- 数学背景
根据贝叶斯公式知: p ( Θ ∣ X ) = p ( X ∣ Θ ) ⋅ p ( Θ ) p ( X ) \operatorname{p}(\Theta | \mathcal{X})=\frac{\operatorname{p}(\mathcal{X} | \Theta) \cdot \operatorname{p}(\Theta)}{\operatorname{p}(\mathcal{X})} p(Θ∣X)=
根据贝叶斯公式知: p ( Θ ∣ X ) = p ( X ∣ Θ ) ⋅ p ( Θ ) p ( X ) \operatorname{p}(\Theta | \mathcal{X})=\frac{\operatorname{p}(\mathcal{X} | \Theta) \cdot \operatorname{p}(\Theta)}{\operatorname{p}(\mathcal{X})} p(Θ∣X)=