12 小 时 \frac{1}{12}小时 121)的概率

X是经理 f X ( x ) = { 1 4 8 < x < 12 0 e l s e f_X(x) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{1}{4} & 8< x <12 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. fX(x)={4108<x<12else

Y是秘书 f Y ( y ) = { 1 2 7 < y < 9 0 e l s e f_Y(y) = \left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{1}{2} & 7< y <9 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. fY(y)={2107<y<9else

X,Y相互独立

f ( x , y ) = f X ( x ) f Y ( y ) = { 1 8 8 < x < 12 , 7 < y < 9 0 e l s e f(x,y)=f_X(x)f_Y(y)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} \frac{1}{8} & 8< x <12,7< y <9 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. f(x,y)=fX(x)fY(y)={8108<x<12,7<y<9else

P { ∣ X − Y ∣ ≤ 1 12 } = ∬ a f ( x , y ) d x d y = 1 8 ∬ G d x d y = 1 48 P\{|X-Y|\leq \frac{1}{12}\}=\iint_af(x,y)dxdy=\frac{1}{8}\iint_Gdxdy=\frac{1}{48} P{XY121}=af(x,y)dxdy=81Gdxdy=481,阴影部分面积

在这里插入图片描述

变量是独立的,由变量构造的函数仍然独立

定理:X、Y独立, g 1 ( X ) , g 2 ( Y ) 也 独 立 g_1(X),g_2(Y)也独立 g1(X),g2(Y)

X 、 Y 独 立 , X 2 , Y 2 , a 1 X + b 1 , a 2 X + b 2 也 独 立 X、Y独立,X^2,Y^2,a_1X+b_1,a_2X+b_2也独立 XYX2,Y2,a1X+b1,a2X+b2

3.3.1二维离散型随机变量函数的分布

(1)二维离散型

X、Y分别是土地的长和宽

X\Y44.2
50.20.4
5.10.30.1

Z=XY

Z202120.421.42
P0.20.40.30.1

Z = X 2 − Y Z=X^2-Y Z=X2Y

Z 5 2 − 4 5^2-4 524 5 2 − 4.2 5^2-4.2 524.2 5. 1 2 − 4 5.1^2-4 5.124 5. 1 2 − 4.2 5.1^2-4.2 5.124.2
P0.20.40.30.1

例:

X 1 , X 2 独 立 , 服 从 0 − 1 分 布 , 求 X 1 + X 2 X_1,X_2独立,服从0-1分布,求X_1+X_2 X1,X201X1+X2

X 1 X_1 X101
P1-pp
X 2 X_2 X201
P1-pp
X 1 + X 2 X_1+X_2 X1+X2012
P ( 1 − p ) 2 (1-p)^2 (1p)2 2 p ( 1 − p ) 2p(1-p) 2p(1p) p 2 p^2 p2

X 1 + X 2 X_1+X_2 X1+X2~ B ( 2 , p ) B(2,p) B(2,p) X 1 + X 2 X_1+X_2 X1+X2服从二项分布

例:

X、Y独立且服从 λ 1 、 λ 2 \lambda_1、\lambda_2 λ1λ2的泊松分布, Z = X + Y , P { X = k } = λ k k ! e − λ Z=X+Y,P\{X=k\}=\frac{\lambda^k}{k!}e^{-\lambda} Z=X+Y,P{X=k}=k!λkeλ,PS:泊松分布是离散型的!!

解: { Z = k } = Σ i = 0 k { X = i , Y = k − i } \{Z=k\}=\Sigma_{i=0}^{k}\{X=i,Y=k-i\} {Z=k}=Σi=0k{X=i,Y=ki}

P { Z = k } = Σ i = 0 k P { X = i , Y = k − i } = Σ i = 0 k P { X = i } P { Y = k − i } = Σ i = 0 k λ i i ! e − λ 1 λ k − i ( k − i ) ! e − λ 2 ( λ 1 + λ 2 ) k k ! e − ( λ 1 + λ 2 ) P\{Z=k\}=\Sigma_{i=0}^{k}P\{X=i,Y=k-i\}=\Sigma_{i=0}^{k}P\{X=i\}P\{Y=k-i\}\\=\Sigma_{i=0}^{k}\frac{\lambda^i}{i!}e^{-\lambda_1}\frac{\lambda^{k-i}}{(k-i)!}e^{-\lambda_2}\frac{(\lambda_1+\lambda_2)^k}{k!}e^{-(\lambda_1+\lambda_2)} P{Z=k}=Σi=0kP{X=i,Y=ki}=Σi=0kP{X=i}P{Y=ki}=Σi=0ki!λieλ1(ki)!λkieλ2k!(λ1+λ2)ke(λ1+λ2)

λ 1 + λ 2 \lambda_1+\lambda_2 λ1+λ2也服从泊松分布

泊松分布具有可加性

3.3.2二维连续型随机变量函数的分布

变量 ( X , Y ) (X,Y) (X,Y)、联合密度 f ( x , y ) f(x,y) f(x,y), Z = g ( X , Y ) Z=g(X,Y) Z=g(X,Y)

(1)分布: F Z ( ξ ) = P { Z ≤ z } = P { g ( X , Y ) ≤ z } = ∬ D z f ( x , y ) d x d y F_Z(\xi)=P\{Z\leq z\}=P\{g(X,Y)\leq z\}=\iint_{D_{z}}f(x,y)dxdy FZ(ξ)=P{Zz}=P{g(X,Y)z}=Dzf(x,y)dxdy

D z = { ( x , y ) ∣ g ( x , y ) ≤ z } D_{z}=\{(x,y)|g(x,y)\leq z\} Dz={(x,y)g(x,y)z}

(2)密度: f Z ( z ) f_Z(z) fZ(z)

例:

f ( x , y ) = 1 2 π e − x 2 + y 2 2 , Z = X 2 + Y 2 f(x,y)=\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{-\frac{x^2+y^2}{2}},Z=\sqrt{X^2+Y^2} f(x,y)=2π1e2x2+y2,Z=X2+Y2

z < 0 时 , F Z ( z ) = P { Z ≤ z } = P { X 2 + Y 2 ≤ z } = 0 z<0时,\\F_Z(z)=P\{Z\leq z\}=P\{\sqrt{X^2+Y^2}\leq z\}=0 z<0FZ(z)=P{Zz}=P{X2+Y2 z}=0

z ≥ 0 时 , F Z ( x ) = P { Z ≤ z } = P { X 2 + Y 2 ≤ z } = P { X 2 + Y 2 ≤ z 2 } = ∬ G 1 2 π e − x 2 + y 2 2 d x d y = ∫ 0 2 π d θ ∫ 0 z 1 2 π e − r 2 2 r d r = ∫ 0 2 π d θ ∫ 0 z 1 2 π e − r 2 2 1 2 d r 2 = 1 − e − z 2 2 z\geq 0时,\\F_Z(x)=P\{Z\leq z\}=P\{\sqrt{X^2+Y^2}\leq z\}=P\{X^2+Y^2\leq z^2\}\\=\iint_G\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{-\frac{x^2+y^2}{2}}dxdy\\=\int_0^{2\pi}d\theta\int_0^z\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{-\frac{r^2}{2}}rdr\\=\int_0^{2\pi}d\theta\int_0^z\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{-\frac{r^2}{2}}\frac{1}{2}dr^2\\=1-e^{-\frac{z^2}{2}} z0FZ(x)=P{Zz}=P{X2+Y2 z}=P{X2+Y2z2}=G2π1e2x2+y2dxdy=02πdθ0z2π1e2r2rdr=02πdθ0z2π1e2r221dr2=1e2z2

∴ F Z ( z ) = { 0 z < 0 1 − e − z 2 2 z ≥ 0 , f Z ( z ) = { 0 z < 0 z e − z 2 2 z ≥ 0 \therefore F_Z(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & z <0 \\ 1-e^{-\frac{z^2}{2}} & z\geq 0 \end{array}\right.,f_Z(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & z<0 \\ ze^{-\frac{z^2}{2}} & z\geq 0 \end{array}\right. FZ(z)={01e2z2z<0z0,fZ(z)={0ze2z2z<0z0

(1)

Z = X + Y , F Z ( z ) = P { Z ≤ z } = P { X + Y ≤ z } = ∬ X + Y ≤ z f ( x , y ) d x d y = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ d x ∫ − ∞ z − x f ( x , y ) d y , 令 x + y = t , 则 y = t − x , d y = d ( t − x ) = d t = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ d x ∫ − ∞ z f ( x , t − x ) d t , X 型 = ∫ − ∞ z [ ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f ( x , t − x ) d x ] d t , Y 型 Z=X+Y,\\F_Z(z)=P\{Z\leq z\}=P\{X+Y\leq z\}=\iint_{X+Y\leq z }f(x,y)dxdy\\=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}dx\int_{-\infty}^{z-x}f(x,y)dy,令x+y=t,则y=t-x,dy=d(t-x)=dt\\=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}dx\int_{-\infty}^{z}f(x,t-x)dt,X型\\=\int^{z}_{-\infty}[\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f(x,t-x)dx]dt,Y型 Z=X+Y,FZ(z)=P{Zz}=P{X+Yz}=X+Yzf(x,y)dxdy=+dxzxf(x,y)dy,x+y=t,y=tx,dy=d(tx)=dt=+dxzf(x,tx)dt,X=z[+f(x,tx)dx]dt,Y

变上限积分求导:上限求导 乘 代入上限

f Z ( z ) = ( F Z ( z ) ) ′ = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f ( x , z − x ) d x = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f X ( x ) f Y ( z − x ) d x f_Z(z)=(F_Z(z))'=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f(x,z-x)dx=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f_X(x)f_Y(z-x)dx fZ(z)=(FZ(z))=+f(x,zx)dx=+fX(x)fY(zx)dx

f Z ( z ) = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f ( z − y , y ) d y = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ f Y ( y ) f X ( z − y ) d y f_Z(z)=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f(z-y,y)dy=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}f_Y(y)f_X(z-y)dy fZ(z)=+f(zy,y)dy=+fY(y)fX(zy)dy

上面两个公式是==卷积公式==

卷积公式使用条件:① Z = X + Y Z=X+Y Z=X+Y X 、 Y 独 立 X、Y独立 XY

在这里插入图片描述

(2)

X ∼ N ( 0 , 1 ) , Y ∼ N ( 0 , 1 ) , X 、 Y 独 立 , Z = X + Y X\sim N(0,1),Y\sim N(0,1),X、Y独立,Z=X+Y XN(0,1),YN(0,1),XYZ=X+Y

Φ Z ( z ) = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ Φ X ( x ) Φ ( z − x ) d x = ∫ − ∞ + ∞ 1 2 π e − x 2 2 1 2 π e − ( z − x ) 2 2 d x = 1 2 π ∫ − ∞ + ∞ e − z 2 4 e − ( x − z 2 ) 2 d x = 1 2 π e − z 2 4 ∫ − ∞ + ∞ e − ( x − z 2 ) 2 d ( x − z 2 ) , 泊 松 积 分 = 1 2 π 2 e x 2 2 ( 2 ) 2 ,   正 态 分 布 : ϕ ( x ) = 1 2 π σ e − ( x − μ ) 2 2 σ 2 \Phi_Z(z)=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}\Phi_X(x)\Phi(z-x)dx=\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-\frac{x^2}{2}}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-\frac{(z-x)^2}{2}}dx\\=\frac{1}{2\pi}\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}e^{-\frac{z^2}{4}}e^{-(x-\frac{z}{2})^2}dx\\=\frac{1}{2\pi}e^{-\frac{z^2}{4}}\int_{-\infty}^{+\infty}e^{-(x-\frac z2)^2}d(x-\frac{z}{2}),泊松积分\\=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}\sqrt2}e^{\frac{x^2}{2(\sqrt2)^2}},\ 正态分布:\phi(x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi} \sigma}e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2{\sigma}^2}} ΦZ(z)=+ΦX(x)Φ(zx)dx=+2π 1e2x22π 1e2(zx)2dx=2π1+e4z2e(x2z)2dx=2π1e4z2+e(x2z)2d(x2z),=2π 2 1e2(2 )2x2, ϕ(x)=2π σ1e2σ2(xμ)2

∴ Z ∼ N ( 0 , 2 ) \therefore Z\sim N(0,2) ZN(0,2)

若 X ∼ N ( μ 1 , σ 1 2 ) , Y ∼ N ( μ 2 , σ 2 2 ) , X 、 Y 独 立 , 则 X + Y ∼ N ( μ 1 + μ 2 , σ 1 2 + σ 2 2 ) 若X\sim N(\mu_1,\sigma_1^2),Y\sim N(\mu_2,\sigma_2^2),X、Y独立,则X+Y\sim N(\mu_1+\mu_2,\sigma_1^2+\sigma_2^2) XN(μ1,σ12),YN(μ2,σ22),XY,X+YN(μ1+μ2,σ12+σ22)

M = m a x { X , Y } , N = m i n { X , Y } M=max\{X,Y\},N=min\{X,Y\} M=max{X,Y},N=min{X,Y}

{ m a x { X , Y } ≤ z } = { X ≤ z , Y ≤ z } \{max\{X,Y\}\leq z\}=\{X\leq z,Y\leq z\} {max{X,Y}z}={Xz,Yz}

F M ( z ) = P { M ≤ z } = P { X ≤ z , Y ≤ z } = P { X ≤ z } P { Y ≤ z } = F X ( z ) F Y ( z ) F_M(z)=P\{M\leq z\}=P\{X\leq z,Y\leq z\}=P\{X\leq z\}P\{Y\leq z\}=F_X(z)F_Y(z) FM(z)=P{Mz}=P{Xz,Yz}=P{Xz}P{Yz}=FX(z)FY(z)

F N ( z ) = P { N ≤ z } = 1 − P { N > z } = 1 − P { X > z , Y > z } = 1 − P { X > z } P { Y > z } = 1 − ( 1 − P { X ≤ z } ) ( 1 − P { Y ≤ z } ) = 1 − ( 1 − F X ( z ) ) ( 1 − F Y ( z ) ) F_N(z)=P\{N\leq z\}=1-P\{N>z\}=1-P\{X>z,Y>z\}\\=1-P\{X>z\}P\{Y>z\}\\=1-(1-P\{X\leq z\})(1-P\{Y\leq z\})\\=1-(1-F_X(z))(1-F_Y(z)) FN(z)=P{Nz}=1P{N>z}=1P{X>z,Y>z}=1P{X>z}P{Y>z}=1(1P{Xz})(1P{Yz})=1(1FX(z))(1FY(z))

X 、 Y 独 立 , X 在 [ 0 , 1 ] 上 为 均 匀 分 布 , Y 是 λ = 3 的 指 数 分 布 , M = m a x { X , Y } , N = m i n { X , Y } X、Y独立,X在[0,1]上为均匀分布,Y是\lambda=3的指数分布,M=max\{X,Y\},N=min\{X,Y\} XYX[0,1]Yλ=3M=max{X,Y},N=min{X,Y}

f X ( x ) = { 1 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 0 e l s e , f Y ( y ) = { 3 e − 3 y y > 0 0 y ≤ 0 f_X(x)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 1 & 0\leq x\leq 1 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right.,f_Y(y)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 3e^{-3y} & y>0 \\ 0 & y\leq 0 \end{array}\right. fX(x)={100x1else,fY(y)={3e3y0y>0y0

F X ( x ) = { 0 x < 0 x 0 < x < 1 1 x ≥ 1 , F Y ( y ) = { 1 − e − 3 y y > 0 0 y ≤ 0 F_X(x)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & x<0 \\ x & 0<x<1\\1 & x\geq 1 \end{array}\right.,F_Y(y)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 1-e^{-3y} & y>0 \\ 0 & y\leq 0 \end{array}\right. FX(x)=0x1x<00<x<1x1,FY(y)={1e3y0y>0y0

M = m a x { X , Y } , F M ( z ) = { 0 z < 0 z ( 1 − e − 3 z ) 0 ≤ z < 1 1 − e − 3 z z ≥ 1 M=max\{X,Y\},F_M(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & z<0 \\ z(1-e^{-3z}) & 0\leq z<1 \\1-e^{-3z} & z\geq 1 \end{array}\right. M=max{X,Y},FM(z)=0z(1e3z)1e3zz<00z<1z1

f M ( z ) = { 0 z < 0 z ( 1 − e − 3 z + 3 z e − 3 z ) 0 ≤ z < 1 3 e − 3 z z ≥ 1 f_M(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & z<0 \\ z(1-e^{-3z}+3ze^{-3z}) & 0\leq z<1 \\3e^{-3z} & z\geq 1 \end{array}\right. fM(z)=0z(1e3z+3ze3z)3e3zz<00z<1z1

N = m i n { X , Y } , F N ( z ) = { 0 z < 0 1 − ( 1 − z ) e − 3 z 0 ≤ z < 1 1 z ≥ 1 N=min\{X,Y\},F_N(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 0 & z<0 \\ 1-(1-z)e^{-3z} & 0\leq z<1 \\1 & z\geq 1 \end{array}\right. N=min{X,Y},FN(z)=01(1z)e3z1z<00z<1z1

f N ( z ) = { 4 e − 3 z − 3 z e 3 z 0 ≤ z < 1 0 e l s e f_N(z)=\left\{ \begin{array}{rcl} 4e^{-3z}-3ze^{3z} & 0\leq z<1 \\ 0 & else \end{array}\right. fN(z)={4e3z3ze3z00z<1else

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