Q1: Let X 1 , … , X n X_1,\dots,X_n X1,…,Xn be an iid sample of Poisson distribution with parameter λ \lambda λ. Which of the following are unbiased estimates of λ \lambda λ? ( A B C ABC ABC ) 多选
A. X ˉ \bar X Xˉ
B. S n ∗ 2 S_n^{*2} Sn∗2
C. ( X ˉ + S n ∗ 2 ) / 2 (\bar X+S_n^{*2})/2 (Xˉ+Sn∗2)/2
D. S n 2 S_n^2 Sn2
Q2: Let X 1 , … , X n X_1,\dots,X_n X1,…,Xn be an iid sample of N ( μ , σ 2 ) N(\mu,\sigma^2) N(μ,σ2), where μ , σ \mu,\sigma μ,σ are unknown parameters. Let T k = k ∑ i = 1 n ( X i − X ˉ ) 2 T_k=k\sum_{i=1}^n(X_i-\bar X)^2 Tk=k∑i=1n(Xi−Xˉ)2 be an estimator of σ 2 \sigma^2 σ2. Particularly, when k = 1 / n k=1/n k=1/n, T k = S n 2 T_k=S_n^2 Tk=Sn2, and when k = 1 / ( n − 1 ) k=1/(n-1) k=1/(n−1), T k = S n ∗ 2 T_k=S_n^{*2} Tk=Sn∗2. Find a value of k k k such that T k T_k Tk is the most efficient one by taking account of MSE.
解: 因为 T k / ( k σ 2 ) ∼ χ 2 ( n − 1 ) T_k/(k\sigma^2)\sim\chi^2(n-1) Tk/(kσ2)∼χ2(n−1),我们有 E [ T k ] = k ( n − 1 ) σ 2 , V a r [ T k ] = 2 k 2 ( n − 1 ) σ 4 E[T_k]=k(n-1)\sigma^2,Var[T_k]=2k^2(n-1)\sigma^4 E[Tk]=k(n−1)σ2,Var[Tk]=2k2(n−1)σ4于是 M S E ( T k ) = ( E [ T k ] − σ 2 ) 2 + V a r [ T k ] = [ ( n 2 − 1 ) k 2 − 2 ( n − 1 ) k + 1 ] σ 4 MSE(T_k)=(E[T_k]-\sigma^2)^2+Var[T_k]=[(n^2-1)k^2-2(n-1)k+1]\sigma^4 MSE(Tk)=(E[Tk]−σ2)2+Var[Tk]=[(n2−1)k2−2(n−1)k+1]σ4容易得到当 k = 1 / ( n + 1 ) k=1/(n+1) k=1/(n+1)时 M S E ( T k ) MSE(T_k) MSE(Tk)最小,估计量最有效
Q3: Let X 1 , … , X n X_1,\dots,X_n X1,…,Xn be a simple random sample taken from the density
f ( x ; θ ) = 2 x θ 2 , 0 ≤ x ≤ θ . f(x;\theta)=\frac{2x}{\theta^2},\quad 0\le x\le \theta. f(x;θ)=θ22x,0≤x≤θ.
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Find an expression for θ ^ L \hat\theta_L θ^L, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for θ \theta θ.
解: 似然函数为 L ( θ ) = ∏ i = 1 n 2 x i θ 2 = 2 n θ 2 n ( ∏ i = 1 n x i ) 1 { x ( n ) ≤ θ } L(\theta)=\displaystyle\prod_{i=1}^n\frac{2x_i}{\theta^2}=\frac{2^n}{\theta^{2n}}(\displaystyle\prod_{i=1}^nx_i)1\{x_{(n)}\le\theta\} L(θ)=i=1∏nθ22xi=θ2n2n(i=1∏nxi)1{ x(n)≤θ}为了使似然函数取得最大,我们需要选择 θ ≥ x ( n ) \theta\ge x_{(n)} θ≥x(n),使得 L ( θ ) = A θ − 2 n L(\theta)=A\theta^{-2n} L(θ)=Aθ−2n,其中 A = 2 n ∏ i = 1 n x i A=2^n\prod_{i=1}^nx_i A=2n∏i=1nxi不依赖于 θ \theta θ,因此最大似然估计值为 θ ^ = x ( n ) \hat\theta=x_{(n)} θ^=x(n)
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Find an expression for θ ^ M \hat\theta_M θ^M, the method of moments estimator for θ \theta θ.
解: μ 1 = E ( X ) = ∫ 0 θ 2 x 2 θ 2 d x = 2 3 θ \mu_1=E(X)=\displaystyle\int_0^\theta\frac{2x^2}{\theta^2}dx=\frac{2}{3}\theta μ1=E(X)=∫0θθ22x2dx=32θ 以 A 1 A_1 A1代替 μ 1 \mu_1 μ1,
A 1 = 1 n ∑ i = 1 n X i = X ˉ = 2 3 θ A_1=\frac{1}{n}\displaystyle\sum_{i=1}^nX_i=\bar{X}=\frac{2}{3}\theta A1=n1